Can the Cubs beat the Red Sox?

Historic series! 1918! Can you believe how long ago that was? That was so long ago!

Who cares, it's 2011 and the Red Sox are way better than the Cubs. But that doesn't necessarily mean the North Siders are about to be swept.
Having said that, tonight looks like a sure loss. Jon Lester is probably better than any pitcher the Cubs have faced so far this season, and Doug Davis is probably just as bad as any starter the Red Sox have faced. The one thing working in Chicago's favor is that Lester is a lefty, and most of the Cubs halfway-decent hitters are righties. I could see Soriano hitting a liner off the Green Monster down 6-0 in the 7th or something like that.
Saturday's game matches Carlos Zambrano up against Alfredo Aceves, since both John Lackey and Daisuke Matsuzaka are on the DL for the Sawx. Aceves has a 3.14 ERA in 143.1 career major league innings, but has only started just five games previously. Maybe the Cubs can steal one on Saturday.
Then on Sunday, Tim Wakefield will make his third start of the season. He'll put his 5.40 ERA on the line against Matt Garza, who has a 3.83 career ERA against the Red Sox. The Cubs seem like just the team that would strike out 10 or more times against a knuckle baller like Wakefield, but the pitch has a track record of being a feast-or-famine type of thing, so it could go either way.
I guess when I put it that way, it feels like maybe the Cubs could even win this series? But that seems terribly unlikely. If I had to guess: 9-1 L on Friday, 5-4 L on Saturday, 3-1 L on Sunday. But maybe you're more optimistic than I am.
Go Cubs!


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  • 3-2 L on Sunday...Garza will over-perform Wakefield, but bullpen will bump noses and Papelbon will get a W.

  • Garza scratched on Sunday? I can't be the only one to think that Mr. Riggins doesn't have any idea how to handle a pitching staff

  • Get well soon, Marlon.

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