Category: Projections

Chicago Cubs Offseason Primer

Chicago Cubs Offseason Primer
Congratulations To Boston and Their Fans First of all, a tip of the baseball cap to the 2018 Boston Red Sox on their World Series Championship. This was a juggernaut club with a valid argument to be considered among the greatest in baseball history. Few clubs achieve a 108-win season, and even among those that do,... Read more »

Surplus Trade Assets and Future Roster Allocation Heading Into The Deadline

Surplus Trade Assets and Future Roster Allocation Heading Into The Deadline
Major League teams are no longer waiting until the trade deadline to begin making major moves. It is quite clear after the past couple of seasons that the All-Star break is now a key time of year in the trade market. With that in mind, lets take a look at the players throughout the Cubs organization the... Read more »

Cubs Prospect Roundup: Taking stock of position player inventory

Cubs Prospect Roundup: Taking stock of position player inventory
Player graduations, trades and a focus on acquiring pitching depth during the 2016 and 2017 drafts has thinned the upper levels of the Cubs Minor League system to the point that among the four full season affiliates there are only a four bats I currently consider to have a good shot at becoming full-time starters and that includes recent 1st... Read more »
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2016 Cubs pitching, according to PECOTA

2016 Cubs pitching, according to PECOTA
I said it in my very first post here, but going into the 2016 season, I expect that our pitching will be the subtle strength of this team, and with an offense like we are projected to have, my expectation is that many of us might not be as apt to take notice of the... Read more »

The 2016 Cubs offense, according to PECOTA

The 2016 Cubs offense, according to PECOTA
I trust that most of us here are familiar with the PECOTA projections that Baseball Prospectus puts out each year, as well as roughly how they are put together. Those, along with the Steamer projections and the ZiPS projections, help give baseball fans a sense of what they might expect from the upcoming season. Or... Read more »

How Did the 2015 ZiPS Projections Shake Out?

How Did the 2015 ZiPS Projections Shake Out?
The ZiPS Projections are fun (and greatly needed for those of us that love the game of baseball). Typically released during the dead of winter, they’re a welcome relief when baseball is long over and still not quite yet on the horizon. It gives us a chance to debate something. And, if you’re like me,... Read more »
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A look at year two WAR expectations

A look at year two WAR expectations
Following a very successful rookie season, the question frequently turns to what can be expected in the seasons that follow. It is common to see new players appear to regress in their second professional year, and sometimes it is a sign of a trajectory that will just continue even after producing a very impressive rookie... Read more »

WAR, Cost of a Win, and Projections for Position Players

WAR, Cost of a Win, and Projections for Position Players
I enjoy WAR. THIS WAR. Wins Above Replacement is actually my favorite. If you know me, you also know this. If you don’t know me, we’re a bit closer now aren’t we? First, let me start as a I always do when talking about sabermetrics and WAR in general: there is no “best” stat or all-encompassing... Read more »

Cubs Minors Notes: Fangraphs rates Cubs top prospects; Draft report cards; Fall League

Cubs Minors Notes: Fangraphs rates Cubs top prospects; Draft report cards; Fall League
Prospect list season is here.  As usual, the Cubs get glowing reviews… Fangraphs Top Prospects List The first of the Cubs top prospects lists are out and it comes from Kiley McDaniel, who wrote his list for Fangraphs.  There’s a lot to take in as it is an extensive analysis, but I definitely recommend it.... Read more »
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Javier Baez and prospect hype

Javier Baez and prospect hype
In the coming weeks as Javier Baez continues to punish baseballs with authority and regularity you will hear all sorts of things about who he is as a player. We’ve all heard this with other, previous players; local radio host Dan Bernstein has, in the past, gone down the list of baseball reference most similar... Read more »