Friday's Double-Carryover Pick 5 at Hawthorne

The first two days of racing at Hawthorne were full of surprises, but last weekend's chaos could be your gain.  No one hit the Pick 5 on either of the first two days of the meet, so there is a two-day carryover of $32,621 into Friday's Pick 5 at Hawthorne.

If you usually play the Pick 5, you probably know this already.  But, if you rarely play the Pick 5, this is the time to try it since there's over thirty grand of money before a single person has bet into the pool.  With a $0.50 minimum bet, why not take a shot?

Friday's Pick 5 spans the first five races on the card.  Hawthorne made it a competitive and difficult sequence, covering three maiden races and a pair of salty $5,000 claimers.

Here's my A/B/C/X chart for the Pick 5 sequence, updated to reflect scratches.  Below the chart are my comments on each race.  Let this inform your play -- and good luck becoming one of the first to hit the Pick 5 this Hawthorne spring meet!

Updated Friday, March 10 to reflect scratches.

Race 1: $5,000 claiming, four-year-olds and up, fillies and mares, five and a half furlongs on the dirt, post time 4:10pm CST

A Horses

  • #7 HOLD ME SUE (5/1) -HOLD ME SUE likes the course and distance, gets pace to chase, and gets Rafael Hernandez back in the irons.  Fairmount shippers have been live, and works over that deep track get a horse fit.

B Horses

  • #2 WISHIHADA (5/2) - This filly has local form, and could be dangerous if speed holds.  But, the precipitous class drop raises questions.
  • #4 LADY DOZER (8/1) - Toss the last; LADY DOZER does not do her best over all-weather.  With form over the course, and speed in front of her, she will factor late.

C Horses

  • #1 COOPER'S KEEPER (9/2) - If WISHIHADA doesn't fire, a possibility given what a class drop she takes here, COOPER'S KEEPER could be dangerous as the speed of the speed.
  • #6 LYDIA'S ANGEL (6/1) - She gets a trainer downgrade, and may be more of a beaten $5K type than an open $5K type, but her best could do it.  Chris Emigh should be able to settle her off the speed.
  • #8 CAFERINA (12/1) - Inconsistent, but coming from Fair Grounds makes her the fit horse.  CAFERINA also likes Hawthorne, with two wins and two thirds in five starts.

X Horses

  • #3 MY MOMENT (3/1) - 0-18 on fast dirt.  At a short price, save her for the slop, or for the synthetic at Arlington this summer.
  • #5 APPOLLOS BABY GIRL (20/1) - Too slow, and no form since the barn change last fall.

Race 2: $15,000 maiden claiming, three-year-olds and up, fillies and mares, five and a half furlongs on the dirt, post time 4:37pm CST

A Horses

  • #3 MY TREET (5/2) - Has found his level and running style -- and ought to take this bunch gate to wire.  Hasn't raced since August, but Fairmount works are a plus.

B Horses

  • #2 WADDLE (9/2) - Ran well with Carlos Ulloa last out, and gets him back.  WADDLE is working sharply at Hawthorne, and trainer Chris Dorris can pop at a price off of mid-length lays.
  • #8 SARAH'S MIND (8/1) -  Woke up going short, and held her own against similar last fall.  Rider Diego Sanchez has started the meet well, and trainer Terry Young is good with layoff horses.

C Horses

  • #5 PONTOTOC QUEEN (6/1) - Laid off since November, with only two works.  But, Mike Durham has been live with Remington horses, so can't count her out completely.
  • #6 DORIS STELLA (8/1) - This first-timer does not have a terribly precocious pedigree, but has a month of works at Fairmount, and jockey Edgar Perez can get the best from a lightly-raced maiden.
  • #7 CAUSING SMILES (15/1) - Ran well enough first off a layoff last year, and gets a welcome re-drop from maiden special weight back into claimers.

X Horses

  • #1 MY EMOJI (30/1) - Making the first-time drop into maiden claiming, but still too slow.  Trainer George Iacovacci was 0-74 last meet, and has started this meet 0-6.
  • #4 INDY DANCERS WON (10/1) - Scratched out of a $7,500 maiden claimer last week when connections brought the wrong horse.  She figured against that set, but would need a quantum leap to beat this better company.
  • #9 NAME IT AFTER ME (4/1) - Death, taxes, and NAME IT AFTER ME finishing second.  Key her underneath in trifectas or exactas; don't waste your money in the Pick 5.
  • #10 HOOSSENSATION (20/1) - No precocity in the pedigree, and the barn does not tend to fire off layoffs.  Save her for Fairmount this summer.

Race 3: Maiden special weight, three-year-olds and up, one mile and seventy yards on the dirt, post time 5:04pm CST

A Horses

  • #1 FORGOT TO FORGET (3/1) - Early speed should help, and the series of four- and five-furlong works should have him ready to go a route.  Trainer Joel Berndt is solid with maidens, too.
  • #7 THUNDER DOWN UNDER (5/2) - Cheekily-named Lonhro gelding was competitive against similar last out, and benefits if FORGOT TO FORGET and SIRCORRI get into it.

B Horses

  • #5 SIRCORRI (9/2) - Sharp early speed, and has a shot to outgun FORGOT TO FORGET.  Route experience, a solid string of Fairmount works, and the same connections as half-brother Cat's Runaway, who won a maiden special at Hawthorne last Friday. -- SCRATCHED

C Horses

  • #2 JUST JIM (6/1) - Dirt is a question, but two turns should suit him better than the four and a half furlongs of his only dirt try.  Long, solid worktab at Fairmount.
  • #6 MANDALORIAN (12/1) - Will be a price, and is the only one in the field who actually had a start during Hawthorne's off season.  Could be the fittest horse as a result -- and scratched out of a sprint last week for this spot.

X Horses

  • #3 POWERSTRETCHER (4/1) - Some form over the course and distance, but Liane Davis's charges typically need one off a layoff.
  • #4 ZANFORCE (12/1) - Solid worktab, but debuting at two turns may be a lot to ask, and rider Victor Bailon strikes at a low rate with lightly-raced types.

Race 4: $5,000 claiming, three-year-olds and up, N3L, five and a half furlongs on the dirt, post time 5:31pm CST

A Horses

  • #7 YES I WIN (4/1) - The light is on, he loves the course, and he has good tactical speed.  Toss the flop at Turfway; he's a dirt horse, not synthetic.

B Horses

  • #4 CULTIVATE (8/1) - Belterra and Mahoning form lines raise class questions, but he loves main-track dashes, and he's fast enough.  CULTIVATE also has all-important tactical speed.
  • #6 NORTHERN HONOUR (3/1) - He does his best work at Hawthorne.  And, two starts back, he showed he could effectively cut back to a dash distance.

C Horses

  • #1 MAD ABOUT BEAU (20/1) - Mike Durham and Victor Santiago at a price.  Needs the lead, but looking back to his maiden win, he did prevail in a duel.  Didn't like Remington much, but has back form at Canterbury and Will Rogers that fits.
  • #5 MUNCHER (6/1) - Speed of the speed, and second off the lay.  Mahoning form line raises questions, but perhaps he just hated the slop.

X Horses

  • #2 SHMILY (5/1) - Typically needs a race off a layoff.  Set him aside here, but take a long look at him next out.
  • #3 C F'S RULER (15/1) - Needs to take a step forward from his more recent form, but that is unlikely for this barn coming first off the lay.
  • #8 ADMIRAL SEAN (10/1) - He needs the lead to win, but he's not getting it here.  However, he can get an underneath share from off the pace, so consider him in exactas or trifectas.
  • #9 RED REDEMPTION (9/2) - He needs the lead, and is not getting it here.  Also, five and a half furlongs is too short for him -- save him for six and a half or seven.

Race 5: Illinois-bred maiden special weight, three-year-olds and up, fillies and mares, five and a half furlongs on the dirt, post time 5:58pm CST

A Horses

  • #6 STARIA PEACH (6/1) - Trainer Joel Berndt knows how to get a horse to fire off a lay, and her worktab at Hawthorne is solid.  Her early speed helps, too.
  • #9 SATURDAY'S SONG (3/1) - A first-timer for trainer Scott Becker is always dangerous, and his A rider Victor Santiago gets the call.  Last work was a bullet at Fairmount, almost as long as this race.
  • #10 BITS N PIECES (6/1) - Makes her second career start, and has room to improve.  Trainer Tom Dorris should have her sharp and ready off the winter layoff.

B Horses

  • #1 SHE IS GORGEOUS (5/1) - With as much speed as there is in this field, it could set up for SHE IS GORGEOUS.  She came running late in her debut, and may do the same here. -- SCRATCHED

C Horses

  • #2 KONZA KHROME (9/2) - A standout on speeds, and has two recent races at Fair Grounds.  But, with eight starts and five times on the board, he just might be a second-itis type.

X Horses

  • #3 LIL SCARLET TOO (10/1) - Stablemate to SHE IS GORGEOUS.  Blinkers-on, but barn 0 for its last 14 with that move.  Not a terribly precocious pedigree, either.
  • #4 SHEZAFRIENDLYGHOST (20/1) - Ambitiously placed for her first start since being claimed out of a lowest-level open maiden claimer, and the Mike Campbell barn does not excel with layoff horses. -- SCRATCHED
  • #5 MARNATE (15/1) - Taking a step up in class here, and the barn typically needs one off a lay.  However, keep her in your pocket if she returns to a sprint second or third off the lay.
  • #7 NO HABLO INGLES (12/1) - Puts blinkers on for the first time.  Hard to see him progressing enough to win, but the barn often invades lower rungs of exactas and trifectas at long odds.
  • #8 LAUNCH AWAY (20/1) - This first-timer has no precocity in her pedigree, and trainer Dennis Hughes is 0 for his last 17 with debut runners. -- SCRATCHED
  • #11 A STORMY CAPE (15/1) - Her connections rarely strike with first-timers.  Her pedigree screams two turns on the turf -- not one turn on the dirt.

***

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Filed under: Hawthorne, horse racing

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