Game Post 6/12

Series preview can be read here.

Watch/Listen

Wednesday: 2:10 PM CT on NBC Sports Chicago/670AM

Lineups

Rockies

1. Charlie Blackmon (L) RF
2. Trevor Story (R) SS
3. David Dahl (L) LF
4. Nolan Arenado (R) 3B
5. Ian Desmond (R) CF
6. Mark Reynolds (R) 1B
7. Brendan Rodgers (R) 2B
8. Tony Wolters (L) C
9. Atntonio Senzatela (R) P

Cubs

1. Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
2. David Bote (R) 3B
3. Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
4. Javier Báez (R) SS
5. Carlos González (L) RF
6. Victor Caratini (S) C
7. Jason Heyward(L) CF
8. Cole Hamels (L) P
9. Addison Russell(R) 2B

Bullpen Usage

opponentscubs-bullpen

 

Lineups and Bullpen Usage via Baseball Press.

Opposing pitchers

Scouting Reports from Brooks Baseball.

Antonio Senzatela: Antonio Senzatela has thrown 5,122 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2016 and 2019, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Spring Training. In 2019, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (94mph), also mixing in a Slider (84mph), Curve (79mph) and Change (86mph).

His fourseam fastball has heavy sinking action, is a real worm killer that generates an extreme number of groundballs compared to other pitchers' fourseamers, has less armside movement than typical and has essentially average velo. His slider has some two-plane movement. His change is basically never swung at and missed compared to other pitchers' changeups, has surprising cut action, is slightly firmer than usual and results in somewhat more groundballs compared to other pitchers' changeups. His curvehas little depth and has primarily 12-6 movement. 

Mike's Note: Senzatela's numbers for the season look pretty bad with an ERA nearing 5, but really it was two disaster outings that account for most of the bloated numbers. Senzatela has made three starts since giving up 8 runs to the Pirates in 3.1 innings. Since then it has been three quality starts with a 2.00 ERA. Even in this good stretch, Senzatela has been very hittable and a bit wild. This should be a game the Cubs bats enjoy. 

 

Comments

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  • fb_avatar

    It seems like Victor Caratini is playing a lot recently. I looked at his splits and it seems he's started on 5/31, 6/4 and 6/10 and he's had at least one at bat 6/7, 6/8 and 6/11 in addition to his starts. He's hitting the ball well but I wonder if this is a way of Joe resting Willson now so he's strong the whole season. We lose a lot of defense when he isn't in there, but Caratini has a hot bat and we need to score, especially in Col.
    The one who drives us is Javy and in his last 7 games his slash line is only .179/.179/.357. His last 15 isn't much better. We need him to get hot again.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    Willson led all catchers in innings caught last year. When Caratini is healthy and playing well, they need to use him. You can't burn Contreras out.

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    In reply to Michael Ernst:

    No, you're right. I know Willson wants to play every day but he's more valuable to us when rested and Caratini has done well when in there.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    I also like sitting Willson not regularly but at least right now. He isn't swinging the bat well lately anyways, and Caratini has paired well with Hamels going back to last season. I feel like Contreras has been a bit fatigued recently after carrying a heavy workload while Victor was out. I like the idea of getting him his rest now while he's not on his best form. We saw the effects of fatigue last season over the 2nd half of the season. I like how Joe is making a concerted effort to watch his reps closely.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    He's been mixing in some better ABs lately, and cut down his strikeouts. I still see him trying to pull balls too often and rolling over on it and hitting ground balls to the left side. I think the big factor as of late, is that BABIP has not been good to him.

  • I like this lineup with Bryant and Contreras getting a rest day. It should help for next series. I'd like to see CarGo step up today. We could use a W with Hamels playing stopper.

  • Cishek carted off the field in warmups after getting struck on the shin by a ball hit during BP.

  • In reply to Michael Ernst:

    Unfortunate not a good timing at all. Hopefully it's not too serious I'd prefer an injury like this to a non-contact running injury all things considered.

  • Cishek injured pregame. I hope they can fly Maples from the AAA club in Cali over to Denver in time for the second half.

  • Since the Bryant Heyward collision Bryant has 1 Hr in 50 at bats. Bryant doesn’t seem to do well after injuries. I wonder if he’s still feeling the impact of his “concussion”?

  • In reply to stix:

    I think that he is. Concussion injury and recovery is so difficult to predict.

  • In reply to stix:

    Did Heyward also collide with Schwarber in 2016?

  • In reply to Treebeard:

    Yes, those collisions and Heyward route running in CF make me feel he belongs in RF where he is excellent and never collides with anyone and has 5 GG.

  • In reply to Treebeard:

    Fowler.

  • In reply to 44slug:

    Ooh, good call; hate those collisions, 2 career outfielders running into part timers. Hard to blame the full time outfielders for not 'babysitting' the other guys, but you'd think some coach would be telling them: "just make sure to keep an eye on them when you're ranging into their zone of possible collisions".......

  • In reply to stix:

    Isn’t Bryant hitting well? Power might be down but I guess it depends on what one determines what hitting well means.

  • In reply to WaitTilNextYear:

    He’s 10-50 since he’s been back. Not many walks a few HBP

  • In reply to stix:

    Thanks

  • Schwarber is among the worst 3-2 count hitters. Takes strike three often and when he strikes out swinging, the pitches are usually out of the zone

  • fb_avatar

    Thus ump has already missed a few calls and we’re still I. The top of the first. It’s going to be a frustrating day .

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    Robo ump!

  • Colorado pitch gets 0 strikeouts in his last start and gets two in the first inning today. He only averages 4 per 9 innings. Something doesn’t make sense.

  • The batting order doesn't make sense. The Cubs batters with the most strikeouts are batting at the top of the order. Baez, Schwarber, Contreras, Bryant. Other than Rizzo, they are also all in the top 5 Cubs in homeruns. This could also be a major reason why most of our homeruns are solo homeruns. The top homerun hitters are bunched together.

  • In reply to clarkAddson:

    They are also the top OPS guys. That is the reason they are up there.

  • In reply to KJRyno:

    Sure would help if more guys were on base to go with the OPS, don't you think? 5 runs this inning. Schwarber drove in 2 batters with smaller OPS but 3 runs scored. We need to spread out our strikeouts and our HR hitters especially since we have so many HR hitters.

  • In reply to clarkAddson:

    2 games ago, we hit 3 HRs and scored 4 runs. Today, we have hit 1 HR and scored 5 runs. Which is better?

  • fb_avatar

    Is it wrong to say “if you want to hit some Addy hit the baseball?”

  • Atta boy Schwarbs.

  • fb_avatar

    The last 7 games Kyle’s OPS is almost 1.200. He’s been hotter that an August day in Chicago. Now, no walks or errors Cole— let them hit their way back.

  • You're up Cole, hold serve.

  • Good to see the bottom of the order come through plus Schwarber. So far joes decision to go to caratini already paying off

  • Would make yu feel a whole lot better wouldn't it!

  • fb_avatar

    I feel that in this park if the first batter gets on then he should score. It would be a wasted opportunity. Now with 2 on no outs they should score.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    you made us hit into a double play! : )

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to KJRyno:

    I know!

  • Guessing plucking Arenado was on purpose. I'm all for it they've hit KB a ridiculous number of times over the past 2 years, and I still haven't forgotten him getting hit in the face by their guy. I'm not even a big retaliation type, but I do think there's times that warrant retribution. I hope Arenado is ok but teams think the cubs are soft and won't retaliate. Hamels is old school and isn't just gonna sit around while our star 3B gets beat up by this rockie pitching staff.

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    They were awfully close to hitting Bote a couple times after that too. Glad cubs retaliated for KB.

  • In reply to DarBar15:

    Agreed I'm not one of those old school fans that believes in this type of nonsense too. But at a certain point we have to defend ourselves plus I don't like showing weakness to opponents by never retaliating. Maybe Arenado's injury is a wake up call for Colorado to cut out the nonsense

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Do you think Colorado was trying to hit anyone. I think you said no. Hitters don’t always get hits, pitchers don't always throw the ball where they want.

    Unless it was deliberate by Colorado, what nonsense should they cut out?

  • In reply to stix:

    I don’t believe all of them were intentional but I don’t believe all of them weren’t either. Colorado tends to retaliate in general when their guys get hit as illustrated by hamels just getting hit on purpose clearly

  • In reply to stix:

    Bud blacks a bit old school by nature

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Agree but they may have deliberately hit Hamels and Rizzo but that’s after Cubs hit Arenado, not before.

  • In reply to stix:

    The Cubs thought it was intentional. Rizzo stole second on the next pitch, and tried to steal third on the next pitch. You don't do that up 8-0 late in a game. That was an F-you move by Rizzo. Then Javy held his bat down the line giving the pitcher the evil eye after his golf shot.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Don’t disagree but all I was pointing out it was in response to the Arenado HBP which was probably deliberate not before.

  • In reply to stix:

    Theyve hit Bryant 6 times his career. I have a really long memory and haven’t forgotten. Accident or not last night it was time for retaliation. Rockies are a bit of a dirty team IMI bud black is an old school head hunter

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    IMO

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    I had the rocky feed today on the MLB Network and the rocky announcers thought it was in response to the low bridge Javy got , not anything to do with prior games. I know players and probably some commenters have long memories but why did it take two years to retaliate for Bryant? Seems you send a message by responding as soon as possible.

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    I think it was more of a enoughs enough type of situation then any one AB that provoked them. I remember last season and in the past being frustrated by their constant head hunting every time one of their guys gets hit. The pirates are another organization that pulls these types of stunts as well under Clint hurdle. Bryant already got hit in the face last season plus twice yesterday why do they keep hitting our stars? Accident or not at a certain point the cubs have to send a message that Colorado better start learning how to pitch inside. Love what hamels the cubs in general let teams pull these cheap shots too often

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to stix:

    Maybe not on purpose but they may not have cared if they did. Bryant has been hit too many times and is going to get beamed again if the cubs don’t start protecting him.

  • Popular cubs target Ken Giles to the DL due to inflammation in his elbow. Sounds eerily similar to Darvish and Brandon Morrow's injury although I admit I haven't looked into the details closely. But glad that the cubs were proactive and didn't wait for that guy

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Me too, and he would have been the guy I'd have targeted hard. I think who he was who Atlanta was waiting on too. Makes Brad Hand and Shane Greene about the only targets for a legit closer now unless the White Sox or Padres want to make Colome or Yates available with the thin market. Right now the Kimbrel signing looks awfully good

  • In reply to TC154:

    Honestly too it just places less pressure on theo and the organization to force a deal. People always bash the cubs for trading gleyber Torres. But people forget that theo understood that he needed a legit closer to win a WS, and really the main options were melancon, and the Yankees tandem of Andrew Miller and Aroldis. In other words the cubs just had no bargaining power to fill their primary need. Now theo has so much more flexibility, but frankly I’d be happy just to come away with a tony Watson setup type lefty among others. I think alzolay will be up by the 2nd half of the season, and people forget that the cubs have the option of utilizing probably darvish or Quintana (much less likely) as a reliever. Don’t get me wrong I’m not saying they won’t make a much bigger splash, I’m moreso saying that now they have way more options with their glaring biggest need filled. The front office can now pick and choose deals that make sense rather then forcing deals to fill needs that have to be filled

  • In reply to TC154:

    That said TC I’ve wanted Yates for years I wish we were able to pry him before he established himself as a closer. Now I’m concerned that his overall value is over inflated. I know brad hand is also a guy that the front office has had talks with SD about

  • fb_avatar

    I’m glad that CarGo hit a double but early in the afternoon bat I don’t understand why he wouldn’t bunt down the 3rd base line? There was no one there and we’d have 2 on no out. Just a thought and a way to have teams not switch so much.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    Either way at least he's giving this offense a boost. Really even in game 1 he almost had a huge single that was robbed by Trevor story. In general I like the way he's swinging the bat and I don't get why some have made comments already that degrade him over such a small sample. I think in general he's given this team a boost and they needed another bat with Zobrist out and Descalso struggling mightily.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to kkhiavi:

    Oh, I'm not criticizing him as a player so much--he's been a great signing and I love his defense and offense. I guess I'm asking why more don't do that for an obvious base hit.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    Gotcha Jon that’s why I wrote out that follow up post bc I felt it came off as if that was directed at you. Some were saying this morning that they’re not impressed by him and my thoughts are it’s been less than a week plus he’s been mostly solid at least to me

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    I agree. Too early to say it’s not gonna pan out with CarGo. His defense has been great and he’s had a couple big hits. It’s not like we even need him to be a superstar, really just a role player. Anything above that from him is gravy. I’d say for his first week, it’s worked out well...

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    Not saying you Jon criticized him too FYI I just saw a couple negative posts towards the guy earlier this morning.

  • fb_avatar

    We had 3am LaStella and now 3pm Cole Hamels. More runs, no lead is safe.

  • Can we trust the BP with the he last two innings or does Hamels go back in the eighth?

  • They said the Cubs have never shutout the Rockies ever in Denver.....
    What do you think Brach’s chances are?

  • In reply to Wickdipper:

    That was wholly predictable but shutout shmutout a win is a win. Brad Brach needs to go away soon though.

  • In reply to TC154:

    We are going to add a dominant lefty, perhaps from San Francisco, so we will need a roster spot.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    I hope you're right. Needed badly.

  • In reply to TC154:

    Sahadev Sharma not saying he’s right strongly thinks brach gets a long leash. He just has swing and miss stuff and an overall track record that Many in this pen don’t have. I know he hasn’t gotten many swing and missed lately, but in general I expect he’ll get a long leash. His walk rate is way above his career norms and when he’s right he’s tougher to square up then most of this pen. I’m not happy with the guy at all, but I do think it’s too early to talk about releasing him. The control numbers probably have a decent shot at improvement

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    I’d say there’s a very small chance, almost microscopic, that Brach would get released. Much more upside in riding it out and getting him right. He can be very valuable next year. I think he got a raw deal with the mono that put him behind the 8-ball before the season even started. If/when he returns to who he really is, he will be valuable to the club, even if that’s not till the 2020 season.

  • In reply to Cubber Lang:

    I agree cubber and I’m not saying people are wrong he’s not gonna succeed with that bloated walk rate. But the control is getting marginally better and I do think mono has probably hurt his conditioning. I personally think he’s just been a bit overworked despite my frustration with his recent performance. Sahadev also noted that he wasn’t particularly good in the 1st half last year before posting under a 2 ERA over the 2nd half of the year. My thoughts are the turnaround upside is strong enough to warrant him keeping his spot for now

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    He was a closer for Baltimore and did reasonably well but counting today, he’s given up at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances. Today was cheap due to defensive indifference, but he needs to be better. I don’t think it’s only walks that are causing his problem.

    I agree he has swing and miss stuff and can get to 96 on a consistent basis . How long is that leash? How much longer can the cubs go. I thought this was performance vs potential year.

  • In reply to stix:

    I hear you I trust the front office to make the right call, but I don’t think it’s always as simple as judging on guys ERA. With a guy like brach the stuff hasn’t declined much and this is a guy with a pretty steady and long track record. I’m not even saying the critics of the guy are wrong but I don’t think it’s as black and white as simply releasing him due to a poor start. He had a 4.85 ERA last year before he was traded to Atlanta. He went on to post a 1.52 ERA the remainder of the season. I’m not saying he does that again, but I agree with sahadev that you have to consider his long term track record in his evaluation. I think he’s certainly needs to be monitored but he simply hasn’t struggled long enough for me to release him. I also think that guys tend to pitch to their career numbers. The fact that his walk rate is almost double of what his career rate is tells me his issue is more mechanical then physical

  • In reply to stix:

    And lime cubber said his durability and strength may have been effected by his early mono bout. That’s a serious issue for an athlete. I’m pretty sure he lost a lot of weight and that’s why they changed the terms of his contract later. Mono is serious for an athlete trying to get in shape preseason

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