Game Post 7/30

screen-shot-2020-07-30-at-2-05-19-pm

Series preview is here.

Watch/Listen

Thursday: 5:10 PM CT on Marquee SN/670AM

Lineups

Cubs

1. Kris Bryant (R) 3B
2. Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
3. Javier Baez (R) SS
4. Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
6. Jason Heyward (L) RF
8. Nico Hoerner (R) 2B
9. Ian Happ (S) CF
P. Yu Darvish (R)
Reds
1. Shogo Akiyama (L) LF
2. Joey Votto (L) 1B
3. Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
4. Mike Moustakas (L) 2B
6. Jesse Winker (L) DH
7. Nick Senzel (R) CF
8. Freddy Galvis (S) SS
Bullpen Usage
screen-shot-2020-07-30-at-1-45-09-pm
screen-shot-2020-07-30-at-1-46-00-pm

Lineups and Bullpen Usage via Baseball Press.

Opposing pitchers

Scouting Reports from Brooks Baseball.

Luis Castillo: Luis Castillo has thrown 7,345 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2017 and 2020, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2020, he has relied primarily on his Change (89mph), Sinker (98mph) and Fourseam Fastball (97mph), also mixing in a Slider (88mph).

His change is thrown extremely hard, generates an extremely high number of swings & misses compared to other pitchers' changeups, dives down out of the zone and has slight armside fade. His sinker has heavy sinking action, is thrown at a speed that's borderline unfair, generates a high number of swings & misses compared to other pitchers' sinkers, is an extreme flyball pitch compared to other pitchers' sinkers and has slight armside run. His fourseam fastball generates an extremely high number of swings & misses compared to other pitchers' fourseamers, has heavy sinking action, is an extreme flyball pitch compared to other pitchers' fourseamers, is blazing fast and has slight armside run. His slider is thrown extremely hard, generates an extremely high number of swings & misses compared to other pitchers' sliders, is an extreme flyball pitch compared to other pitchers' sliders and has primarily 12-6 movement.

Sean's note: Castillo had a breakout year of his own in 2019 with a strikeout per 9 of 10.67. Like Gray his ground ball rate was astronomical at 55%. He had a terrific start on Saturday striking out 11 Tigers in six one-run innings in a no-decision.

Final Thoughts: Rain is in the forecast for tonight. Sonny, not rain, was the Cubs issue Wednesday as Mr. Gray shut them down. Castillo is capable of similar feats so beware. The Cubs have to find a way to salvage a couple arms out of their toxic waste dump of a bullpen.

Update:

Update 2:

Filed under: Game preview

Comments

Leave a comment
  • fb_avatar

    I saw that the Cubs have recalled Colin Rea and sent Dillon Maples down. As much as I like Maples' stuff, he can't control it and we don't need a pitcher who continues to walk batters. Let's hope that we don't need to see Rea tonight and that Yu can go at least 7 innings tonight.
    Go Cubs!!

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    I'd be ecstatic with 7 from Yu. He rarely goes that deep in mid-season form. I'll gladly take an improvement over his first outing.

    100% chance of rain in Cincy tonight, likely heavy at times. Ross said a few minutes ago he's being told they will play. I wouldn't doubt that MLB has instructed umps to try to play through as much weather as possible with the compressed schedule.

  • In reply to Mike Pilbean:

    Hopefully the wet ball will cause the bullpen arms to lose grip and accidentally throw the ball over the plate.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Mike Pilbean:

    I knew the program of training with Mitch Trubisky wasn't a good idea for the relievers.

  • Just been postponed.

  • Have they announced a make-up date?

  • Cody Allen signs a minor league deal with the cubs. Is he washed up? Well maybe but with the state of the bullpen I’d rather throw bricks at the wall, and see what sticks. It’s ironic because just recently a duo Allen and Kimbrel would’ve been the envy of the league. It’s been a small sample but I’ve already seen enough to feel like major bullpen repairs will be needed in order for this team to have even a shot to make any sort of playoff run. At this point I expect a lot of cubs fans to clamor for Burl Callaway or Marquez also if the pens struggles continue.

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    I agree. Very few guys I trust on this team. Don’t trust Maples, Underwood, or Kimbrel at all. Jeffress and Wick are the only 2 I have some faith in. Really hoping Jeffress can find the last couple ticks on his fastball, and he might be a good candidate for closer. But then that leaves 6, 7, and 8th innings as huge question marks. Hopefully Allen can just put it together enough to provide the last best 2 months of his career that’s possible in earning himself one more contract somewhere for 2021. We can really use Q back and would almost wonder if they’d try to build his arm up in the bullpen as long as Chatwood and Mills pitch well enough for a little while.

  • In reply to Cubber Lang:

    The BP is a mess. Really only Ryan and maybe Jeffress is solid. It's exactly what it looked like when Hottovoy was telling us all how excited he was. One cheap, unproven arm after another.. And one really expensive arm that bombed his only time out. I know I sound negative, but isn't this fairly accurate? Cody Allen? Seriously? I'm gonna drink a beer and hope for a bunch of runs.

  • In reply to Ronson54:

    Yeah I forgot about Kyle Ryan. I have faith in him too. Wick did a pretty decent job last year and looking okay so far, but I'd like to see him give less free passes. And no, don't confuse what I said about Cody Allen for me actually thinking he's gonna fix any bullpen problem and provide a stable arm there. All I'm saying is he's a guy who's proven to be a solid performer in the past, all be it some time ago. If he can recapture that for a couple months, it sure would be nice. No I'm not expecting it. But he might actually surprise us. I'm open to that.

  • In reply to Cubber Lang:

    I’d say Kyle Ryan and Wick are probably my favorites for being the teams best relievers right now. I’m not saying that like it’s a good thing too. 2 guys they got out of nowhere that are better off as 7th inning types. And we don’t even know if the rule changes hurt Kyle Ryan’s overall effectiveness. I usually preach patience with prospects with limited minor league seasoning. I’m all about not starting a prospects service clock prematurely cubber. But I find it hard to believe they’ll get through this season as contenders at least without calling up one of their best young pitching prospects. You know I’m a more balanced thinking fan then some, and I’m not usually one to panic after a few games. But I’ve all but written off too many of the arms in this current pen. I’ve never been a believer in Norwood or underwood. And while I’d like to keep an arm like maples in the organization he’s also a liability at the major league level. Right now this team needs at least 3-4 new arms to come in and perform before we can even begin to watch this pen pitch with any level of comfort. I can’t say my expectations are so high for Cody Allen, but bullpen arms can be volatile. He’s only 31 and has at least shown that he can be successful. Like you said hopefully Q returns soon but I hope he’s in good form.

    I’m not sure I’m comfortable with Alec mills yet either. I give him credit on making some nice spot starts, but if we dig into his stronger MLB starts they’re almost exclusively against the reds. For whatever reason he has the reds number so I really have to see him sustain success before I really feel like he’s a reliever Mlb starter. I like him more in a spot start role while pitching in long relief. That said I can say the same thing about chatwood. We just don’t know what we’ll get from them as starting pitchers over the long haul

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    *before I feel he’s a reliable MLB starter.

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Yeah I'll believe in Chatwood and Mills when they perform well at least 2 out of every 3 starts, which is unlikely. Q is a question mark too. At least our offense is looking good. Liking seeing lots of our offensive approach in hitting the ball up the middle.

Leave a comment