The morning political buzz-- Bill Brady likely to become Republican gubernatorial nominee this afternoon

It is expected that the Illinois Board of Elections will certify State Senator Bill Brady (R-Bloomington) this morning as the Illinois Republican nominee for Governor, 31 days after the Primary election.  The margin of victory is expected to be in the 200 vote range. Further, it is expected that the runner-up to Brady in the six candidate field, State Senator Kirk Dillard (R-Hinsdale) will concede to Brady early this afternoon in a Chicago presser.  Finally, Senator Brady has announced a presser to follow Dillard's at the same Chicago location.


However, the above has been worded carefully to include "likely," and "is expected."  The truth of the matter is that it ain't over until it's over, or until the fat lady sings. And, she hasn't sung yet.


But, the smart money says that Brady will be declared the winner and that Dillard will bow out gracefully, going quietly into the night. You will hear people tell you that with the new technology for voting, 200 votes, or so, is just too many to make up, even in a statewide count. You will also hear people tell you that is crazy and that 200 votes is nothing to make up. You will hear people say that Dillard should start at least with the 25% discovery recount, which he can get automatically.


Further, you will hear people say that Brady has had a few muffs this past month in his nascent campaign and that should give Dillard pause in his concession.


But, if Dillard were to act on all of that, he would delay or impede the start of Brady's campaign, in a year that is surely destined to be a Republican comeback, perhaps of dramatic proportions, both nationally and in Illinois.   


So, in the end, the smart money says that Dillard concedes this afternoon and that Brady becomes the official Republican nominee for Governor.


But, as I said, it ain't over till it's over.       



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