Saratoga Bankroll Day 10

In a partnership with Thorofan, we'll be offering Bankroll plays for each day of the Saratoga meet.   Each day, we'll take fifty dollars ($50.00) and use it throughout the card and try to turn it into bigger money.  The goal is simple: end the meet with more than we started.  A scorecard will be maintained at the bottom of the post.

We remind that picks will be voided in two scenarios: 1) the selection (or part of it) scratches and the picks are not updated to reflect it and 2) the race changes surfaces. Saratoga is famous for its pop-up thunderstorms that deluge in an hour, go away, and leave an off-the-turf card in its wake.

An agreement wasn't in place between all parties for day 1. So our piece will be a day behind the current day of the meet.  July 30, which is covered below, is Day 11 of the meet.

Day 9 Recap: Don't you hate when you're right the most wrong way?  "Now watch CEASE finish third..." was mentioned in the wager, and that's what happened.  Worse is when the wager is win and place.  Another goose egg as we reach close out the first quarter of the meet.

Now that we have a new fifty dollar bill to spend, let's go!

Saratoga Race Course - - Race 6 - - John's Call Stakes - - 1 5/8 miles on Mellon Turf -- post time 3:41 pm ET

(Turf only.) Today's minor stakes with a hundred grand up for grabs is for those who haven't won a graded turf stakes since New Year's Day.  Although trainer J. Toscano is only a 10% trainer on the year, he shows a positive ROI in all his starts.  Toscano took STAR CHANNEL last time for $62,500 and moves him up to this restricted stakes.  STAR CHANNEL was taken off the pace two back in a strong renewal of the G2 Monmouth Stakes, and that did him in from the start.  Won three back and won last time while getting claimed.  Think the move up off the claim makes sense, and he's going into this event as perhaps the controlling speed.   Let's hope for an aggressive ride from Saez and go with this four-year-old by English Channel in a moderate upset. QUICK CASABLANCA is a Rosario/Clement production.  A winner of G1s in South America last year, he makes his third start of the year in the States.  Discard the wet turf race, and lost to fellow entrant HYPER and to Teaks North the G1 United Nations runner up two back in a minor stakes at ten panels.  Makes sense as a win candidate too, odds the trump card to putting this one second.  HARRODS CREEK won this race last year and trainer Mott is quietly having a good Saratoga meet.  In turf and synthetic marathons, he usually finds a way to hit the board.  Problem is that he went off form last year in the G3 Louisville (4th to Simmard) and the G3 Stars and Stripes (6th to Ioya Bigtime).  Still, he's won over the course (because he's the defending champion).

Selections:

#5 STAR CHANNEL (10/1)

#1 QUICK CASABLANCA (7/2)

#10 HARRODS CREEK (6/1)

Longshot: #6 ALBURJ (20/1) may be winless in flat races in the States, but did win three back going over two miles in a steeplechase race.  E. Prado climbs aboard for Maryland/Virginia connections, which makes sense given that he started there.  Should get the distance in this marathon race given that he broke his maiden at 1 1/2 miles, and was second over at Kentucky Downs (on a European-style undulating course) to close out 2012.

Day 10 Wager:  The three horses above will be used, each at equal strength, in the wager.  At a $1 minimum, the trifecta to box all three costs $6.  Same for the exacta.  So we'll play the three-horse trifecta box four times and the exacta box four times.  That leads to $48, with the last two bucks going toward a win wager on STAR CHANNEL, our top selection.

Wager (turf only):

---$4 1-5-10 trifecta box of QUICK CASABLANCA, STAR CHANNEL, and HARRODS CREEK ($24)

---$4 1-5-10 exacta box of QUICK CASABLANCA, STAR CHANNEL, and HARRODS CREEK ($24)

---$2 win on #5 STAR CHANNEL ($2)

Scorecard:

  • Day 9 Investment: $50
  • Day 9 Return: $0.00
  • Total Return: $199.75
  • Total Investment: $450.00
  • Meet ROI Entering Current Day: -55.56%
  • Meet Profit/Loss Entering Current Day:  $250.25 loss

Filed under: horse racing, Saratoga

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