Hawthorne Showvivor (Fall) Day 2

Day 1 Recap: When examining this race, I felt it was a coin flip between Mulata and COURSER. I went with COURSER.


Smart. COURSER was third while MULATA was fourth. About two thirds of the field went out on day one (the attrition rate is high on the first day), so we attempt to make it through the weekend. Choose MULATA, and we would have been toast.

Day 2 of Hawthorne Showvivor has the G3 Hawthorne Derby as its feature. The Hawthorne Derby is a fun race, but a minefield for Showvivor. Let’s get our play in early in the day with a more manageable field.

Hawthorne Race Course — Race 2 — $15,000 Maiden Claiming — 1 1/16 miles on dirt — post time 2:40 PM CT

A. P. Indy progeny are not the most found of polytrack. Some of their sons take to it, some don’t. Friends Lake (who won the G1 Florida Derby) is one son whose offspring fret at polytrack. Since we’re on dirt, let’s hope the change in scenery propels FRIENDIAN. We’ve also got a jockey/trainer team that hits about 50% in the money and a trainer that’s 17% wins going sprint (last time out was at seven furlongs across town) to route.  BRANSON gets red-hot riding Alex Canchari in the saddle for Wayne Catalano. Drops down a level from $25K to $15K, shifts surfaces, gets blinkers. Maybe all the changes work as his first start was awful on the grass at Arlington. This level often sees horses that need appear to have dead form. Rosemary Homeister, Jr. has a knack for waking up these types and at square prices. She takes the assignment on JOSEPH BLACK, who was fourth last time at Turfway for today’s price. Turfway’s got polytrack, so perhaps dirt is what’s desired. Trainer hits at a solid 28%, but Homeister has been cold in the saddle all meet.

#2 FRIENDIAN (9/2) <— Showvivor Pick

#6 BRANSON (5/1)


Longshot:  #5 CAPTAIN AMERICAN (8/1) could be the longshot that saves your day. Has some stamina-building works on the Arlington polytrack, and drops down from the $25K level to today’s price. This one is coming off the layoff from August, and CAPTAIN AMERICAN was second off the shelf during the Spring meet.

Good luck!

Filed under: Hawthorne, horse racing

Leave a comment