Saratoga Bankroll Day 5

In a partnership with Thorofan, we'll be offering Bankroll plays for each day of the Saratoga meet.   Each day, we'll take fifty dollars ($50.00) and use it throughout the card and try to turn it into bigger money.  The goal is simple: end the meet with more than we started.  A scorecard will be maintained at the bottom of the post.

We remind that picks will be voided in two scenarios: 1) the selection (or part of it) scratches and the picks are not updated to reflect it and 2) the race changes surfaces. Saratoga is famous for its pop-up thunderstorms that deluge in an hour, go away, and leave an off-the-turf card in its wake.

An agreement wasn't in place between all parties for day 1. So our piece will be a day behind the current day of the meet.  July 25, which is covered below, is Day 6 of the meet.

Day 4 Recap: While we were right FLASH FORWARD could be second, PROFETIZA ran wide all the way around, checked in fifth, and sunk all the wagers.   So fifty in and zero back.

Now that we have a new fifty dollar bill to spend, let's go!

Saratoga Race Course -- Race 8 -- Quick Call Stakes -- 5 1/2 furlongs on Mellon Turf (outer turf course) -- post time 4:49 pm ET

What follows is turf only.   This stakes for three-year-old turf sprinters is a wide-open puzzle.  STRIKE THE NOTE is a rare Arlington shipper (go ahead, call me a homer), but he wasn't that far behind Yankee Injunity last time in a N2X allowance against older.  That's big because the winner in that race was good enough to get into the Arlington Sprint, and he's facing only his own age group in this spot.  Also, he was speed on an Arlington grass course that wasn't kind to it.  Trainer Calhoun is more than competent with turf sprinters; exhibit A being Chamberlain Bridge.  His only bad turf sprint so far was in New Orleans.  CENTRAL BANKER graduated last summer over this course for conditioner A. Stall, Jr.  On pace he's a factor as a lot of these like to go to the front, but he's a confirmed off-the-pace type.  Hasn't started since running a stinker in the G3 Delta Jackpot, but Stall does fire after long rests.  He also was second in a $75K stakes for frosh turf types at Kentucky Downs last fall, proving that turf sprinting is in his scope.  THE BROTHERS WAR is a Team Valor/Mettee production.  This is the familiar Team Valor modus operandi of purchasing a horse overseas and bringing it over to the States.  It worked recently in the G3 American Derby, and they do it with a runner that won two back in France at six panels.  It's possible this is a throwaway start with aims on longer and richer races.  But he's seven of eight in the money lifetime, cashing checks in minor stakes.

Selections:

#7 STRIKE THE NOTE (8/1)

#4 CENTRAL BANKER (8/1)

#8 THE BROTHERS WAR (6/1)

Longshot: J. Castellano on the grass is always worth a look, especially if he climbs aboard a 15/1 shot in #6 BENNIE THE JET (15/1).  Second in a turf stakes last time to WEEKEND HIDEAWAY, won a turf sprint three back, and ran a disposable race going a mile.

Day 5 Wager: Even though STRIKE THE NOTE is the win pick, I waffled between STRIKE THE NOTE and CENTRAL BANKER as to which to use first and which to use second.  Either is a solid top two candidate, so we'll play them each in the win and place pools.  And we'll also box them in an exacta if they should both finish 1-2.

Wager:

---$10 win and place, #4 CENTRAL BANKER ($20)

---$10 win and place, #7 STRIKE THE NOTE ($20)

---$5 Exacta box of CENTRAL BANKER-STRIKE THE NOTE, 4-7 ($10)

Scorecard:

  • Day 3 Investment: $50
  • Day 3 Return: $0.00
  • Total Return: $86.50
  • Total Investment: $200
  • Meet ROI Entering day 3: -56.75%
  • Meet Profit/Loss Entering Day 3:  $113.50 loss

Good luck!

Filed under: horse racing, Saratoga

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