Cubs Game Post 8/21

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Series preview is here.

Watch/Listen

Wednesday: 7:05 PM CT on NBC Sports Chicago/670AM

Lineups

Giants

2. Scooter Gennett (L) 2B
3. Evan Longoria (R) 3B
4. Alex Dickerson (L) LF
5. Stephen Vogt (L) C
6. Kevin Pillar (R) CF
7. Brandon Belt (L) 1B
Cubs
1. Jason Heyward (L) CF
3. Kris Bryant (R) 3B
4. Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
5. Javier Baez (R) SS
6. Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
7. Ian Happ (S) 2B
9. Yu Darvish (R) P
Bullpen Usage
screen-shot-2019-08-21-at-2-10-59-pm
screen-shot-2019-08-21-at-2-10-40-pm

Lineups and Bullpen Usage via Baseball Press.

Opposing pitcher

Scouting Reports from Brooks Baseball.

Dereck Rodriguez: Dereck Rodriguez has thrown 3,193 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2018 and 2019, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2019, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (91mph), also mixing in a Change (85mph), Curve (76mph), Slider (87mph) and Sinker (90mph).

His fourseam fastball has less armside movement than typical and has slightly below average velo. His change results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers' changeups and has slight armside fade. His curve has a sharp downward bite, has slight glove-side movement and has slightly below average velo. His slider is a real worm killer that generates an extreme number of groundballs compared to other pitchers' sliders, is basically never swung at and missed compared to other pitchers' sliders, has much less depth than expected, is much harder than usual and has primarily 12-6 movement. His sinker generates a high number of swings & misses compared to other pitchers' sinkers, has less armside run than typical, has little sinking action compared to a true sinker, results in somewhat more groundballs compared to other pitchers' sinkers and has slightly below average velo.

Sean's Note: The son of Pudge, Rodriguez has had a rough season in the majors. His 5.11 FIP is above his 4.79 ERA, indicating he has actually been lucky this season. He has a very low K-rate at just 14.7%, so there will be lots of contact against him. Right handers hit him for a higher average, while lefties slug more against him.

Final Thoughts: The Cubs won a see-saw affair on Tuesday night. Anthony Rizzo has suddenly found his power stroke with three homers the last two games. Yu Darvish has demonstrated excellent control of late walking none his last five starts. He has dramatically slashed his walk rate to 8.8% from nearly 13% early in the year.

Filed under: Game preview

Tags: Anthony Rizzo, Yu Darvish

Comments

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  • fb_avatar

    The last time the SB Cubs had a bobblehead night, David Bote, he went off! Tonight they are giving away Yu Darvish bobbleheads! Let's hope it's a trend!

  • In reply to Scott Tomkiewicz:

    It will be hard to top the May 11, 2018 Willson Contreras bobblehead day. Two home runs, including a grand slam, with seven RBIs.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to DropThePuck:

    Right on!

  • In reply to Scott Tomkiewicz:

    I’d love to see Yu pitch a complete game and K about 15 batters!

  • Surprise Morrow suffers another setback done for the year. I don’t think many people expected him to pitch this year so all that’s left is to pay him his $3M 2020 buyout.

  • In reply to stix:

    We paid a lot of money for 2 years and $3 million buyout for only a half season of production. Maybe he will heal and give the Cubs a big discount if he can pitch again.

  • In reply to AzChris:

    I was hoping he would be a cherry on top of our postseason pen. That just popped my cherry.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Gross.

  • In reply to AzChris:

    Actually I believe the cubs have an $11M option for 2020 but I don’t expect them to exercise that given Kimbrel’s signing.

  • In reply to stix:

    No way in the world we pay 11M...but since we are paying 3M to buy him out maybe he can earn a spot next year if healthy.

  • In reply to AzChris:

    It's $12M actually.

  • In reply to 2016 Cubs:

    Just noticed that. Thanks.

  • In reply to AzChris:

    $21M for 30.2 innings pitched.

  • In reply to 2016 Cubs:

    Good work if you can get it. Was it 11 saves?

  • In reply to stix:

    Looks like it was 22 saves. Not like it wasn't expected. He has been hurt his whole career.

  • It would be a great time for Rizzo to go on one of his patented 2-week tears. He's usually good for 3 or 4 every year. Let's go Captain Cubbie!

  • Well maybe tonight the brewers can hold it together. They are. Up

    4- 0 top of the first vs cards.

  • In reply to stix:

    Let's just worry about our cubs tonight

  • In reply to stv711:

    Lot to worry about given the top of the first.

  • In reply to stix:

    Now we can root for the Brewers to hold on!

  • In reply to stv711:

    Need to root for a rain out. If not then root for the brewers to hold on.

  • In reply to stix:

    You got your rain out! Cubs back in 1st!

  • fb_avatar

    Nicky 4Bags!! Again!!

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    Sweet!

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    Pay the man.....he can flat hit....

  • In reply to Wickdipper:

    “Pay him. Pay that man his money”-John Malkovich, Rounders in thick Russian accent

  • In reply to Oldno7:

    That's exactly what I thought when I read that comment. That was a great role. Teddy KGB.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Indeed and don’t forget Kanish

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    what would it take to extend Castellanos? I know he is hot right now but we need more guys in the lineup who understand the strike zone and hit it hard when its thrown in there.

  • In reply to bleachercreature:

    Sign him up ! I hope the Cubs can retain Nick's services,so it isn't a trade in vain.

  • In reply to bleachercreature:

    Agreed he is a professional hitter. We can live with average defense with the kind of bat he has. It would be a shame not to seriously look at signing him.

  • In reply to AzChris:

    In addition, Nick's defense doesn't look as bad as advertised when he arrived.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to AzChris:

    Yeah, when the trade happened I thought it was 100% a rental, but now I think keeping him has to be a possibility. I’m just not sure what the cost will be.

  • In reply to John Winter:

    Boras client. Doubt that he comes cheap unless the FA mkt for outfielders isn’t as good as Boras would like. I’m guessing he’ll sign for between 15-20M per year. Cubs won’t have cap space for that size of ctt.

  • In reply to stix:

    Tigers had him on the trade block for 1-1/2 years. His career OBP is .326. I hope the Cubs want to keep Castellanos. Who really knows what kind of market will develop for him? I can see him being the kind of player that has to settle for less than expected.

  • Anyone else wondering why Happ is at 2nd? Hope his offense contribution is better than his defense contributions.

  • In reply to stix:

    I do not like Happ at 2B,
    You do not like
    green eggs and ham?

    I do not
    like them,
    Sam-I-am.

  • fb_avatar

    Let him pitch. I want to see at least 25 pitches from him this first inning and get him out by 4, just like yesterday.
    KB really needs to start hitting, then we’ll have a very long lineup.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    Short memory? KB did hit a HR that won us a game against Pittsburgh on the road. Javy hasn’t had an RBI in a week.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Cubber Lang:

    KB has struck out at least three times I can remember with men at 1st and 3rd...the last 2 games. He's gotta start getting that guy on 3rd in!

  • Michael Jackson was the king of pop, Kris Bryant is the king of popups. He hits so many lazy popups to right field.

  • In reply to 2016 Cubs:

    Which brings up a question about Kris, who's making up the Cubs lineup, Joe or Theo ? Why won't the Cubs move Kris back in the lineup ?

  • In reply to ronvet69:

    Joe makes the lineup I am sure no input from Theo on that. Joe is stubborn and slow to change is all.

  • In reply to ronvet69:

    I think it has to do with Bryant being the best hitter on the team.

  • In reply to 2016 Cubs:

    Yah boy, swinging at ball four a foot over the zone !

  • In reply to ronvet69:

    Sounds like he learned that from Javy.

  • In reply to ronvet69:

    Because KRIS BRYANT has been on base more than any other Cub this season. Move him back so only the back end of the lineup has an opportunity to drive him in? That makes zero sense.

    Hits + BB - HR

    KB = 164
    JB = 135

    If a guy consistently gets on base more than others, he should be higher in the lineup in front of the best run producers to help accumulate more runs with more chances.

  • In reply to Cubber Lang:

    To add to it, Rizzo has been on base 161 times. They both should be in front of Javy.

  • In reply to Cubber Lang:

    And Javy will knock them all in. Someone has to.

    Selfishly, ignoring numbers and optimal lineups, I love watching KB and Javy running the bases together. That is baseball porn for me. Beautiful.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    No reason to have them back to back in the lineup, but yes, Javy gets to drive in lots of runs with the guys we have in front of him getting on base so much. I’m thinking more and more about KB, Rizzo, Baez, Schwarber Castellanos, as our first 5 hitters, and then add Contreras to the 6th spot when he returns. I think Castellanos is great at getting on base, but his ability to give such great at bats and get extra bass hits all the time could really have more benefit with opportunities to drive in more runners in front of him.

  • In reply to Cubber Lang:

    I really like it Cubber. Schwarber really benefits from having a hitter protecting him. But Castellanos in the 5 hole seems low for his amazing run. Maybe put him at 4 with Schwarbs behinds him, add some runs to those bombs, and he's still protected by Contreras.

  • In reply to JohnCC:

    Only reason I say to put Schwarber before Castellanos is because for almost a month now, he's got his strikeout rate below 18% and his walk rate up to 13%. I think if he's up with runners on base, and a great hitter behind him, he can be patient and hammer the pitches that he can handle, and take his walks when the pitchers aren't challenging him, leaving more guys on base for Nicky 2(or 4)bags.

    Also, in my scenario, I'd think maybe the pitcher should bat 8th, so there can be a guy like Heyward as psuedo leadoff in the 9th spot, so hopefully there can be a runner on base later in the game for KB's at bats.

  • Two pitch Schwarber. What, no hit ? But nobody was on the bases !

  • fb_avatar

    I don’t know what it would take but since he’s 27 (28 before next season) this will be his big contract. 4 or 5 years at $30M per and that’s just a wild guess. If he is signed I don’t think Schwarber can play LF at the same time. We need 2 plus outfielders playing at the same time. Offense looks great but think how it was in 2016 when we had the best defense in MLB. I miss those days.
    Yu can’t bunt but he can hit.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    He just looks so natural hitting. Its a joy to watch. He is coming into his own and has earned a payday for sure.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    I don't think Schwarber can play left field any time !

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    I don't see him getting anywhere near $30M a year contract. I think he would be lucky to get $20M a year. He is a good player but not one of the best in baseball. Just my opinion.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    He’s no JD Martínez but he’ll be younger and I believe JD ONLY got a little over $100M for 5 years.

  • In reply to stix:

    Castellanos hitting strategy: how hard does the guy throw and what is his out pitch. doesnt watch a lot of video. So: "see the ball hit the ball". I love it.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to stix:

    I told you I was just guessing.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    As am I.

  • fb_avatar

    Nicky RBI

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    I'm missing it all. Be by a radio soon, at least.

  • fb_avatar

    I know KB is a good player and I’m not hating on him but in Aug he’s had 4 HR and in July 5 HR and 10 RBI. It’s not so much how many it’s when. Yesterday he made the 3rd out I think 4 times and already once today. I’m saying that if he can capitalize on those occasions we wouldn’t have these nail biting 9th innings as many times as we do.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    I agree writers can tweet he’s clutch all they want, but he simply has to find a way to improve in RISP spots. But that being said some of the criticism of Bryant is getting over the top. If he was hitting 110+ RBIs every year then that’s what you call a 1st ballot hall of famer with his other stats. I think sometimes cubs fans focus too much on what some guys do wrong, and not enough on what they do right. The teams already lost 2 professional hitters that walk and work deep counts in 2016 Fowler and 2016 version zobrist. One of the strengths of that 2016 teams was their collective ability to work up pitch counts. I feel the team is starting to lose that element a bit lately. Is trading kris Bryant really in the best interests for a lineup that doesn’t want to lose that OBP/working up pitch counts element? I personally highly doubt he gets traded this offseason at least

  • fb_avatar

    Good Lord, listening to the Giants broadcast is bad for my health.

  • Who’s their guys? Mike Krukow still there?

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Oldno7:

    I could never tell the difference between kruk and kuip but its one of them with someone else. They are cynical towards the Cubs.

  • They’re still salty from the 2016 beat down(on two fronts)

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Oldno7:

    I was at the comeback game 4 in SF. Wow!!

  • fb_avatar

    Yu is dealing but so far we have seen that 97 98 FB. I’m not complaining—after that first inning he’s been almost unhittable. It looks like he’s pitching a little more deliberately too. As long as he keeps pitching like this I don’t care.

  • Schwarber is now the the team leader in home runs. Think about that...

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Cubber Lang:

    I am negatively optimistic on the guy, if that makes sense. I thought he'd hit the honers he's hitting now while also hitting .280. I think if he looked to go to left center like that more, he would be so much better.

  • fb_avatar

    homers**

  • He’d at least break the shift in right that he now hits into so much.

  • I agree with you, and had similar expectations of him, though I kinda thought he’d be a .265-ish hitter with a .380 OBP and .500+ slugging.

    I think he can still get to those numbers. The more success he has hitting to LF, the more those numbers can all come to fruition, as long as he continues the approach. And the day, teams play him straight up on defense, we will see his BA go up too.

  • For as great as Baez is at hitting, why is his OPS only 30 points higher than Schwarber’s and 60 points below Kris Bryant’s.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Cubber Lang:

    His OBP is crap.

  • According to fangraphs his OBP is just above average. Average is .320 he's at .325 going into this game.

  • In reply to 2016 Cubs:

    Oh sorry, I now see you were talking about Baez not Schwarber.

  • In reply to Cubber Lang:

    I'm fairly sure you know the answer to that. I could break down how OPS works, but I don't have to. Javy likes to HAM!, and he does it well.

    He doesn't walk, and he never will. I think that is pretty well established. Why dwell on it? Enjoy Javy for what he is, an exciting player entering his prime and on his way to becoming one of the greatest middle infielders in the history of baseball.

    But he doesn't walk.

  • Awesome! Don’t know what happens if cubs don’t comeback in that one. One of best games in that magical,2016 run if not in cubs history

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Oldno7:

    I always thought the Giants wouls have won another even year series if they had won that game 4.

  • Absolutely. Cue to would’ve been a tough beat in game 5

  • fb_avatar

    Nice, into the pen early again tonight.

  • In reply to John Winter:

    Our pen will come together and be healthy and whole. I can feel it. Our team has another gear. I can feel it.

    One in Atlanta, one in LA, one in Houston.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to BarleyPop:

    I was talking about the Giants pen, but I like the way you think!

  • In reply to John Winter:

    OK. I just turned on the radio and heard Yu batting for himself. I was confused.

    OT: F'+#"+ng mosquitos!

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Exactly my question BP, with him getting hit that hard at that point, with men on 2nd and 3rd and 2 outs; I was very surprised he left him in, typically he doesn't, at least to my recollection............

  • In reply to Treebeard:

    *Joe left him in.......

  • Shoot. Get us out of this, Yu.

  • fb_avatar

    I read that Travis Jankowski was optioned to AAA today. He will probably be non-tendered at the end of the year so if the Cubs are looking for a fast and good defensive CF he might be someone to look at.

  • fb_avatar

    From Yu to boo in a hurry.

  • Atta boy Joe, are you sitting back enjoying the game !

  • That was a classic Darvish meltdown, but he's getting much better.

    We got this, but:

    'She don't like other women, she likes whips and chains.
    She likes cocaine and filppin' out with great Danes.
    She's about all I can handle, it's too much for my brain."

  • Good thing Holland has his stuff.:):):)

  • Wow. That escalated quickly. For anyone who didn't get that reference:

    "It's got me under pressure."

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    ‘I’m Ron burgundy’?

  • 9 arms in the pen. 9. And he leaves Holland out there.

  • We got this.

    Go Cubs!

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Good call BP... Let's just say I wasn't as confident

  • Who does this, Anthony or Javy?

    I'll take both.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    You're welcome.

  • Thought Bryant should have been on second on that hit. Right handed pull hitter , hits down RF. Line and ends up at first. Yaz must have made awesome play.

  • In reply to stix:

    Didn’t hurt.

  • Looks like Chatwood? I'd like to see him get a bigger role.

  • fb_avatar

    What a game!

  • In reply to John Winter:

    So much sweeter when we win.

  • fb_avatar

    Who are these guys?
    Now we need someone with swing and miss stuff. I thought that would be Chatwood but nope, not tonight.

  • What a roller coaster. We will prevail.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    I really appreciate your optimism BP, it's a shining light in a sometimes tumultuous sea as I read thru the posts.......

  • fb_avatar

    I was talking about defense before, and if Yu had caught that toss from Rizzo at first I think this game would be over by now. Defense makes such a huge difference—and as I write this KB throws it away.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    If Holland either fields the ball up the middle or let’s it go, game over as well. Deflection led to chaos.

  • It's all good.

    It's Javy Time!

  • Nicky Henderson.

  • fb_avatar

    Nicky 1Bag.

  • fb_avatar

    KB, you needed that, we needed that, Cubdom needed that.

  • This dude ain't clutch!!!!

    Go Cubs!

  • Hooray for KB

  • Holy Sh*t, Cubber!

  • This is why we signed Kimbrel.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Cubs09:

    You have that right!

  • Schwarber is safe.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Did they challenge?

  • In reply to Treebeard:

    Tie goes to the umpire call. Looked like he was safe but couldn’t tell for sure.

  • In reply to stix:

    That sucks............

  • Hold on tight , Kimbrel to the rescue???

  • Uno...

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Dos

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    They won before I could finish. I'll take it.

    What a game! Keep fighting, keep playing. #WeNeverQuit.

    This was stressful, but if you don't like this, you ain't a baseball fan.

    W, BABY!!!!

  • Over

  • fb_avatar

    From the Doors, what I should have said at the start of the game.

    And I know
    It will be
    An easy ride, all right
    And I know
    It will be
    Easy ride, ok

  • Castellanos was simply a great TD pickup. Giving this sleepy team an infusion of energy.

  • In reply to LAX2ORD:

    TD? touch down?

  • That game was indeed a rollercoaster..both emotionally and on the WPA graph. Very glad Kimbrel was able to close it out with minimal drama..

    The Brewers/Cardinals are still delayed, middle of the 8th with Milwaukee leading 5-3.

  • Who doesn't love Nic Castellanos? I've been seeing interviews and watching him hit, o my god. What a freaking relief! And then seeing him freak out celebrate on KB's homerun as he made his way to 2B was awesome.

    And what was even better, the best, was seeing KB actually smiling and showing some joyful emotion when he got to the plate because Castellanos was there waiting for him so dang happy!! I don't think I've seen Bryant look like that since the last out of 2016.

  • In reply to JohnCC:

    Stuff like that is huge, but immeasurable in advanced stats, so many geeks say it doesn't exist. You can't put a number on a computer screen to measure hunger and joy.

  • Wow! Man that Bryant sucks!

  • In reply to Wickdipper:

    Trade him for prospects during our window.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Go IOWA!!!!

  • fb_avatar

    Cards game called! Cubs back in first.

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