2016 Emmy Predictions

2016 Emmy Predictions

As the world’s greatest athletes take the stage in Rio, armed only with years of practice and preparation to prove themselves the best, I too stretch out my opinionating muscles and prepare for my own version of the Olympics. Here, dear readers, are my 2016 Emmy predictions.

DRAMA

OUTSTANDING DRAMA SERIES

Game of Thrones
Mr. Robot
House of Cards
Downton Abbey
Better Call Saul
The Americans
Homeland

What Should Win: Game of Thrones
What Will Win: Game of Thrones

At this point Game of Thrones has proved itself as more than just genre television and earned its place as one of the greatest shows in an era of too many great shows. And this latest season also happened to be one of its best. It’s only real competition comes from Mr. Robot, whose first season became a sleeper hit last summer. But, as this if the Emmy’s, the chances of them awarding the top prize to a new show are extremely, extremely low.

OUTSTANDING DRAMA ACTOR

Kevin Spacey (House of Cards, Episode: “Chapter 52”)
Rami Malek (Mr. Robot, Episode: “eps1.0_hellofriend.mov”)
Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul, Episode: “Klick”)
Liev Schreiber (Ray Donovan, Episode: “Exsuscito”)
Kyle Chandler (Bloodline, Episode: “Part 23”)
Matthew Rhys (The Americans, Episode: “The Magic of David Copperfield V: The Statue of Liberty Disappears”)

Who Should Win: Rami Malek
Who Will Win:
Rami Malek

Like I said, the Emmy’s won’t give the big award to Mr. Robot, but that doesn’t mean it won’t get shown plenty of love. The success of the first season was largely thanks to an outstanding performance by Rami Malek and his work will not go unnoticed.

OUTSTANDING DRAMA ACTRESS

Robin Wright (House of Cards, Episode: “Chapter 49”)
Viola Davis (How to Get Away with Murder, Episode: “There’s My Baby”)
Tatiana Maslany (Orphan Black, Episode: “The Antisocialism of Sex”)
Claire Danes (Homeland, Episode: “Super Powers”)
Taraji P. Henson (Empire, Episode: “Rise by Sin”)
Keri Russell (The Americans, Episode: “The Magic of David Copperfield V. The Statue of Liberty Diseppears”)

Who Should Win: Tatiana Maslany
Who Will Win:
Robin Wright

If these things were decided by which actor does the most Tatiana would win in a landslide seeing as she makes up literally half of the cast of Orphan Black. Unfortunately though, that’s not how it works. It took the Emmy’s five seasons to even nominate Tatiana so it seems unlikely that they will suddenly be so taken with her (amazing) work they’ll give her the actual award. Not that Robin Wright doesn’t deserve some love, too. She continued being the fierce, smart, cold hearted schemer we know and love, but she’s also already been rewarded for that performance and I, unlike Emmy voters, would like to spread some gold around.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR, DRAMA

Jonathan Banks (Better Call Saul, Episode: “Bali Ha’i”)
Ben Mendelsohn (Bloodline, Episode: “Part 23”)
Peter Dinklage (Game of Thrones, Episode: “The Winds of Winter”)
Kit Harington (Game of Thrones, Episode: “Battle of the Bastards”)
Michael Kelly (House of Cards, Episode: “Chapter 44”)
Jon Voight (Ray Donovan, Episode: “The Kalamazoo”)

Who Should Win: Jonathan Banks
Who Will Win:
Kit Harrington

Kit Harrington has literally one facial expression. Jonathan Banks can convey a myriad of emotions without ever opening his mouth. And, if face acting means so little to you, he is also better than Kit Harrington in all other areas of acting as well. Side note, I wouldn’t be mad if Ben Mendelsohn or Michael Kelly won either. They can also act real good with their faces.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS, DRAMA

Maggie Smith (Downton Abbey)
Lena Headey (Game of Thrones, Episode: “The Winds of Winter”)
Emilia Clarke (Game of Thrones, Episode: “Book of the Stranger”)
Maisie Williams (Game of Thrones, Episode: “No One”)
Maura Tierney (The Affair, Episode: “204”)
Constance Zimmer (UnREAL, Episode: “Mother”)

Who Should Win: Lena Headey
Who Will Win:
Lena Headey

First, shout out to Maura Tierney on the nomination. Her performance was a master class in subtlety and that so rarely gets recognized. You know what does get recognized? Being a balls to the wall, first class bitch who gets shit done. That’s your cue Lena, come get your award.

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A DRAMA SERIES

Downton Abbey (Episode: “Episode 9”), Directed by Michael Engler (PBS)
Game of Thrones (Episode: “Battle of the Bastards”), Directed by Miguel Sapochnik (HBO)
Game of Thrones (Episode: “The Door”), Directed by Jack Bender (HBO)
Homeland (Episode: “The Tradition of Hospitality”), Directed by Lesli Linka Glatter (Showtime)
The Knick (Episode: “This Is All We Are”), Directed by Steven Soderbergh (Cinemax)
Ray Donovan (Episode: “Exsuscito”), Directed by David Hollander (Showtime)

Who Should Win: Game of Thrones, “Battle of the Bastards”
Who Will Win: Game of Thrones, “Battle of the Bastards”

Very rarely while watching TV do I stop to think about how well directed something is. Because I’m not (that much of) a nerd. But, this episode was the exception. That battle scene was better than most action sequences in movies with double to triple the budget. Hands down, an amazing feat that cannot, and will not, go unnoticed. 

OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A DRAMA SERIES

The Americans (Episode: “Persona Non Grata”), Written by Joel Fields and Joe Weisberg (FX)
Downton Abbey (Episode: “Episode 8”), Written by Julian Fellowes (PBS)
Game of Thrones (Episode: “Battle of the Bastards”), Written by David Benioff and D. B. Weiss (HBO)
The Good Wife (Episode: “End”), Written by Robert King and Michelle King (CBS)
Mr. Robot (Episode: “eps1.0_hellofriend.mov”), Written by Sam Esmail (USA Network)
UnREAL (Episode: “Return”), Written by Marti Noxon and Sarah Gertrude Shapiro (Lifetime)


Who Should Win:
Mr. Robot, “eps1.0_hellofriend.mov”
Who Will Win:
Mr. Robot, “eps1.0_hellofriend.mov”

Mr. Robot was a surprise hit that could very will take the top prize of the night, but barring that, it will certainly be recognized here.

COMEDY

OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES

Veep
Transparent
Modern Family
black-ish
Silicon Valley
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Master of None

What Should Win: Anything other than Veep.
What Will Win: Veep

Speaking of the Emmy’s being unwilling to award new shows…

OUTSTANDING COMEDY ACTOR

Jeffrey Tambor (Transparent, Episode: Man on the Land”)
Anthony Anderson (black-ish, Episode: “Hope”)
Will Forte (The Last Man on Earth, Episode: “30 Years of Science Down the Tubes”)
Thomas Middleditch (Silicon Valley, Episode: “The Empty Chair”)
Aziz Ansari (Master of None, Episode “Parents”)
William H. Macy (Shameless, Episode: “I Only Miss Her When I’m Breathing”)

Who Should Win: Aziz Ansari
Who Will Win:
Jeffery Tambor

I’m not feeling too strongly about this one. I only watched Silicon Valley and Master of None and I think Thomas Middleditch is the worst part of Silicon Valley so Aziz, I guess? Doesn’t matter either way. Jeffery Tambor was brave enough to put on a dress so I guess we should keep applauding that.

OUTSTANDING COMEDY ACTRESS

Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Veep, Episode: “Mother”)
Amy Schumer (Inside Amy Schumer, Episode: “Welcome to the Gun Show”)
Ellie Kemper (Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt, Episode: “Kimmy Goes to a Hotel”)
Laurie Metcalf (Getting On, Episode: Am I Still Me?”)
Tracee Ellis-Ross (black-ish, Episode: “Sink or Swim”)
Lily Tomlin (Grace and Frankie, Episode: The Test”)

Who Should Win: Ellie Kemper
Who Will Win:
Julia Louis-Dreyfus

Emmy voters have a love for Julia Louis-Dreyfus that defies explanation. Julia’s great and all, but at what point do other people (like the adorable, yet fierce Ellie Kemper) get to be recognized?

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR, COMEDY

Andre Braugher (Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Episode: “The Oolong Slayer”)
Ty Burrell (Modern Family, Episode: “The Party”)
Matt Walsh (Veep,  Episode: “Kissing Your Sister”)
Louie Anderson (Baskets, Episode: “Easter in Baskerfield”)
Keegen-Michael Key (Key & Peele, Episode: “Y’all Ready for This?”)
Tituss Burgess (Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt, Episode: “Kimmy Gives Up!”)
Tony Hale (Veep, Episode: “Inauguration”)

Who Should Win: Tituss Burgess
Who Will Win:
Tony Hale

I guess I need to watch more comedies because once again, I only watch one of these shows. But it’s the best one and Tituss Burgess is the best and Tony Hale already won so…

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS, COMEDY

Niecy Nash (Getting On, Episode: “Don’t Let It Get in You or on You”)
Kate McKinnon (Saturday Night Live, Episode: “Host: Ariana Grande”)
Gaby Hoffman (Transparent, Episode: “Bulnerable”)
Allison Janney (Mom, Episode: “Terrorists and Gingerbread”)
Judith Light (Transparent, Episode: “Flicky-Flicky Thump-Thump”)
Anna Chlumsky (Veep, Episode: “C**tgate”)

Who Should Win: Kate McKinnon
Who Will Win:
Allison Janney

I’m running out of ways to say that I don’t watch comedies and I don’t care.

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A COMEDY SERIES

Master of None (Episode: “Parents”), Directed by Aziz Ansari (Netflix)
Silicon Valley (Episode: “Daily Active Users”), Directed by Alec Berg (HBO)
Silicon Valley (Episode: “Founder Friendly”), Directed by Mike Judge (HBO)
Transparent (Episode: “Man on the Land”), Directed by Jill Soloway (Amazon)
Veep (Episode: “Kissing Your Sister”), Directed by David Mandel (HBO)
Veep (Episode: “Morning After”), Directed by Chris Addison (HBO)
Veep (Episode: “Mother”), Directed by Dave Stern (HBO)


Who Should Win:
Silicon Valley, “Daily Active Users”
Who Will Win:
Transparent, “Man on the Land”

Have I mentioned how much I like Silicon Valley?

OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A COMEDY SERIES

Catastrophe (Episode: “Episode 1”), Written by Rob Delaney and Sharon Horgan (Amazon)
Master of None (Episode: “Parents”), Written by Aziz Ansari and Alan Yang (Netflix)
Silicon Valley (Episode: “Founder Friendly”), Written by Dan O’Keefe (HBO)
Silicon Valley (Episode: “The Uptick”), Written by Alec Berg (HBO)
Veep (Episode: “Morning After”), Written by David Mandel (HBO)
Veep (Episode: “Mother”), Written by Alex Gregory and Peter Huyck (HBO)


Who Should Win:
Master of None, “Parents”
Who Will Win: Veep, “Mother”

Master of None was a little hit or miss episode to episode, but it really tried for something different and on the occasions that it hit, it was truly wonderful. And none of the episodes hit better than “Parents.” It was smart, funny, touching and portrayed lives that hardly ever get covered in popular culture.

LIMITED SERIES AND TV MOVIES

OUTSTANDING LIMITED SERIES

The People v. O.J. Simpson
Fargo
American Crime
Roots
The Night Manager

What Should Win: Fargo
What Will Win:
The People v. O.J. Simpson

For the first time probably ever, I feel super strongly about the limited series category. Look, I loved The People v. O.J. as much as the next person, but does that mean we have to collectively forget the brilliance of Fargo? Fargo season two was literally a perfect season of television, but it had the bad luck of airing before O.J. and apparently that show wiped everyone’s memories about how great Fargo was. Except me. I never forget and I have made it my duty to keep reminding everyone. So, here’s hoping my pleas somehow make a difference come Emmy night.*

*They won’t.

OUTSTANDING TV MOVIE

All the Way
Confirmation
Luther
Sherlock: The Abominable Bride
A Very Murray Christmas

What Should Win: Sherlock: The Abominable Bride
What Will Win: All the Way

I’ve only seen three of these and Sherlock was my favorite of those three. This is the kind of well-formed reasoning you all come here for, right?


OUTSTANDING ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR A TELEISION MOVIE

Bryan Cranston (All the Way)
Benedict Cumberbatch (Sherlock: The Abominable Bride)
Idris Elba (Luther)
Cuba Gooding Jr. (The People v. O.J. Simpson)
Tom Hiddleston (The Night Manager)
Courtney B. Vance (The People v. O.J. Simpson)

Who Should Win: Courtney B. Vance
Who Will Win:
Courtney B. Vance

What a collection of names in this category! But, even with all this talent, it can only go to Courtney.

OUTSTANDING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES OR A TELEVISION MOVIE

Kirsten Dunst (Fargo)
Felicity Huffman (American Crime)
Audra McDonald (Lady Day at Emerson’s Bar & Grill)
Sarah Paulson (The People v. O.J. Simpson)
Lili Taylor (American Crime)
Kerry Washington (Confirmation)

Who Should Win: Kirsten Dunst
Who Will Win: Sarah Paulson

Yeah, sure, Sarah Paulson is great. She’s always been great and will likely continue to be great. So, why don’t we give her an Emmy next year when she’s great in something else? Kirsten Dunst gave a performance of a lifetime and she’s not very likely to come back to TV for a while. But, maybe if we entice her with gold statues she will and we’ll get even more Peggy Blumquist level performances.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE

Sterling K. Brown (The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story, Episode: “Manna From Heaven”)
Hugh Laurie (The Night Manager, Episode: “Episode 5”)
Jesse Plemons (Fargo, Episode: “Loplop”)
David Schwimmer (The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story, Episode: “Conspiracy Theories”)
John Travolta (The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story, Episode: “100% Not Guilty”)
Bokeem Woodbine (Fargo, Episode: “Palindrome”)

Who Should Win: Sterling K. Brown
Who Will Win: Sterling K. Brown

The argument could be made that all the O.J. actors will cancel each other out and leave room for say, Jesse Plemons or Bokeem Woodbine to take the win. But that argument would be stupid because Sterling K. Brown already owns it.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE

Kathy Bates (American Horror Story: Hotel, Episode: “Battle Royale”)
Olivia Colman (The Night Manager, Episode: “Episode 6”)
Regina King (American Crime, Episode: “Season Two: Episode Eight”)
Melissa Leo (All the Way)
Sarah Paulson (American Horror Story: Hotel, Episode: “The Ten Commandments Killer”)
Jean Smart (Fargo, Episode: “Fear and Trembling”)

Who Should Win: Olivia Colman
Who Will Win: Jean Smart

I really love Olivia Colman and while I only kinda liked The Night Manager, she was by far my favorite part. Jean Smart is great, obviously, but I just don’t feel like her character got much to do. Hey, why don’t we just give Sarah Paulson this Emmy instead?

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A LIMITED SERIES, MOVIE OR DRAMATIC SPECIAL

All the Way, Directed by Jay Roach (HBO)
Fargo (Episode: “Before the Law”), Directed by Noah Hawley (FX)
The Night Manager, Directed by Susanne Bier (AMC)
The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story (Episode: “From the Ashes of Tragedy”), Directed by Ryan Murphy (FX)
The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story (Episode: “Manna from Heaven”), Directed by Anthony Hemingway (FX)
The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story (Episode: “The Race Card”), Directed by John Singleton (FX)

Who Should Win: Fargo, “Before the Law”
Who Will Win: The People v. O.J. Simpson, “From the Ashes of Tragedy.”

Fargo was so good, guys! Remember how every single shot was perfectly composed to not only be picturesque, but also actually add to the story being told? Remember??

OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A LIMITED SERIES, MOVIE OR DRAMATIC SPECIAL

Fargo (Episode: “Loplop”), Written by Bob DeLaurentis (FX)
Fargo (Episode: “Palindrome”), Written by Noah Hawley (FX)
The Night Manager, Written by David Farr (AMC)
The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story (Episode: “From the Ashes of Tragedy”), Written by Scott Alexander and Larry Karaszewski (FX)
The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story (Episode: “Marcia, Marcia, Marcia”), Written by D. V. DeVincentis (FX)
The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story (Episode: “The Race Card”), Written by Joe Robert Cole (FX)

Who Should Win: Fargo, “Loplop”
Who Will Win:
The People V. O.J. Simpson, “The Race Card”

Fargo, guys, do you remember?!?

*The 68th Primetime Emmy Awards will air Sunday September 18th at 8/7c on ABC. 

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Filed under: Awards

Tags: awards, Emmys, TV

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