Bruce Rauner wins GOP nomination, now will he get trounced by Pat Quinn?

Bruce Rauner wins GOP nomination, now will he get trounced by Pat Quinn?
Pat Quinn vs. Bruce Rauner

I did something yesterday I had not done since 1994: I pulled a Republican ballot.  It felt alien.  There were other years I flirted with pulling the GOP ballot, but then I always go back to pulling the blue one.

I think I got a look from the woman behind the desk like: “Really?”  Or maybe that was just how I was feeling when I announced.  But I took the ballot and voted for Bruce Rauner.   One great thing about pulling that ballot is it took all of 37 seconds to complete.  There were maybe two judicial candidates for whom I had opportunity to vote.  There were very few GOP races that needed my attention in suburban Cook County.

After all the votes were tallied, Bruce Rauner won the Republican primary election.  The question is now: Can he win the general?

And of course the answer is yes: Rauner can win the general.  He certainly has the money– especially this week and through the end of the month when all the other GOP candidates would not have had any money for the general election, Rauner will be able to pivot and start defining Pat Quinn and attacking his record.  Money is one thing that will help Rauner.  But will it also be his undoing?

I can’t see myself contributing to Bruce Rauner.  Why should I?  How is a $500.00 or $1,000.00  donation going to help a guy who will put in $20 million of his own money in.  And if I feel that way as someone who voted for him– how is he going to identify with people of our state?  He can talk all he wants about his $13.00 watch, but the fact is he has a net worth of roughly $500 million.  So if he earns 5% on that money this year, that means he can buy this election and still be worth over $500 million at the end of the year.  Scary thought.

The other side of the coin is his money provides a counterweight to the money Mike Madigan controls as the Illinois Democratic party chair and labor union money provided to Madigan and the Democratic party.  So I will be interested to see what Rauner does in the next couple weeks.  Bruce Rauner wins if the election comes down to fiscal issues and if Rauner is able to stick to his script (as he did in the primary).  As it turns out, Pat Quinn is running on a “jobs” platform.  Another four letter word Pat Quinn should have used is DEBT as our state is in plenty of red ink.  I get the platform of raising the minium wage and argument Quinn intends on making, but considering the state’s fiscal situation, Pat Quinn is not in any position to telling businesses how to spend money.

Last night’s close result doesn’t mean Rauner will lose in November.  Many of those votes for Dillard should vote for Rauner.  But the GOP must get out the vote better than it did in the primary (a dismal 15% turnout in suburban Cook County).  Rauner MUST win *democrats* like me.  People who are socially liberal and moderate, but decide to vote with their pocketbook in this election.  And he’ll have to give us more than “Let’s shake up Springfield!”  He’s going to have to tell us how– other than term limits– he intends on shaking it up.

And he’ll have to defeat a ground game that Democrats have in this state that Bruce, because he’s a political neophyte, doesn’t have.

Primary night was an interesting night.  As will be the next seven and a half months.

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  • It is a good bet that Quinn wins in November, because of the public union support, Madigan and Cullerton and the situation that there are more people dependent on government (at all levels) for their daily bread and more. The last are not concerned with the DEBT four letter word, because economics is not something with which they are familiar.

  • Personally, I hope Chicago can have enough turnout to overcome Rauner's attempt to buy the governor's office. Have you seen the documentary "Inequality of All"? I thought about it a lot yesterday and will continue thinking about it the November election.

  • In reply to johnpseudonym:

    Duh, Inequality for All. Sorry. Need more coffee.

  • In reply to johnpseudonym:

    I have not seen it. I'll have to check that out.

    It makes me uneasy that Rauner can buy the office. At the same, the other alternative is worse than the unease I feel for the fact that Rauner can buy the office. The status quo is clearly not working. It's time to change directions (I could have put its time to SHAKE UP SPRINGFIELD in all caps-- oops, I just did)

    AND the fact that he can buy the office, in and of itself, doesn't make him a bad candidate.

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    In reply to johnpseudonym:

    Personally I hope that Chicago and Cook County has done a better job in ensuring that people who moved out of the county and registered to vote in their new residence are purged from the voter roles. I moved to DuPage County in 1991, yet I found out that I "voted" in Cook County in several races, until a family member became an election judge and challenged my registration.

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    In reply to johnpseudonym:

    You'd rather keep a guy with a proven record of failure simply because the other guy is rich? C'mon, you gotta do better than that. Einstein's definition of insanity is to repeat the same thing and hope for a different outcome, which is what voting for Quinn amounts to. If you want something better then you need to change something. And if after four years Rauner hasn't gotten the job done then you change things yet again, and you keep doing it until we finally find the man or woman who does it right.

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    While I am not a huge fan of Rauner, listening to Pat Quinn attack Rauner for his "flip-flop" on the minimum wage, while insisting that his signing of the 67% income tax hike didn't violate his campaign pledge to veto any hike higher than 33% is pretty disgusting. That combined with Quinn's decision to delay his budget speech until after the primary was pretty much a cowards ploy.

  • Who cares if Mr. Rauner is worth $500 Million. Who cares if the perception is he "bought" the primary. Does anyone care the Dem's campaigns are financed by the very unions that make the laws in Illinois? Why is that not "the scandal"? The majority of Illinois voters are not in unions but are living in debt to support special interests. Why are so many upset that Mr. Rauner is a very successful businessman rather than embrace the theory he has very transferable skills to do the same in the Governor's office. I am baffled by the ignorance of Dems who continue to support a party that has made Illinois a joke on the national political stage.

  • I'm with ReneeM. Illinois needs a punch in the face and I believe Rauner is the guy to do it. I sometimes switch sides - people need to be open minded about politics. People are leaving this state in a hurry - the burden for those left behind will just be greater. Something has to change.

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    Pat Quinn the grass cutter couldn't even do SOLDIER FIELD
    so th bears lost the GAME>

    THANK PAT

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