Breaking Down the Bears Postseason Possibilities

Breaking Down the Bears Postseason Possibilities

We're not going to start addressing the offseason until the offseason. That's been the rule around here since we started and it will continue to be the rule. You're only guaranteed 16 games a season as an NFL fan/follower/writer and some of my favorite moments watching this team have come in regular season games with zero postseason impact.

Here is the Bears playoff prospective.

  1. Bears must win their last two games for any scenario to matter. They must go on the road and win in Arizona and Detroit to finish the season 10-6.
  2. Minnesota must lose one of their final two games at Houston or home to Green Bay. They will be a significant underdog in both although there is a possibility the Packers rest their starters for the finale.
  3. NFC East Scenario I: If Dallas loses to the Saints Sunday and beats Washington in the final week, Bears are in.
  4. NFC East Scenario II: If Washington loses to the Eagles Sunday and beats the Cowboys in the final week, Bears are in.
  5. NFC East Scenario III: If the Giants drop one of their final two (at Baltimore, home to Philly) the Bears do not need to concern themselves with Washington and Dallas. Bears can't beat Giants for wild card due to conference record.

So here's what a Bears fan wants.

Early Games Sunday: Vikings lose to Houston and either Washington or Dallas lose. If neither of the latter teams lose....

Late Games Sunday: Bears beat Arizona and Baltimore beats the Giants.

What are the odds on any of this happening?

Not bad actually. I think Minnesota will drop at least one of their final two. And if the Ravens could deal the Giants a second loss the Bears will find themselves going to Detroit, most likely, for a shot at the sixth seed.

But the real question is this: can the Bears win back-to-back road games?

Comments

Leave a comment
  • We can if we come to play. Hopefully no more significant injuries and possibly a little luck.

  • I'm not feeling horribly optimistic about the Bears winning their last two. Arizona kicked the snot out of Detroit last week, and so it seems like they're deciding to finish out their season.

  • In reply to SC Dave:

    You should not be concerned about Arizona "giving a fuck".

    You should be concerned with Detroit "giving a fuck".

  • In reply to thebigcheese:

    go to www.chicagotribune.com and click on the sports section. Then click on Bears. On the right hand side with all of the ads is an NFL.com running ad with all of the Bears/Packers highlights. I want to get your opinion as to whether James Jones push off on Kelvin Hayden for the first touchdown was worse than Jeffreys.

    It's tough when refs start impacting the game like that.

  • In reply to Waffle:

    Well, I'll be damned; it's come to this. Johnny Waffle making excuses on account of the officiating. If nothing else, Waffle was always a gracious loser. I guess that's what happens when the light at the end of the tunnel has officially been extinguished, even for the most optimistic of homers.

    What happened to those stories about your father giving you tough love and telling you never to make excuses, no matter what? About how excuses are for pussies?

    God I hope Virginia McCaskey and Phil Emery could be half as obtuse as you are and believe they can win next year with what they have. I really hope they also think that the Bears would have won that game had it not been for the refs throwing flags on Alshon Jeffery when he extends his arm.

    Hell, maybe they do? Maybe that's why the Bears still suck?

    Here's to Love/Tice 2013!!!!

  • In reply to thebigcheese:

    i actually just wanted your honest opinion. I just happened to see it on the web page when i was debating whether to watch the stupid fucking Rosenbloom video. My issue is not with just this game, it's the inconsistency that I thought was resolved when the replacement refs were...replaced.

    I think they got on a weird little roll with the Alshon thing and it spiraled out of control. That has never happened ever in the 25 yrs i've been watching football....because it just wasn't OPI all 3 fucking times. It just wasn't.

    I'm just not a big fan of refs getting that deep into the result of the game. Believe me, nothing would have pleased me more than to win with Cheta Ozugwu at DE and Blake Costanzo at LB with Armando fucking Allen at RB....but alas, it was not to be. I'm begging the football gods to let us have another shot at GB. That was a W that Tice just couldn't let us have. The next one would be fun.

  • In reply to Waffle:

    My honest opinion is that the jeffery penalties that I saw, I totally agreed with (the TD and the long pass). I can't remember the other one (a seven yard pass I think).

    I thought that the 4th down throw should have been called on shields (when he pulled the jersey).

    I thought the costanzo hold on Finley was obvious, even in real time. The reason the back judge called it was because the side judge couldn't see the neck pull from his angle. Half of soldier field could though.

    I didn't have volume, but I remember screaming when shields got called for ill contact after Jeffrey tossed him aside by the facemask.

    I thought the pepper's penalty is what sucks about the NFL over the last three years, but it was also maybe the easiest call of the game.

    That's my honest opinion.

  • In reply to thebigcheese:

    also, the light is never extinguished until it's officially over. We're making the playoffs and that is a fact.

    I actually love Rodgers playing style and skills but as a Packer fan I'd be very, very concerned about the fact that it took us pissing the fucking game away for you to win. You are now seeing why you are one and done again this year. The only way you were making the 2nd round was with a bye.

    Now, i've already called Alshon and told him to call that back judge and apologize for banging his daughter. i think they smoothed it over so I think the chances are slim that we make NFL history again with 3 OPI calls again against the same guy.

    Tice unfortunately was noncommital when I asked him whether we could throw it Brandon's way when we're within 10 yards of the endzone.

  • In reply to Waffle:

    Pissing the game away is missing 2 FGs, botching a ST lateral And fumbling in bears territory when you're up 21-7.

    That game was on its way to being a laugher.

    I don't think the packers are that great. I don't really care if we win the SB this year. We won it 2 years ago, stole the Halas trophy from Virginia, beat lovie down 6 times in a row, and sent him packing after the last home game of his career after clinching the north in the house that Raji shook. That's enough for me.

  • In reply to thebigcheese:

    The trio of Raji, Matthews and Tice is one of the most formidable forces in the NFL today. Some say those 3, when working together can't be contained.

  • In reply to Waffle:

    Its even more appropriate considering Raji needs Tice to dominate. He's my favorite packer, but he has been pretty damn ordinary. He fucking exploded yesterday. 3 of his top 6 plays of the season probably came yesterday. Shields and Raji both have regressed since 2010, but they both seem to come up huge at soldier

  • In reply to SC Dave:

    Do we want to win the last two if they're meaningless? I just don't get that. If you're not in the playoffs, then having a high pick is the only sensible thing to achieve. We don't need to tank games, just play them out.

  • Hers a good article about Louis Nix, the big ND nose tackle. Seems to be another high character young man.
    http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/college-football/news/20121217/louis-nix-notre-dame/?sct=hp_t2_a9&eref=sihp

  • In reply to #76 Mongo Murph:

    J'Marcus Webb still plays for the Bears and you're posting about nose tackles? the Bears better not think about the defense until they acquire (at minimum) 2 lineman.

  • In reply to FQD1911:

    FQD, he isnt even coming out of school. It was an article about a guy passing up the money for something more meaningful. How the hell did you get that I was lobbying for a D line draft pick? Get a refund from Evelyn Wood.

  • In reply to #76 Mongo Murph:

    MURPH!!!! Get some!

    Fucking cracks me up now that I can see you saying what you type in that thick chicago accept and fuck you tone.

    Fucking awesome.

  • In reply to FQD1911:

    FQ!!!!!!

    Fucking a maings... fuckinga

  • In reply to FQD1911:

    Dude .... it needs to be the whole fkn draft on O-lineman.

    thanks Jerry. You dickhead.

  • In reply to #76 Mongo Murph:

    Irish Chocolate! He'll anchor da Bears 3-4 in 2014, pound it in on 3rd & goal, maybe catch a TD pass or two.

    Whaddaya think, Irish? Do they really pet mooses in Ireland?

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rm0HCpaEjAI

  • http://www.foxnews.com/sports/2012/12/17/bears-toeaina-lands-on-ir/

    Bringing up an O.T. from the practice squad.

  • Do we really want to go into the playoffs with this offense? and add some more disappointment to this season?

    Our offense stinks and we cant win anything with these guys. Jay Cutler has seriously giving me a shit load of more doubt. I do not think this guy can lead a team, and/or be a championship QB. Our defense has constantly kept us in games, but do we have a QB to lead us to a win? HELL NO!

    Look at our record to the Packers. How can we be the best when we cant even beat the best in our division?

    I'm looking to the off season already. I will enjoy these next two games but save us the embarrassment in the playoffs. Do you truly think these guys can win it all?

    Our offense blows!

  • In reply to Fresno,Ca Bear Fan:

    Yes. I want to go into the playoffs with this offense. We don't have another. And I would prefer playoffs to no playoffs. I look forward to watching Alshon Jeffrey playing a PI free game this Sunday and making Cards pay for devoting extra bodies to Marshall. Thanks for asking.

  • Tired of the constant optimism around here. Time to wake up gentlemen. We have been through this same story with the same coaches and players for too long. Next year will be different? that's what we said last time, and the time before that. We know what Lovie has to offer. Time for a change.

  • In reply to Fresno,Ca Bear Fan:

    Cheer up. Our hopes could be crushed before the Bears take the field this Sunday.

  • In reply to Fresno,Ca Bear Fan:

    Constant optimism HERE?

    You and I must get different feeds...

  • In reply to Who is Willie Gault:

    Jolly la la la la la, sing a happy song!

  • After yesterday's game I thought I picked up a familiar scent in the air. I think it' might be despair...

  • In reply to tobijohn:

    Not me Tobi. I'm pulling for the six seed. I want to see the Bears go up to GB and beat the
    three seed Packers at their place. That's what I want. I'll worry about cleaning up the mess when the party's over.

  • NFC East Scenario IV (West Coast Meltdown Edition): If the Giants and either Washington or Dallas wins out, and Seattle gets Hanied by Flynn in for a concussed Wilson, Bears are in. I'm feeling this one!

  • Well, one positive is both the Texans and GB have a chance for a first round bye/home field advantage so I don't think the Vikings are going to get any breaks the last two games. So that's one possible WC team I don't think we have to worry about....

  • Seattle's put up over 100 points in the last two games. I don't feel quite so bad about our meltdown against them.

  • In reply to Ufficio:

    And Kaepernik burned the Patriots for 4 TD passes IN Foxboro so, apparently, he ain't exactly "chopped liver", either.

    Still, facts are facts. Bears haven't really beaten a good team.

    Could they beat the Colts again this week? Luck threw 300+ just getting his feet wet and with the Bears at 100%.

  • In reply to Ufficio:

    Basically their defense plus Marshawn Lynch.

  • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71vqGyWTs3c

  • you just don't turn it off.

    I want to win out, get a little help and then make our run....just like we planned. lull them to sleep and then bang bang.

  • Sheer brilliance:

    Six of the seven players designated by the Bears to be inactive Sunday were injured. The seventh, third quarterback Josh McCown, was perfectly healthy. But the Bears chose to have McCown in street clothes and running back Michael Bush in uniform even though Bush said he was “down” for the game with a rib injury.

    Confused yet?

    It was worth asking Bush what the deal was because he was in uniform but wasn’t used in the third quarter when the Bears had two cracks from the Packers’ 1-yard line. Matt Forte was stuffed for no gain on second down and again on third down. That’s one of the critical roles the Bears signed Bush to fill: scoring from the goal line. But Forte, who never has excelled in short yardage, was called on and failed while Bush was in uniform on the sideline.

    Here's my entire postgame chat with Bush:

    Q: Were you OK to play?

    MB: “I didn’t get in. I was down.”

    Q: Then why did you have a uniform and not Josh McCown?

    MB: “I don’t know. You are asking the wrong person. I was dressed. I was in uniform.”

    Q: Do you have a broken rib?

    MB: “No. It’s not broken.”

    Q: Painful?

    MB: “I’d rather not say.”

    Q: When you have played you have been good in short yardage. Does that make this specific situation frustrating?

    MB: “Yeah, but that wasn’t ... I don’t know what to tell you. I really can’t tell you too much.”

  • In reply to Ufficio:

    I'm betting if they had put Bush in on first and goal, used him as a decoy and faked it to him, Cutler could have bootlegged in or hit Spaeth uncontested.
    Tice seems incapable of that much imagination.

  • In reply to Albertintucson:

    fake to bush, forte, qb sneak, pass to marshall, pass to alshon, anything except for the one play that can get blown up easiest. damnit Tice. forte doesn't have any violent burst down at the goalliine to get that yard.

  • In reply to Waffle:

    Every motherfucker on the planet knows that except Tice. 50 light-years from now, NFL broadcasts will reach an alien planet and the inhabitants will wonder, "Why the fuck is that asshole always trying to pound Forte up the middle. Stupid Earthlings, lets invade."

  • In reply to Crunch Buttsteak:

    Unless Earl Campbell is still alive, in cryogenic freeze. They will hold off then, because he is one bad mofo.

  • In reply to Waffle:

    Can we call any fake handoff to bush a Merkin?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merkin

  • Thank you.

    Why couldn't you post that Sunday... say 3:15pm CT?

    Better late than never, I suppose...

    Like a Lovie canning. (Or caning, I guess).

    BLAME CANADA!

  • In reply to Who is Willie Gault:

    And that bitch Anne Murray too!

  • Done!

  • yes, yes we can.

  • I don't really know what to say about the next two games.

    Both games will NOT be push overs..AZ suddenly woke up last game and Detroit hates us as much as we hate them.

    If we win both then Hooray for us if not then I won't be surprised.

    All I know is I hate Tice more than I hated Martz. I still hate Lovie as a head coach. I hate the McCaskeys for their repeated inaction and lack of ownership skills. I still and forever will hate Jerry Angelo...Wherever he is I hope he's choking on a chicken bone right now.

    I still LOVE THE BEARS...because they have to repeatedly overcome all of the above season after season.

    BEAR DOWN BEARS...I have NEVER booed you...and never will.

  • In reply to Bears-4-Ever:

    Man that's a lot of hate B4E.

  • Nobody has touched on #54's rant. I've always liked him as a player and appreciated his honesty. He's not exactly a Rhodes Scholar and I wish he hadn't let loose with the media/fans quote. I understand where he's coming from but he can't win this one. The media has already started punishing him. I'm guessing most Bears fans aren't too concerned but the foaming mouth breathers will go insane. This very likely could be his last year with the Beloved and I hate to see it end like this. That total douche Morrisey at the S/T's has already said that #54's and Bears Mgmt's disdain for the media is in effect disdain for the fans. What a total load of shit.

  • In reply to CanadaBear:

    I heard his comments on ESPN radio this morning. He was answering a question and his answer was somewhat taken out of context. He was laughing about the booing and that to mean says he knows damn well other teams especially Philly and NY are booed all the time. As I said a bit out of context and of course the media is going to hammer him and it's too late to stop it now.

    The blood is in the water and the sharks are ready to frenzy.

Leave a comment