Reverend's Rant & Picks Contest Spreads

Reverend's Rant & Picks Contest Spreads

The Week's Lines.

Remember:

  • You only pick one team against the spread.
  • Once you select the team they are unavailable to you for the remainder of the season.
  • It is NOT a survival pool. The highest winning percentage at Week 15 will be awarded the prize. If there are ties, we'll decide in Weeks 16 and 17 by increasing the number of games selected incrementally.
  • You don't need to pick every week. But you must make ten selections between Week One and Week Fifteen.
  • DO NOT MAKE YOUR SELECTION IN THE BODY OF ANOTHER COMMENT. YOUR SELECTION SHOULD BE IT'S OWN COMMENT AND CONTAIN ONLY THE NAME OF THE TEAM YOU ARE SELECTING. (Otherwise it's a terrible bitch for me to tally up each week.)
  • Picks are due by kickoff of the early games Sunday. Picks will only be accepted in the comments of THIS post.

(Home team in CAPS)

DENVER -1.5 Pittsburgh

Seattle -3 ARIZONA

Carolina -3 TAMPA BAY

GREEN BAY -5 San Francisco

Atlanta -3 KANSAS CITY

DETROIT -7 St. Louis

HOUSTON -11.5 Miami

MINNESOTA -3.5 Jacksonville

New England -5 TENNESSEE

NEW ORLEANS -7 Washington

NEW YORK JETS -3 Buffalo

Philadelphia -9 CLEVELAND

CHICAGO -10 Indianapolis

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  • I'll be first to select.

    Patriots -5.

  • In reply to Jeff Hughes:

    You guys see how he did that?

  • In reply to Shady:

    What, you mean the way he ignored his own rule on what NOT to do above?

  • In reply to ChiRy:

    I kid cause I love Jeff

  • First to say Gregg Rosenthal is an idiot.

  • Damn. Walking it off now.
    Rosenthal has the Seahawks finishing with a better record than the Niners and the Bears. WTF?

  • Detroit -7

    Also, I think it's funny that some who don't play FF because they don't want to root for anyone but the Bears can still wager or play these kind of pools.

    I guess one can just keep choosing AFC teams, but that reduces your choices by half.

  • What did I just ask you NOT to do above? I asked one thing. One measly little request and it took five comments for my request to be defecated upon.

  • In reply to Jeff Hughes:

    Oops. My bad. I thought you would just get the prediction at the top and move on.

    I was too busy laughing at the rant. Forgive me, for I know not what I have done.

  • In reply to Jeff Hughes:

    jesus!

    Hey $, did you asshole pucker a little like in grade school.

  • In reply to MB30SD:

    haha...I like defecating, esp on requests or packer honks lol

  • San Francisco

  • In reply to Johnnywad:

    Jacksonville +3.5

  • Just curious Jeff, say one guy is 10 for 10 and another guy is 15 for 15, or let's say one guy is 8 for 10 and another guy if 12 for 15, percentage-wise they've got the same record so they'll go into weeks 16 and 17 in a playoff? Is that right?

  • In reply to Shady:

    that was maths... right?

  • Once you'd gone 10 for 10, you would stop. Unless you were crazy.

  • The other two records would yes make it to the playoff rounds.

  • Detroit -5

  • As long as we're talking about picks it seems appropriate to repost this from the end of the last thread...

    For those of you who don't already dislike Eagle Shill and NFC East apologist, Sal Palantonio, chew on this: He picks the Colts to beat the Bears Sunday and PUNCTUATED his prediction on The Herd this morning with this "I really hate Jay Cutler" quote which I cite, VERBATIM (Whadday know, Crown, MORE Latin!) ...

    "Cutler's gonna be in full POUT mode half-way thru the 2nd quarter..."

    On the same show, Lomas Brown ALSO picked the Colts to win.

    Sal Pal is banking on Mssrs. Freeney and Mathis spending the afternoon in the Bear backfield while Mr. Brown thinks Luck will carve up the Bear defense and doesn't think that Marshall and Cutty have their chemistry back, yet.

    I soooo hope the Bears serve them up a large order of CROW to ingest on Sunday evening.

  • In reply to Albertintucson:

    I don't mind it. In fact, I think there was just a liiiittle too much love going on for the Bears this week. I always get a bit nervous when everyone and their brother are picking the Bears. Sal Pal's comments don't bother me at all.

  • In reply to Shady:

    Yeah, I'm with you Shady (and the Rev). All this kool-aid is making me feel bloated.

    It's almost refreshing getting to get some good ole Bear hating from idiots like Palantonio.

    If it weren't for Wilson being a rook and not having anyone to throw to, I'd think Seattle would be very dangerous. They will be, but not this year.

    A sneaky pick is the Chiefs. They're pretty much like the 9ers last year. Run-Def (although they do have both Bowe and Baldwin) oriented playing in a sub-par division.

    Same question mark to: is Matt Cassell (much like Alex Smith last year) serviceable enough to make a run?

  • * excuse the typos. It's TGIF, and my mind's slack.

  • In reply to Shady:

    Shady, those comments bother the fuck out of me because he gets paid to utter that nonsense.

    Where is Sal getting his info? Twitter from 2010?

  • In reply to Shady:

    It wasn't the prediction so much as the disdain in his voice. And he's been such a whore with his Jets coverage.

  • In reply to Albertintucson:

    Not surprised. The Bears whipped his precious Eagles the last 2 times. Let's see, the QB for his team served time for a very distasteteful crime and he's OK with that but he's not OK with Cutler being pissed off when things don't go well. HMMMMMMMMMMMMM. Homer anyone?

  • In reply to Albertintucson:

    AL I'm not surprised that clown hates Cutler after the humiliation he handed Sal's precious Eagles the last two times we faced them. Funny part is that most of my Eagle friends are quite fond and respectful of #6, probably on account of his toughness.

  • In reply to ben in norcal:

    I can't stand Sal and I can't stand haters, but haters gonna hate.

  • NEW ORLEANS -7.

  • Philadelphia

  • RUM and COKE poured...
    MW3 inserted...
    Devil Children asleep...
    Wife uninterested in any interaction tonight...
    College Football all Saturday...
    NFL and Bears all sunday at Buffalo Wild Wings...

    Life is good.

  • Arizona -3

  • In reply to FQD1911:

    forgot the damn plus sign. for clarification, Arizona +3. this is why there needs to be a delete button.

  • Seattle -3

  • NewBear, the post is up early. Better get your pick in tonight.
    Jeff, I hope you have some help keeping track of all the picks this year, or some computer program. Seems like a lot of work involved. Keep up the great posts.

  • Tampa Bay +3

  • tampa +3

  • Detroit .7

  • In reply to lindemrm:

    -7

  • Jets -3

  • Buffalo +3

  • Carolina -3

  • San Francisco +5

  • 2,128 until game time.

  • In reply to TheFifth:

    tick,tick,tick,tick,cant wait!!!!

  • Philly -9

  • FOOTBAAALLLLLL!!!!!

  • Irish sighitng!!!!!!!!!!!

  • Buffalo +3

  • Buffalo +3

  • Carolina -3

  • New England -5

  • Erik-

    Does this mean you have the +/- system figured out this season? Good job, lad.

  • fb_avatar

    New Orleans at -7

  • green bay -5

  • New England -5

  • Detroit -7.

  • 9ers +5.

  • Philadelphia -9

  • I'll be happy to help track picks & rankings. I'm good with database management.

  • Patriots -5

  • NEW ORLEANS -7

  • Lets all stand up and give Patrick Mannelly a round of applause. 15 straight years in the Navy and Orange.

  • In reply to Crown:

    WTG Mr. Mannelly! You know he has Jeff's respect - he still names a lot of columns after Pat's try at on-field coaching.

  • In reply to Crown:

    Damn, 15 years...that's a long time. Didn't he break Sweetness' record for consecutive starts not too long ago?

    Think about that. If you are 30, that means Patrick donned the navy blue when you were 15 and still going to school dances hoping to get to 2nd base with that girl who is now all fat with 3 kids...

  • I was 45 and on the road to divorce. Now I'm remarried and living in a different country.

  • Buffalo + 3

  • http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap1000000059717/article/matt-spaeth-sammie-stroughter-agree-to-pay-cuts

    Looks like Spaeth got reworked. That explains almost nothing.

  • MINNESOTA -3.5

  • Kansas City.

  • Booker out. Allen in.

  • In reply to EnderWiggin:

    What's odd is that Booker is not listed as having a concussion ( I don't think).

    Lovie thinks he's in the NHL I guess (upper body injury).

  • Minnesota

  • Music spam: Rebroadcast of the Peach Music Festival from a few weeks ago. Some kick ass shows by Trigger Hippy, Warren Haynes Band, and Allman Brothers.

    http://www.moogis.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=109&Itemid=75

  • Donks released Hanie. Gee none of us saw that coming!!!!!!!

  • Duthie Hill Mountain Bike Park was a success! A very painful success.

    The Park

    We get there, ride a couple easy single-track with the sweetest sideburms for amazing flow. Hit a couple of a baby freeride jumps with transitions that would make a cat purr. A sweet, blissful, beautiful ride where the laws of physics are your guiding force when embraced on faith and your worst enemy when your fail to properly adjust for them. These were seriously some of the most well-groomed technical mountain bike trails I've ever ridden. High side burms made from the loving hands of skilled experienced pro riders. Perfect jumps and table tops with transitions that make landings feel like your still in the air.

    This park has a central area from which offshoots a number of loops and free ride trails of varying difficulty. All starting and ending back at the central clearing. My $1500 Jamis Dakar Comp Mountain bike, which is now about 10 years old, looked like it had training wheels next to the multiple multi-thousand dollar bikes that were literally everywhere.

    We do two nice easy level and more difficult level trails, respectively and were feeling utterly high on life. Just stoked to be under the canopy in this wonderous playground for men. Giddy with the treat we had discovered. One more ride, we agreed, and then we would depart for the day. I had been slowly gaining confidence and regaining a feel for my bike for this third loop with a more difficult rating. It wasn't all that hard just a bit more technical with tighter turns and more ruts and roots in the trail. Any big jumps could be ridden around if the balls weren't fully ready to embrace the physics that says, "Going faster means actually making the transitions and not piling on the front of a table top". But as I said, I was beginning to feel more confident.

    So all day long I'm noticing the professional care with which every transition has been crafted. This knowledge further encouraging my bravado. I knew that on the other side of the next jump would surely await a transition of butter and silk. So we're racing along, riding the side-burms, trusting the physics, testing our balls. I see a smallish log jump which could easily be ridden around but figure, there's sure to be a nice transition awaiting me, as I've seen all day long. I hit it, my buddy about 15 feet at my 6. I don't load the shocks properly and my front wheel doesn't get high enough to land properly. Worse still, there happens to be about a 4 inch diameter root right across the landing. So much for smooth transitions.

    BOOM!!!!

    Nitty's down!

    Wind knocked out. Head feeling concussed. Giant welted bruise forming on left shin. Scrapes and dirt all up and down my right arm and shoulder. Shoulder feeling mightily tore up on the inside. Not broken but somethings not right in there anymore.

    I recover enough to ride on but not before I see a guy pile it on the very same jump, for the very same reason. His girlfriend was watching him and it was clear that he had more skill than me. He didn't get hurt so he went and did it again, faster, determined to not let the trail get the best of him. This time, he piles it harder. Same jump. Same root-culprit. His bike flies in the air in a ripping twisting sommersalt. It's coming right at the already aching Nitty, who's watching from the side, recovering. I stick my hands up and happen to catch the bike in mid air, inches from my face. The more skilled rider learns his lesson and takes off down the trail. I finish my recovery and my buddy and me ride out the trail and head home.

    I sit here now, icing said wounds, reflecting on the day.

    I can't wait to go again.

    A Sample (not me)

  • And people call me crazy because I hike Rim of the Gap barefoot...

  • That's an excellent story Doc, thanks for sharing.

  • In the infamous words of detective Roger Martaugh, "I'm too old for this shit!"

    http://youtu.be/Q37xJtuQ24w

    Mayhaps you've watched "Rad" one too many times Doc! (bwhaha).

  • Dude. I have searched and searched for that movie. Oh what I'd give to see that movie again.

  • You're welcome.

    http://youtu.be/btMuEvjpAXA

  • RAD!

    guess I meant besides youtube. You know, to own? But still...

    RAD!!!

  • Haha...yeah, might be hard to come by. However, there's a little "in HD" besides the youtube vid, so there has to be a "Rad" movie out there, in HD no less. Maybe special order or something.

    Oh, how many broken bones that movie was responsible for...

  • Ahhhh! Give me some Football already! It's been like 8 months of abstinence. I'm ready to burst! Anyhow, I was bored today, and I usually make my own predictions for the year then stash them away in a drawer.

    If you're bored on a Sat evening, feel free and read. If not, just skip over yet another quack with predictions.

  • NFC North

    Bears - win the division

    Last year I predicted they'd be a wild card team. They would have, but when Cutler and Forte went down and Hanie's real self appeared, season over. This year, they'll beat out the Pack. No honk.

    Packers - earn wild card spot.

    Perhaps the most potent wild-carder of all time, they'll post a good record. However, I can't help but muse that both the Chiefs and the G-men provided a blueprint for every other team to follow. All it takes is one bad game by Rodgers or his WRs, and they lose.

    Lions - barely miss playoffs.

    They'll start strong, and much like the Pack, they're going to be in many shoot outs. But, unlike the Packers, Stafford gets more flustered. Remember last year when “the wind” beat the Lions? Or when man-boobs just let the interceptor run right by him for a TD while he whined? That's emblematic of their whole team. Teams like that usually miss the playoffs due to late season meltdowns.

    Vikings – just under .500

    Too many questions. Secondary, WR, AP...their draft pick will hinge on Ponder's progression.

    NFC East

    Eagles – win division.

    No hype needed here. I know, Vick always gets hurt, but he now has a bullet-proof flack jacket! Also, Foles looks like he could win a few games. They improved their team immensely, both through the draft and FAs, and also have about 21million in cap space to buy someone like Freeney later in the season. They also tweaked their scheme, all which should translate to finally breaking through.

    Cowboy – contend then collapse.

    It's almost a coin flip between them and the Eagles this year, but there's just something about this whole Cowboys team which stinks. Kind of like an odor in the fridge you can't quite locate.

    Giants – competitive, but not good enough.

    The G-men are cyclical. One good year, one bad year, repeat. Last year they won the SB, so logic dictates this is the bad year. Last year I predicted they'd win the division when they were devastated by injuries in the preseason and everyone jumped on the Eagles dream-wagon. This year, Giants wear down. Not hungry enough. Schedule too hard. Etc...

    Redskins – erratic wins, crushing losses

    That's what I'm prognosticating here. There's gonna be weeks when they light it up, then there's gonna be games when they flat out stink.

    NFC South

    Falcons– win division.

    They just seem motivated. They've been embarrassed for a few seasons now, and this will fuel them. Their O has balance, and their D is not great, but good enough to slow teams down. They're still going to get spanked in the play-offs, but at least they'll own division champ hats.

    Saints - 2nd Wild Card

    Their O is just too potent. Brees becomes the defacto coach, but missing their real coach will cost them a few games. Some underestimate how much Sean Payton means to the team – well, just imagine how much the Rams in the 'greatest show on turf' days would have missed Martz...

    Panthers – make serious run at play-offs

    Their O is going to cause some serious damage, but Cam and D is still a work in progress. Rivera knows this and that's why he drafted Keuchly to help, but one year is not enough. Unless their O becomes Saint-esque, they won't make the playoffs.

    Bucs – stink it up.

    Their team QUIT last year. Straight tapped-out. This got the coach fired and sparked a lot of other changes, but it's still the same team, with the same heart, and the same outcome.

    NFC WEST

    49ers – win division.

    This is not going to be a slam dunk. I predict the 49ers will have a worse record than last year (they're playing the NFC N this year), but their D (all starters returning) is solid enough to let Smith and Akers eke out some wins.

    Seahawks – hover over .500

    This is one team that might be in the “surprise runs” category. They have a young aggressive D with PB secondary and fast rushers. Their O grinds it out with Lynch/Turbin and Wilson has looked Brees-ish. HOWEVER, who are their WRs? TE? Who is the leader of that group? Once they get a few more pieces and Wilson more experience, watch out.

    Rams – Top 10 draft slot.

    In theory, they should be good. A franchise QB, HB, DE... and possibly CB (Jenoris Jenkins) and DT...but they have holes everywhere – like Grand Canyon holes, specifically at WR. Bradford is going to get killed, and perhaps suffer the same fate as Carr.

    Cardinals – Top 5 draft slot.

    These guys are just horrible. If you want to feel better about your Oline, watch a Cards game. Skelton's completion percentage is Tebow-ish, but at least Tebow can run. Their D is not too shabby, but inconsistent. Nevertheless, did I mention that Skelton was their QB? In the “Bite for Barkley” sweepstakes in 2013.

  • Kansas City, +3

  • I take Jacksonville over the Vikings. I however, do not understand how the points system goes. Never done one of these things.......

  • Bears +10

  • In reply to ChiRy:

    Go ahead and get the homer pick out of the way

  • Cleveland +9

  • Buffalo

  • Tampa +3

  • Carolina -3

  • In reply to BearDown85:

    Am I correct in thinking this ^^^ is Carolina beating Tampa by MORE than 3 points? I am not really all that familiar with picking against the spread.

  • In reply to BearDown85:

    Yes.

  • In reply to Jeff Hughes:

    Thanks Jeff!

  • NewEngland -5

  • Buffalo +3

  • Green Bay -5

  • Seattle -3

  • Atlanta -3

  • fb_avatar

    Philadelphia. -9

  • Panthers at -3.

  • Indianapolis +10

  • Philadelphia -9

  • Bears 31 Colts 24

  • Atlanta

  • detroit -7

  • Atlanta

  • Houston -11.5

  • Hey Jeff, two questions:

    - Will pushes be counted in the win percentage, or will you calculate it only based on wins and losses? For example, would going 8-1-1 be a win% of 80% or 88.89%?

    - Because of differing # of picks, I think you should consider a less strict "tie" scheme at the top of the rankings. Win% works well when you have the same # of attempts (or a really large #s of attempts), but not for small # of attempts.

    Maybe at the top of the ranking after Week 15, consider anyone within half a win of the leader to be in a statistical "tie" for the lead? You can give the win% leader the tiebreaker edge in the resulting playoff. But I highly recommend against letting rounding effects come into play...

  • Pushes will be considered pushes. We'll jump off the tie bridge when we get to it.

  • In reply to Jeff Hughes:

    Ok, so if I understand you correctly, then 8-1-1 would be a win% of 88.89% right?

    I assume also that the 10 entry minimum qualifier is before removing pushes, so the 8-1-1 example would qualify you, right? (This does open up the unlikely possibility of someone winning by going 1-0-9, haha... but I guess that probably won't happen...)

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