Cubs Game Post 7/20

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Series preview is here.

Watch/Listen

Saturday: 1:20 PM CT on ABC-7/670AM

Lineups

Padres

2. Manuel Margot (R) CF
3. Manny Machado (R) 3B
4. Hunter Renfroe (R) LF
5. Franmil Reyes (R) RF
6. Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
7. Luis Urias (R) 2B
8. Austin Hedges (R) C
9. Joey Lucchesi (L) P
Cubs
2. Javier Baez (R) SS
3. Kris Bryant (R) RF
4. Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
5. Robel Garcia (S) LF
7. Addison Russell (R) 2B
8. David Bote (R) 3B
9. Jose Quintana (R) P
Bullpen Usage
screen-shot-2019-07-20-at-11-26-35-am
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Lineups and Bullpen Usage via Baseball Press.

Opposing pitcher

Scouting Reports from Brooks Baseball.

Joey Lucchesi: Joey Lucchesi has thrown 3,628 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2018 and 2019, all of them occuring in the MLB Regular Season. In 2019, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (91mph) and Change (80mph), also mixing in a Fourseam Fastball (91mph) and Curve (79mph).

His sinker has surprisingly little armside run and results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers' sinkers. His change has surprising cut action, dives down out of the zone, generates a high number of swings & misses compared to other pitchers' changeups, results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers' changeups and has slightly below average velo. His fourseam fastball has much less armside movement than typical, results in many more groundballs compared to other pitchers' fourseamers, has some natural sinking action and has essentially average velo. His curve has very little depth, has primarily 12-6 movement, generates more whiffs/swing compared to other pitchers' curves, results in more flyballs compared to other pitchers' curves and is slightly harder than usual.

Sean's Note: Lucchesi is also a left handed pitcher in his second season. He has a much higher strike out rate than his teammate Lauer. He relies heavily on his excellent change up which generates a lot of swings and misses. He throws it 37.7% of the time nearly as much as his fastball (49%). Last season he struck out nine Cubs in 5.2 innings at Wrigley Field in a Padres win.

Final Thoughts: For reasons escaping understanding Albert Almora is hitting leadoff again. With an on base percentage below .300 and a poor average against lefties, there is no statistical reason to do it. Anthony Rizzo is the only left handed batter in the Cubs lineup. José Quintana has made three consecutive quality starts and looks to keep his good stretch going.

Comments

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  • Uhh.......no Schwarber for the third day in a row? Really???

  • Garcia in left and Almora leading off again. LOL

  • Is the only way an outfielder can make an error is by throwing?

  • I remember Dave Kingman hitting a check-swing HR. Almora, not so much.

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    In reply to BarleyPop:

    Shall we keep listing ways that Dave Kingman and Albert Almora are dis-similar?

  • In reply to Joel Mayer:

    Kingman was a freakishly large and strong human specimen, Almora closer to average.

  • Javy's going to score here.

  • R
    O
    B
    E
    L

    Our “throw in”!!!!! LOL!!!!

  • In reply to rbrucato:

    I’m not sold on him (for no particular reason) but he SURE HAS helped!

  • In reply to Wickdipper:

    Right now Garcia is everything we need. He is a switch hitter with a smooth swing and seems to have a good eye. He has both speed and power. He didn't look all that bad playing second base either. He may be a gamble but so is most everyone they can get with a trade.

  • In reply to clarkAddson:

    He has been impressive yes

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    In reply to clarkAddson:

    I'll spare you the numbers but he is not a good 2B. He may "look good" but he isn't actually good. He strikes out way too much for me to say "He's got a good eye." He does draw some BB (right around league average). His BABIP is likely really inflated right now. I could see him settling into a .260/.310/.420 hitter or something like that. Not useless--as I've said many times, I LOVE switchi-hitting middle infielders--but also not a long term solution in my mind.

  • In reply to Joel Mayer:

    C'mon Joel, I never said a "long-term" solution. I did say give him a chance at leadoff right now. Who do we have that would be any better? He does have all the ideal tools that would make a good leadoff batter. Who knows, he may turn out to b something?

  • In reply to Wickdipper:

    Me neither, but we don’t have to be sold. He just needs to give us a jolt like he has. He has some pop from both sides. Let it run as long as it lasts.

  • In reply to rbrucato:

    Put Garcia at leadoff.

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    In reply to Wickdipper:

    I'm with you, Wick. I'm not sold on him either. But I'm enjoying the ride while it lasts. To me he reminds me of Mike Fontenot. When he first came up he hit the ball well too (2007). Then he went back to being, well...Mike Fontenot.

    At the same time isn't this the kind of "prospect" that the Cardinals seem to turn up every year?

  • In reply to Joel Mayer:

    Voodoo magic

  • I was busy and a little late for my pre-game pep talk. I don't get this lineup, it seems sometimes Joe is on another planet. Another hot day and hopefully hot bats. A couple moon shots from the good guys would be a welcome sight.

    A Pink Floyd reference would work here, but no. Happy birthday Chris Cornell.

    "Nervous moon, In the clouds.
    There's a halo around your proud face.
    And I'm glad that we're friends.
    I might see you again
    Sooner or later, I guess."

    Go Cubs!

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    P.S.: Anybody who puts their life on the line to break sound barriers and walk on another cosmic body deserves respect. You don't get in his face calling him a coward, a liar, and a thief. Don't mess with Buzz:

    https://twitter.com/JamesHasson20/status/1152429120556544000?s=19

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    I saw that yesterday - another successful landing in a hostile environment!

  • In reply to Cliff1969:

    :)

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    Pat Hughes said Lucchesi has a string of 12 games of 5 innings or more. We already have his pitch count up, let's 2016 him and get him out of there by the 3rd or 4th inning.

  • Is Bryant no longer going with the Axe?

  • In reply to Wickdipper:

    I have no idea. I'll have to pay attention. It worked for a while.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Looks like he is back with the Rickerbacher....

  • In reply to Wickdipper:

    Rickenbacher pfffft

  • In reply to Wickdipper:

    Blew it that time too didn’t I?

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    I remember watching 50 years ago today and seeing Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin walk on the moon. One of the most incredible feats ever--we have more computer power in a watch (not even the Apple watch) than they did.
    Watching the Cubs win the WS was pretty incredible too.
    I was going to echo Len in his comparison to 2016 Russell and 2019 Russell--he's hitting for a higher average, his OBP is a bit higher and his SLG is just a shade lower. The difference is the power. In 55 games this year he's hit 6, in 151 (3 times as many) he hit 21 and his RBI was 95 then and only 16 this year. His average with RISP now is .185 and then was .251. Get Russell out of there and again we've let a team get back in the game.

  • Tatis jr. This week Jeff Passan said that Baez is his floor. Now that is high praise.

  • In reply to Cubs09:

    That was a joke of an article. All after 200 at bats with a 34% K rate. Let’s pump the breaks on the kid and see what he does over a few years.

  • In reply to rbrucato:

    I don’t know, man. He has all the physical tools; supposedly the strongest arm among SS in the NL. And he has a good eye for the strike zone. Maybe he comes down to earth, but he’s putting up numbers at 20 that rival what Trout did.

  • In reply to rbrucato:

    30% K rate is very Baez like.

  • In reply to 2016 Cubs:

    His .388 OBP is not.

  • In reply to Cubs09:

    I agree. He has all the making of being a great player.

  • In reply to Cubs09:

    I just love the fact that an uber-talented young unicorn is coming up and people are saying "he could be the next Javier Baez."

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    That’s not what he said. He said the worst iteration would be Baez. He expects Tatis to be much better.

  • In reply to Cubs09:

    I wish him luck in that endeavor and will enjoy what we got. "Javy Baez is his floor" is typical Passan hyperbole.

  • In reply to Cubs09:

    He never hit above .282 in the minors. He is above .320 in MLB. You tell me which is more likely—closer to his 1200 at bats or 200? Or his 450 at bats in AA as a .283/.351/482. He may very well end up like that. But nothing in his past has shown him to be THAT elite. What he is currently doing is the outlier.

    To say his “floor” is Báez an NL MVP runner up is buffoonish. I don’t expect more from Passan and Schoenfeld.

  • In reply to rbrucato:

    Who knows. He was Keith Law’s #1 prospect. The thinking is he could offer everything Baez does plus the missing ingredient: plate discipline. He’s clearly better at 20 then Baez was when he entered the league.

  • In reply to Cubs09:

    I’ll wait to see how good he is around 25 before saying his “floor” is Báez.

    I guess I’d that is his floor I will be eating crow with his 5 consecutive MVP’s.

  • In reply to Cubs09:

    For comparison it would be like saying Mike Schmidt is Kris Bryant’s floor. I think there is a lot of baseball before claiming someone’s floor is an MVP caliber. I’m not saying he is not a very good and talented player bu saying this either.

  • In reply to rbrucato:

    Huh? The greatest third baseman in history is the floor? It isn’t like saying that at all. Baez is a very good player, but he has a flaw and we all know what it is. He’s not the best shortstop ever. The argument is that Tatis we give you everything Baez does without the flaw.

  • In reply to rbrucato:

    Yes. That’s how lame of an argument of a guy 200 at bats into his career is when comping him to a perennial MVP candidate now.

  • In reply to rbrucato:

    Calling Baez a perennial MVP candidate shows just how highly you are overvaluing Baez’s own level of play. Tatís is accomplishing more at the age of 20 because he has a better process with the bat in his hands at the age of 20 compared to Baez at age 26!! Just because the minor league stats/results didn’t match his talent level, doesn’t mean he can’t have an extremely nice major league career.

    Also for those that like to point out Tatis’s high K-rate, you seem to ignore that even Baez has gone through month long plus stretches even this season alone with a K-rate higher than that of Tatis. And that Baez’s first experience in MLB produced a 41.5% k-rate, while he was also an entire year older than Tatís.

  • In reply to rbrucato:

    Tatis maybe the more patient hitter but I’ll take javys ability to punish pitches in the strike zone over that kids any day. Something you all are also downplaying is I’ll also take javy as a person as well in terms of mental fortitude, because he’s proven that he can thrive the highest pressure games. All I know is javys minor league hitting stats were better then that kids. Tatis is quickly become one of my favorite young players to watch and he certainly has the tools to perhaps be a better player down the line. But the league hasn’t figure him out yet either it’s too early to say he’s gonna be a Mike trout type. Saying he’s already better than javy right now is nonsense although what he’s doing at 20 is certainly very impressive. He’s obviously a special player

  • In reply to rbrucato:

    Cubber, you miss the point. Javy Báez IS a perennial MVP candidate 2 years running. That will not change. Passan and Schoenfeld are saying what Báez is today, not about when he was younger. So to use any stats for Báez in ‘14 is irrelevant.

    How can anyone with a straight face say a player 200 at bats into his MLB career has a FLOOR of a guy who is turning out MVP worthy seasons?

    The replies are sounding like I am calling Tatís a BAD player. I am not. He is REALLY REALLY GOOD! To say the worst he will be is when Báez has a runner up MVP and is in the discussion this year is just stupid stuff. Tatís may just be better than Javy. But that argument is far from over and will take time. Not 200 MLB at bats. I honestly cannot understand how any reasonable baseball fan would argue otherwise. It’s the stuff of hyperbole and/or click-bait.

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    In reply to Cubs09:

    Through 200 PAs it is.

  • In reply to 2016 Cubs:

    K is better than DP. Too bad he didn’t K.

  • In reply to stix:

    Oops I thought García was being discussed. Sorry!!

  • In reply to Cubs09:

    So far, this series, Javy is outplaying Tatis and it is not even close.

  • In reply to Cubs09:

    I’d agree. I’d say from what I’ve seen is that Tatís has more potential moving forward at the age of 20 as Baez presently does at age 26.

  • Watching Almora at leadoff and Russell bat anywhere in the lineup... does NOT spark joy.

  • I just can't understand how Schwarber leading off and playing LF, with Garcia playing 2B instead of eithrr Russell, or 3B instead of Bote would be so much worse.......

  • C'mon Javy. Hit a moonshot in honor of Neil and Buzz.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Ask and ye shall receive!

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Amen!

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    That’s what he does my friend. I’m not meaning to pile on almora but cmon he’s not swinging the bat well to be leading off

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Leading off? You are kind to say that. He is terrible right now. A month in Iowa is more his speed. He needs to pick it up.

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Let’s me pile on ;). Almora hitting a robust .190 with RISP. Schwarber is also sporting the same. In other words our lead off guys are killing any rallies this season.

  • In reply to LAX2ORD:

    that's why they are batting lead off. obviously.

  • In reply to bleachercreature:

    In Almora’s case- he can’t get on base at a .300 clip nor hit with runners on. Sounds like a late inning DR or 4th OF. Yet Maddon-ingly he’s getting leadoff at bats all season long

  • Oh hellllll yea!

  • Javvvvyyyy bomb !!!

  • Sure makes Passan's comment look foolish. Go Javy. Maybe Tatis is Javy's floor.

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    In reply to clarkAddson:

    *shakes head*

    While I think there is a substantial "Tatis Bandwagon" remember you are comparing a Baez that is 6 years older and several thousand PAs more experienced than Tatis.

    Let's watch them and enjoy two outstanding athletes. Things will sort themselves out.

  • In reply to Joel Mayer:

    Here we are again. Passan started this comparison, not me. So what does he have to state that Tatis is Baez floor? When I look at both of them this series, Tatis has a ways to go to match Javy.

  • In reply to clarkAddson:

    Thank you Mr. obvious. Lol.

  • Way to pick up the gawd-awful hitter in Almora.

    Javy is one of a kind, El Mago Unicorn!!!!

  • Looks as if Caratini is wearing down or being exposed.

  • In reply to stix:

    The Cubs star reliever looks like he could use a day off. And with all the trade talk going on, I hope the Cub brass keep Brennen Davis off the table. No guarantees but this kid looks like the real deal.

  • caratini's confidence looks short.

    I think Garcia's exposure is breaking balls low out of the strike zone. if he can recognize and lay off those. Well the sky is the limit.

  • Low pitches, Kintzler. We could use a DP here.

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    What the hell is going on? Both teams are acting like they've never played before. Thank goodness that Kinzler kept his head and made that last play.

  • What just happened? Was that stupid or smart? My first reaction was that Almora or J-Hey called Russell off to get the force at 2B, to swap baserunners. But no, just poor communication. All's well that ends well, and good for Kintzler for staying in the play. Many relievers pitch the ball and check out.

  • We are gonna need more than 6 today.....

    Hey Machado! Respect 15!

  • Edwards jr. in the 8th?

  • In reply to Squareburgers:

    Looks like Strop

  • In reply to Wickdipper:

    Great to see stroppy aka ol bang bang with a nice rebound outing. Nice decision by maddon to go right back to him after yesterday

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    I would have gone with Carl, but given Strop's performance what do I know?

  • Unfortunately with Bote and Russell, there seems to be no such thing as a routine ground ball. Time to make some changes...

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    I was a big Bote fan but it seems like he hit a wall a month ago--both offensively and defensively.

  • Ol' Bang Bang.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Lol I find myself calling him that now too and not even in an insulting way it’s just catchy

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    It is catchy. I like it. Sometimes you find inspiration in strange places.

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Yep. But it sure helps ol bang bang, when the wind is blowing in hard.

  • Gonna be interesting to see if they use kimbrel for the 4th time in 5 days after what happened to morrow last year. Tough call they need him but the team does have a 3 year investment

  • An insurance run or two would be nice but I'm not confident here. At least turn the order over so we have a chance in the bottom of the 9th, if necessary.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Yeah I’m a lot less confident about holding a 1 run lead then I usually would be with one inning to go

  • Sweet Child O' Mine?

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Kimbrel ramped up and came into form quickly after that long layoff. A testament to his commitment and desire.

  • ....put the seatbelts on

  • In reply to Wickdipper:

    And hurry up. Hard rain is here any minute.

  • Can’t believe Tatís bunting there

  • El Mago! No other words.

  • W! Wow!

  • (Another) W, baby! 10 over.

  • W.........another laugher!

  • Sing the song!

    (and phew!)

  • In reply to TC154:

    “Go Cubs Go!”

  • In reply to TC154:

    I don't like that song, but every time you comment this I start to "Ramble On."

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    LOL. That works too. I used to not like the Goodman song but it's grown on me since the WS.

  • W! That’s all I care about.

  • Back to 10 over..great day for the bullpen and for El Mago..Kimbrel has to be unavailable for tomorrow, though..and maybe Monday as well. (he's thrown 79 pitches in his 4 appearances in the last 5 days.)

  • In reply to JTWilson:

    Screw the Closer for the next couple games. Works for me.

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    Blowing in the wind...

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    I know who I'm inviting for dinner tonight.

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    In reply to BarleyPop:

    Robert or me? I don't want to presume.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    You're welcome anytime, but I was thinking of setting a table for my boy Javy.

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    In reply to BarleyPop:

    You’re right. What am I thinking of?

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    What a crazy change in wind direction. a complete 180. You don't see that often.

  • Bruce Levine is reporting that the giants had 2 scouts at the cubs padres game and I’m guessing that isn’t to evaluate the Padres. Will smith? Watson?

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Lange was a last-minute scratch from yesterday's game, with no explanation, and Hatch was held out today. Could be anything, but I think something's about to go down.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Giants need starting pitching but neither of them look close to helping a MLB roster. But ya never know. A scout or coach seeing something is all it takes.

    That said I'm wondering who they're window shopping on the big league roster. I still think a shake up at some level is coming.

  • In reply to Cubmitted:

    Putting on my tin-foil hat, I could see the Giants interest in Almora. We get one of their lefty pen arms, but the loss of Almora leaves us short in the OF. That is, of course, until we swing the the deal for an additional bat that happens to play the OF. There are more options there than at 2B, and we have many in-house options at 2B. Not so in the OF. Makes sense to me.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Or bote, caratini plus some prospects

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Bote or Garcia are the guys who make sense to me. They need an offensive upgrade at second. Caratini could be an option too. Almora: I gotta imagine his value is real low.

  • In reply to Cubs09:

    Yeah I agree with that cubs09 not only do I think Almoras trade value is too low right now, but I just think he’s more valuable to the cubs on the bench as one of the teams few competent CFs plus he’s a great clubhouse guy. In general I don’t think teams are asking about him. I was hoping they’d sell high on caratini, but people don’t seem to think he has much trade value because of his lack of ability to catch every day defensively. I guess the league isn’t as stupid as us cubs fans think lol. Giants already have Posey too. If I’m guessing and I know you follow that organization they’re also looking at García or bote as well good point including Robel he makes sense for them

  • In reply to Cubs09:

    Those are also guys that can help them now that maybe undervalued because they were late bloomers

  • In reply to Cubs09:

    Robel is not available. They need to find their own. I

    In all seriousness I think it's going to take a little time to figure out what they have. He bounces balls off the walls and over them with too much regularity to say see ya this soon. And he a SH.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    The more you look at SF the more you realize there isn't anything they don't need.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    That could be why he's started 3 days in a row............

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    I think Almora will likely be moved and Heyward will see the majority of time in CF afterward. When rosters expand, Happ likely will fill in some time in CF too.

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Hard to know with SF now. They think they're back in the WC race after a hot streak. I don't see it lasting.

  • Can the cubs please find someone who can move a runner from second to third with no outs? It seems like I see this every game I watch. A guy on second, no outs...strikeout. I know how hard hitting a baseball can be but this seems like an ongoing situation. They will need those runs come playoff time.

  • Wow joe maddon with some harsh words for Addison Russell. Maddon said “we’ve talked about the baserunning. He’s got to straighten some things out. He just has to. There’s no question he does.” Maddon very rarely takes shots at his players through the media. I think this maybe a work ethic critique in some ways. Maddon usually doesn’t take these types of shots when guys are approaching their work the right way. Not the 1st time someone’s struggled or had a bad day. I like it though sometimes as a manager you do what you have to in order to light a fire under a player.

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    He's had a lot of bad moments of late. And at least 4 today. If he wasn't the only legit back up at SS on the roster......Being on thin ice with the FO already this kind of play could make him a change of scenery guy sooner than later.

  • In reply to Cubmitted:

    Yeah for me I’m reluctant to move him just because his off the field issues destroy his trade value. Also the fact he’s a strong backup SS. He’s still a .700+ OPS guy that has strong defense at SS and 2B generally. It’s just when he doesn’t do his job on defense and on the basepaths then he has practically no use to this team. Those were certainly some harsh words from joe and it makes me wonder if he wants addy out of his clubhouse.

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    I saw some of those comments and thought "wow" as well. I've been clamoring for leadership and accountability, and this is what I am talking about. I won't knock a physical mistake, but the sloppy play in the field and on the bases needs to stop. If you're not into the game you shouldn't be playing, and need to be called out.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    He hasn't looked engaged on more than occasion. And he should have scored easily on Q's grounder to hole. That's not being alert, into the game and prepared.

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Whether it's this season or in the off season I think it's only a matter of time. Theo never sounds enthusiastic about him anymore. In his words to paraphrase "He's taken too much of my time".

    Obviously finding another back up SS becomes an issue.

  • In reply to Cubmitted:

    I wonder if the Cubs in trying to sweeten the pot in making a deal on another main piece, would throw in Russell and take another team’s backup SS back in return even if that backup SS is older and has less years of control and even no future potential like Russel supposedly can still have if he turns it around somewhere else.

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    After Oakland told Theo the Cubs just got the next Barry Larkin, after watching Addison play, I still contend Addison does not have Barry Larkin's baseball I.Q.

  • In reply to ronvet69:

    I contend Russell doesn't have, well...

    Go Cubs!

  • In reply to ronvet69:

    His progress just stopped. Good guess the off field stuff has had a lot to do with it. There were rumors and sightings out there for some time regarding his after hours prowess. He may be a guy that still flourishes with a change of scenery.

  • Just heard the Padres are calling up top prospect Adrian Morejon to start tomorrow’s game. And here I was thinking we should win with Cal Quantrill pitching. I don’t fully understand the pads desperation at this point with the dodgers running away with that division. Guess these things just come with being a perennial contender

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Looks like Morejon will open and be followed by Quantrill should be interesting

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    No matter what happens he'll be able to tell his kids he was once a Sod Poodle. No one can take that away from him.

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Padres probably see it as an opportune time for him to start getting his feet wet and slowly learn what it takes to get big league hitters out. If they see him as a starting pitching option for next season, then they’d wanna give him a head start in getting a little MLB experience. Doesn’t even mean he finishes this season in MLB, or even starts it here next year.

  • In reply to Cubber Lang:

    That sounds right to me. And a LHP, which the Cubs have struggled against. Maybe give Garcia a shot at leading off instead of Almora.

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