2015 Emmy Predictions

2015 Emmy Predictions

Regardless of the temperature outside, fall is officially upon us and a new batch of television shows is revving to go, but before we can get to them we need to pay respect to the quality TV we were given this past year. There are a lot of categories to discuss, so lets get straight to it!

Note: As always, when I say “Will Win” I am basing it on the current odds and buzz and when I say “Should Win” I am basing it on my own personal and deeply biased opinion.

Outstanding Drama Series:

Better Call Saul
Downton Abbey
Game of Thrones
Homeland
House of Cards
Mad Men
Orange is the New Black

What Should Win: Mad Men
What Will Win: Mad Men

Yes, I always predict that Mad Men should/will win because it is my everything, but this year there’s actual points to support my blind devotion. Let’s run it down. Better Call Saul had an extremely strong premiere season, but it has plenty of time to bring home the gold. Game of Thrones had an amazing season, but the Emmy’s will never give a genre show anything besides a nomination. Homeland’s buzz died away real quick, Orange is the New Black is out of its depth with these dramas and the fact Downton Abbey is even nominated is a joke. Then there’s the fact Mad Men was one of the greatest television shows of all time whose influence far exceeded its viewership year after year. Case closed.

Outstanding Comedy Series:

Louie
Modern Family
Parks and Recreation
Silicon Valley
Transparent
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Veep

What Should Win: Silicon Valley or Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
What Will Win: Transparent

I would love for a bonafide, laugh out loud comedy like Silicon Valley or Unbreakable to take this race, but it’s likely the Emmy’s will continue its habit of awarding the most dramatic comedy running.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama

Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Kyle Chandler, Bloodline
Kevin Spacey, House of Cards
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom
Liev Schreiber, Ray Donovan

Who Should Win: Jon Hamm
Who Will Win: Jon Hamm

Jon Hamm has never won an Emmy. Just think about that. Think about the performance he’s delivered for the past nine years and then think about the fact that he’s never been given a little gold man to honor that performance. It is nothing short of a tragedy.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama

Taraji P. Henson, Empire
Claire Danes, Homeland
Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder
Tatiana Maslany, Orphan Black
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
Robin Wright, House of Cards

Who Should Win: Elizabeth Moss
Who Will Win: Viola Davis

Let’s get this out of the way first, HELL YES, TATIANA MASLANY!! IT IS ABOUT DAMN TIME PEOPLE RECOGNIZED THE QWEEN YOU ARE!! That being said, this year belongs to Elizabeth Moss. Correction, every year has belonged to Elizabeth Moss, but this is the last chance she has to win for her portrayal of Miss Peggy Olson and I can’t fathom that performance will go unrewarded yet again. And yes, Viola Davis is a force, but all the makeup removals in the world will never top Peggy Olson walking in to the first day of work, hungover as hell with tentacle porn under her arm and a smile on her face.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy

Anthony Anderson, black-ish
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
Don Cheadle, House of Lies
Will Forte, The Last Man On Earth
Louis C.K., Louie
William H. Macy, Shameless
Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent

Who Will Win: Jeffrey Tambor

Oh my God, guys, I don’t care so much.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy

Lisa Kudrow, The Comeback
Lily Tomlin, Grace And Frankie
Amy Schumer, Inside Amy Schumer
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Amy Poehler, Parks And Recreation
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep

 Who Should Win:  Amy Poehler
Who Will Win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus

Another category, another brilliant performance with one last chance for recognition. Leslie Knope will go down in history as one of the most iconic characters of all time and Amy Poehler gets far too little appreciation for that feat. I could see Amy Schumer riding her standout year to a win, Melissa McCarthy style, but the reality will probably be far more predictable. It’s the Emmys and its Julia Louis-Dreyfus.

Outstanding Reality Competition

The Amazing Race
Dancing With The Stars
Project Runway
So You Think You Can Dance
Top Chef
The Voice

What Will Win: The Amazing Race

The Amazing Race is the Julia Louis-Dreyfus of reality competitions.

Outstanding Variety Series

The Colbert Report
The Daily Show With Jon Stewart
Jimmy Kimmel Live
Last Week Tonight With John Oliver
Late Show With David Letterman
The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

What Should Win: The Daily Show With Jon Stewart
What Will Win: The Colbert Report

The two heavyweights of this category both ended this year, so it’s kind of a tossup to which one will get the final honor. Colbert has the odds right now, but I can see the sentiment vote going to the show that started it all.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama

Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul
Ben Mendelsohn, Bloodline
Jim Carter, Downton Abbey
Peter Dinklage, Game Of Thrones
Alan Cumming, The Good Wife
Michael Kelly, House Of Cards

Who Should Win:  Jonathan Banks
Who Will Win: Ben Mendelsohn

Wow, what a tough category, nothing but powerhouse performances as far as the eye can see! My heart is so torn between Jonathan Banks and Michael Kelly— just kidding, MIKE EHRMANTRAUT 4 LIFE!

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama

Joanne Froggatt, Downton Abbey
Lena Headey, Game Of Thrones
Emilia Clarke, Game Of Thrones
Christine Baranski, The Good Wife
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
Uzo Aduba, Orange Is The New Black

Who Should Win: Christina Hendricks
Who Will Win: Lena Headey

I really want Christina to win because MAD MEN SHOULD WIN ALL THINGS! (I’m sorry, I’ll stop yelling), but I can’t argue that Lena didn’t hand in an astounding performance this season. She had me feeling sorry for Cersei. And I read the books.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy

Andre Braugher, Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Adam Driver, Girls
Keegan-Michael Key, Key & Peele
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Tituss Burgess, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Tony Hale, Veep

Who Should Win: Tituss Burgess
Who Will Win: Tituss Burgess

Two words: Pinot Noir

Outstanding Supporting Actress in Comedy

Mayim Bialik, The Big Bang Theory
Niecy Nash, Getting On
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Allison Janney, Mom
Kate McKinnon, Saturday Night Live
Gaby Hoffmann, Transparent
Jane Krakowski, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Anna Chlumsky, Veep

Who Will Win: Alison Janney

Yeah, sure. I’ll just pretend she’s winning for The West Wing so that it makes sense.

Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series

Joshua Brand for The Americans, “Do Mail Robots Dream Of Electric Sheep?”
Gordon Smith for Better Call Saul, “Five-O”
David Benioff and D.B. Weiss for Game Of Thrones, “Mother’s Mercy”
Semi Chellas and Matthew Weiner for Mad Men, “Lost Horizon”
Matthew Weiner for Mad Men, “Person To Person”

What Should Win: Mad Men, “Lost Horizon”
What Will Win: Mad Men, “Person to Person”

The final episode of any show is never its best and Mad Men was no different in that respect. The finale was good, but “Lost Horizon” was better. However, you can’t escape the poignancy of giving the award to the final episode. Plus, since Matthew Weiner already has an Emmy for writing the pilot, an Emmy for the finale would create bookends too perfect for words.

Outstanding Directing for a Drama Series

Tim Van Patten for Boardwalk Empire, “Eldorado”
David Nutter for Game Of Thrones, “Mother’s Mercy”
Jeremy Podeswa for Game Of Thrones, “Unbowed, Unbent, Unbroken”
Lesli Linka Glatter for Homeland, “From A To B And Back Again”
Steven Soderbergh for The Knick, “Method And Madness”

What Should Win: Game of Thrones, “Mother’s Mercy”
What Will Win: Game of Thrones, “Mother’s Mercy”

Cersi’s walk of shame sealed this one right up.

Outstanding Writing for a Comedy

David Crane and Jeffrey Klarik for Episodes, “Episode 409″
Will Forte for The Last Man On Earth, “Alive In Tucson” (Pilot)
Louis C.K. for Louie, “Bobby’s House”
Alec Berg for Silicon Valley, “Two Days Of The Condor”
Jill Soloway for Transparent, “Pilot”
Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci and Tony Roche for Veep, “Election Night”

What Should Win: Silicon Valley,  “Two Days of The Condor”
What Will Win: Transparent, “Pilot”

Silicon Valley is one of the tightest written comedies ever on television. Unfortunately, their penchant for dick jokes might make it a tough sell of the Emmy voting block.

Outstanding Directing for a Comedy Series

Phil Lord and Christopher Miller for The Last Man On Earth, “Alive In Tucson”
Louis C.K. for Louie, “Sleepover”
Mike Judge for Silicon Valley, “Sand Hill Shuffle
Jill Soloway for Transparent, “Best New Girl”
Armando Iannucci for Veep, “Testimony”

What Should Win: Silicon Valley, “Sand Hill Shuffle”
What Will Win: Veep, “Testimony”

In case you didn’t notice, I got super into Silicon Valley this year. So I shall keep my fingers crossed!

*The Emmys will air Sunday, September 20th at 8/7c on FOX.

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Filed under: Awards

Tags: Emmys, Predictions, TV

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