For more details on Hawthorne Showvivor, please see the post "On the Eve of Hawthorne Showvivor".
That's the theme to the first day of Hawthorne Showvivor. It's a tricky card, to say the least. You don't have recency to go on, and Hawthorne's weekday cards are often populated with lower-level runners where paddock inspection is a must.
Try that when you're handicapping a few days out and you won't be at the track.
But, for Showvivor, we will (for each day we are alive) give a 1-2-3 pick with a longshot for the race, along with our horse in bold for Showvivor.
The first pick is for Friday February 24.
Race 8 -- N1X Allowance -- post time 5:10 CT
Even though #5 ART OF SURVIVAL ran in this same condition last time at Oaklawn, I think she was facing better down in Arkansas than here. She also moves from an outside post (when she was hung wide) to a more middle post, and that along with the change of scenery should do the trick. One of the best trainers in the business at coming off a layoff is Wayne Catalano. He sends two out here and we will us them both. Slight edge to MISSJEANLOUISE, who was good enough last spring to cash a check in the Pretty Jenny, and this one-paced type has never been worse than third at Hawthorne in six lifetime tries. SACRED HONOR should get more pace to chase and retains Perez. Could be dangerous as the "other" Catalano, and the work tab has been comparable to her barnmate.
#5 ART OF SURVIVAL (4/1) <-- Showvivor Pick
#6 MISSJEANLOUISE (7/2)
#3 SACRED HONOR (9/2)
Longshot: #1 HELLO HANNAH (8/1) found new life on the Hawthorne dirt last fall with three wins in the last four starts. I'd want at least 10-1, as she's stepping up from conditioned claimers to this allowance, gets a rider change that could be a flag of concern, and won't have a free lunch on the front end. But she could be dangerous if the Hawthorne surface is kind to front speed.