The unelectability of Sarah Palin

The unelectability of Sarah Palin
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My wife has been all over me... about Bristol Palin. I walk in the house and my wife is riveted to the television. She's cried over Jennifer Grey and screamed about Bristol. Apparently, Bristol Palin being in the Dancing With The Stars final has been the water cooler topic around the country this week. I've seen Bristol Palin dance on DWTS, it's reminiscent of some of the dancers in Michael Jackson's Thriller: she looks like a zombie. Undead or not, she's in the finals. And she's in the finals because of her mother's cult-like following.

Stop shaking your head. As much as you may not like Sarah Palin, she, at least for now, is a force to be reckoned with. According to a recent Gallup poll, if the Republicans were to nominate a candidate to run against Barack Obama today, Sarah Palin could win the nomination. Of four potential candidates named, Sarah had the support of 16% of those polls, tied with Mike Huckabee. Leading the race was Mitt Romney at 19%, with perennial candidate, Newt Gingrich, receiving 13%.

For those of you shaking your head, don't worry, Sarah Palin will not win the Republican nomination regardless of her current support. There is one thing Sarah as not yet truly received: Republican criticism. And when there have been whispers of criticisms, she and her team freak out.

Remember when Joe Miller demurred when asked on Fox News whether Sarah Palin was qualified to be President of the United States? Alaska's former first dude, Todd Palin, spit of a fiery email to Sarah's attorney:

Hold off on any letter for Joe. Sarah put her ass on the line for Joe and yet he can't answer a simple question " is Sarah Palin Qualified to be President". I DON'T KNOW IF SHE IS.

Joe, please explain how this endorsement stuff works, is it to be completely one sided.

Sarah spent all morning working on a Face book post for Joe, she won't use it, not now.

Put yourself in her shoe's Joe for one day.

Todd

Sure, we can debate whether someone who had to work an entire morning on one Facebook post should be President of the United States, but what will prove to be fatal to Team Palin is how easily her feelings can be hurt by fellow Republicans.

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Joe Miller was not the first Republican to question Sarah Palin's fitness to be president. And he will not be the last Republican critical of her. It has already started with Republican representative Spencer Bachus from Alabama being critical of her involvement in senate races in Delaware, Nevada and Alaska as costing Republicans control of the senate.

It will only begin there. Expect Republicans supporting Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich and other candidates to start questioning Sarah Palin's ability to lead the country. Ultimately, she only has herself to blame. Although there is a litany of questionable statements and made up words, her decision to resign as governor of Alaska will ultimately doom any political bid. There is no explanation for quitting. As difficult as it got for President Bush in 2007 and 2008, he didn't resign. Sarah Palin quit. She quit on her constituents because she could make more money on Fox News.

Sarah Palin has something in common with Jesse Jackson: she's unelectable. Just like Jesse Jackson in the eighties, Sarah Palin has a devoted and loyal following. That 20% will vote for her. That 20% will send her money. That 20% will be very vocal in trying to get her elected and will make her seem more popular than she truly is. Her problem, like Jesse Jackson's, is that her unfavorable ratings are so high, that it will be virtually impossible for her to win the presidency.

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Sarah Palin's unfavorable rating among Americans is 52%. One cannot win the presidency with a 52% disapproval rating. Having a "reality" show on TLC isn't going to make her softer and more cuddly. Her disapproval rating will be in the same area in 14 months when the primaries kick off.  Wrapping herself up in an American flag again will not make much difference.   

If Sarah Palin is the Republican nominee in 2012, its because the economy rebounds and Barack Obama's approval ratings increase to the point where a Republican loss is inevitable. If that happens, like her former running mate, she'll be the sacrificial lamb. If Republicans have a chance to win in 2012, they will not allow Sarah Palin to be their candidate.

Comments

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  • Well said. And, don't you think anyone seeking to run this country would be a bit better able to handle criticism? I felt the same way when Hillary Clinton cried on the campaign trail. It would have been quite a different matter if they'd have shed tears over or write Facebook responses to the misfortune of someone else. I think it proves them quite selfish.

  • In reply to jtithof:

    Oops, I meant wrote.

  • In reply to jtithof:

    I expect (hope?) Republicans will start saying the things they say in backrooms in front of cameras and reporters. She has had an uncanny ability to shrug off critics coming from the left, but when a fellow Republican is critical, she appears to be genuinely hurt and implodes. That will be her undoing as any republican who wants to get the nomination in 2012 will have to take off the kid gloves that everyone has used with her up until now. It will be fun to watch.

    I agree with you about Hilary crying; but her crying ended up being the stroke her campaign needed.

  • In reply to jtithof:

    Very good points. I'd say Palin is unelectable, but I base my reasons on simpler observations. Namely, how she performed in the '08 election. Part of it was either hyping up supposed flaws in Obama's character, like being in the same room as Bill Ayers one day. Part of it was how she divided U.S. citizens, saying some were better than others. I mean, what chance do you have if you stick your tongue out at the most populated areas of the country? And, certainly, part of it is how she tries to criticize people who are educated, as if being educated is a pejorative. But the biggest problem was how she bit the hand that fed her. How she ignored and didn't consult with Senator McCain to go off on her own. The presidential race is too important to be glib, and that's exactly what she was.

  • In reply to jtithof:

    I want her to run in 2012 and want her to win. The country is run by corporate interests anyway. It doesn't matters who wins. We will see the same policies. But her days in white House would be lot more comedic than GB and more so than the blandness of BO.

  • In reply to jtithof:

    Hey,

    Your story appears here:
    http://paper.li/Mitch134?utm_source=paper_update&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=email_notif

  • In reply to jtithof:

    Thanks Jackie! Did you post it there?

  • In reply to jtithof:

    It's WAY too early to say Sarah Palin is unelectable. We used to hear that about Barack Obama for some the same reasons you mentioned. And as far as disapproval ratings go...the President's at 48% and trending the wrong way. It's just too early because you've got to know who she'd be up against. Remember when the prez choices were George W. and John Kerry -- basically a clown contest? And I'm old enough to remember the Carter-Ford "two boobs" election. If these goofs can get there, Palin can get there.

  • In reply to jenmcautry:

    JenJen, thanks for reading, first of all. My opinion, which with $2.25 will get you on the el, is that Palin was viewed as unqualified in November 2008 and the only thing she's done to further qualify herself is resign her office.

    Trust me, I remember Kerry v. Bush. After I voted, I arrived in my office and my assistant told me I looked as white as a ghost. My chest hurt and I had pain radiating into both arms. I called my doctor and was seen in the ER. Fortunately, nothing was wrong with my heart; I had an anxiety attack. I voted for Kerry and ended up in the hospital. True story.

  • In reply to jenmcautry:

    There are many reasons that Palin will never be the next president. She is her own worst enemy and would never admit that. She doesn't possess a smidgen of class, social skills or sophistication. Her verbal skills are erratic and run on with no control switch. Instead of getting help in these areas, she thinks everyone is jealous of her. Really? Jealous of someone that lives their life in a constant double standard? Someone that is so perfect and can never be wrong about anything? A therapist would have a field day with her and deserve every dollar they charge.

  • In reply to millielencioni:

    Like!

    (Also, love the name Millie :)

  • In reply to VelvetMinxx:

    Thanks!

  • In reply to VelvetMinxx:

    She won't run. She can make a lot more money as a pundit. Also, being President is hard work. She couldn't even make it through one term as a governor, no way she can be President.

  • In reply to VelvetMinxx:

    The Repubs will never nominate her because even they know she cannot win(although, just for laughs, I wish they would!)Yeah - I can see it now, Palin/Bachmann in 2012!

  • In reply to jtithof:

    Her own party is against her - even Barbara Bush said the other day that Palin is beautiful, but she should stay in Alaska.

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