5/11 Game Post

Series preview can be found here.

Watch/Listen
Saturday: 1:20 PM CT on ABC-WLS/670AM

Lineups

Brewers

1. Lorenzo Cain (R) CF
2. Christian Yelich (L) 1B
3. Ryan Braun (R) LF
4. Yasmani Grandal (S) C
5. Jesús Aguilar (R) 1B
6. Mike Moustakas (L) 3B
7. Hernán Pérez (R) 2B
8. Orlando Arcia (R) SS
9. Zach Davies (R) P

Cubs

1. Jason Heyward (L) RF
2. Kris Bryant (R) 3B
3. Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
4. Javier Báez (R) SS
6. Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
7. David Bote (R) 2B
8. Albert Almora (R) CF
9. Cole Hamels (L) P
Bullpen Usage

brewers-bullpencubs-bullpen

Lineups and Bullpen Usage via Baseball Press.

Opposing pitchers

Scouting Reports from Brooks Baseball.

Zach Davies: Zach Davies has thrown 8,096 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2014 and 2019, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason, Spring Training and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2019, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (89mph) and Change (80mph). He also rarely throws a Cutter (86mph), Curve(76mph) and Slider (80mph).

His sinker has below average velo, generates fewer whiffs/swing compared to other pitchers' sinkers, has little sinking action compared to a true sinker, results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers' sinkers and has slight armside run. His change has below average velo and has slight armside fade. His cutter is an extreme flyball pitch compared to other pitchers' cutters, generates fewer whiffs/swing compared to other pitchers' cutters, has surprisingly little cutting action, has good "rise" and has slightly below average velo. His curve is basically never swung at and missed compared to other pitchers' curves and has slightly below average velo. His slider (take this with a grain of salt because he's only thrown 8 of them in 2019) comes in below hitting speed, is basically never swung at and missed compared to other pitchers' sliders, is an extreme flyball pitch compared to other pitchers' sliders and has some two-plane movement.

Mike's Note: Kyle Hendricks was sometimes referred to as a poor man's Greg Maddux, and Zach Davies might be a poor man's Kyle Hendricks. The comps are easy to draw as mid twenty something righties that don't throwing overpowering velocity with a plus changeup. Hendricks command and changeup are a touch better which explain the difference in results to date, but Davies has continually be under-estimated by many in Cubdom due to the lack of overwhelming stuff.

Comments

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  • This is the lineup that will win 7- 5 today.

  • In reply to Skidoorunner:

    Man, I sure hope so. We need to beat these guys.

  • Webster isn’t available, he’s on the IL. Xavier Cedeno has been activated in his place.

  • In reply to Milk Stout:

    Radial nerve inflammation. Hopefully an injection can ease that quickly. We don't need any more pen problems.

  • In reply to Skidoorunner:

    True. But they have a ton of these early innings bullpen guys for the shuttle. It’s Pedro, Cishek & now Kintzler I’m more worried about. And Pedro is out. Besides Monty, the other guys are almost all interchangeable with the depth options they have.

  • In reply to Milk Stout:

    Cendeño missed the start of the season due to a sprained left wrist and has been working his way back at Double-A Tennessee and Triple-A Iowa.

    The results have not exactly been glowing, as the lefty has posted a 5.40 ERA and 2.55 WHIP across 10 appearances (6.2 IP)

  • In reply to Skidoorunner:

    Yes, I know. Maybe they weren’t worried about the overall results as much as working his pitches, control, command & getting arm back in game shape.

  • In reply to Milk Stout:

    Let's hope so. With basically just two pitches in his wheel-house, cutter/curve, he'll need that control and command.

  • 53 degrees and overcast. Gently in from the East. 9mph

  • Ryan Braun has been scratched with left hamstring soreness. That’s a damn shame. ;-)

  • In reply to Skidoorunner:

    Gamel in. Batting 7th.

  • I hope they can show some patience with Davies. He's definitely a good pitcher but his FIP is 3.91 nowhere near his ERA of 1.56 and he has a very high left on base rate. Never has situational hitting been more important than in will be today against this guy.

  • In reply to TC154:

    You should tweet that to Javy.

  • Oh my goodness Hamels!

  • Here comes the rain. Not real heavy, but will last an hour or two. Hopefully they can play through it, or finish it later this afternoon.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    I think it’s just going to be that annoying type rain all day long but nothing threatening stoppage.

  • Three double plays turned by the Cubs through four!

  • Báez strikes out on his knees. Oh brother.

  • Man this could be the fastest game all season so far. That Heyward our at the plate is s looming even larger now.

  • In reply to Skidoorunner:

    *out

  • Wow what a great send to Bote and slide! Great play!

  • 1 hr 45 min from game start to the stretch. And only 1 RISP for Brewers all day.

  • That’s back to back games Counsel has pulled his starter with under 90 pitches & giving up a total of only 1 run. As I said in another post a few days ago, I see a lot of the Brewers because I live in WI, and those fans who rip Maddon for his quick hooks would really hate Counsel

  • In reply to Cubpack:

    Yes but Counsel doesn't have the walking pen that Maddon has.

  • In reply to clarkAddson:

    I'd really like to see Carl Jr. consistently throw strikes. With the injuries at the back end, this is a big opportunity to step up.

  • In reply to Cubpack:

    The only difference is Brewers actually have a functional bullpen.

  • In reply to WaitTilNextYear:

    The Cubs' pen has been really, really good after a rough first week.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    They have been decent but there is no way for a 162 games they are a top bullpen. Cubs starters are better then brewers.

  • In reply to WaitTilNextYear:

    I agree. We need one more big arm, and I think we'll get it. Strop and Morrow getting back puts us as a top pen, another addition puts us over the top.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    I would love a power arm. Was hoping Addi could bring us a power arm.

  • In reply to WaitTilNextYear:

    Other than Hader their pen has been really bad. They’ve been better over past week or so, but not as good as Cubs pen has pitched

  • In reply to Cubpack:

    Respectively cubpack Counsell should pull his starters earlier. Maddons rotation has more horses that should be kept in. The cubs pitching strength in their rotation and the brewers is in the pen. I know someone’s gonna reply outraged pulling last years ERA that the cubs bullpen is as good. Anyone that thinks the cubs have a comparable or equal bullpen is in denial no offense. Their pen is clearly stronger than ours and are asked to do much more on a game to game basis. That being said if the cubs can regain their offensive dominance with KB and Willson returning to form then no reason we can’t beat these guys. This is a very strong brewers defensive team but the cubs are beating themselves today

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Interesting decision by Counsell pulling Jeffress though I don’t care about matchup I’ll face anyone of their guys besides Hader over him

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Then you haven’t watched the Brewers much this year. Their pen, other than Hader, has been really bad up until the last 10 games or so

  • In reply to Cubpack:

    Putting Burnes back in the pen has really helped them though

  • In reply to Cubpack:

    Struggles Over what 10 games real big sample size and they’re pitching staff had been outstanding not just good lately. They’re constantly asked to pitch in the 4th and 5th inning and they can care less because he’s it’s simply a really deep pen especially with the returns or burnes whose back on track and Jeffress who was injured. They’re asked to carry that pitching staff so much more then the cubs pen. I respect your opinion overal cubpack l but some of y’all are delusional if you think the cubs have an overall better bullpen. You don’t sound like someone that watches much brewer baseball. Their fanbase knows the way they employ their pitching staff is a little unique with their big trust in the relief pitching but it’s still effective in its own way

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Sorry, but I watch a ton of Brewer baseball. And I didn’t say the Cubs have a better pen. Just said Cubs pen has been pitching better this year. And Counsel has a much quicker hook. I agree that with Burnes back in pen and Jeffress back, along with Hader, Crew pen is better

  • In reply to Cubpack:

    I respect that to me the early results were mostly knebel, Jeffress being out in addition to the brewers dumb decision to try all of peralta, burnes and woodruff out of the rotation is when they’re better out of the pen. To me I’ve never seen even one of the current cubs relievers pitch well in the playoffs when it’s counted. I’d personally take Hader, Jeffress knebel and burnes (long term upside esp out of the pen) over any reliever we have. Hader May have a 3 ERA but if they wanna trade him for Addison Russell and happ then sign me up lol. I personally think their pen is given much more responsibility they don’t have an abundance of starters that regularly go 6-7 innings which allows Maddon to utilize his preferred options. So to me even when that pen gives up runs it’s simply a by product of being asked to be the leading force for run prevention. To me the cubs are generally in trouble when Their starter doesn’t go deep and they really don’t even have a suitable closer. I’ll take the cubs rotation and offense over Milwaukee like you I’m really optimistic of this team. But I’ve been watching this Milwaukee team not just this year but next and personally I’ve always envied their bullpen. I think if the cubs had a similar pen they would’ve won 2 WS by now (pen really screwed us againsr LA in 2017)

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    -*Not just this year but last year

  • C'mon, Javy. You've had a rough couple of games. Time to make amends.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    *@$*+@.

  • Back foot has to stay planted.....hasn’t been for awhile

  • Leadoff walk in the top of the 9th in a 1-1 game.

    Just like we drew it up!

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    Bunt!!!!!

  • Time to groove one longhair....

  • That's why Zagunis still has a roster spot.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    ... and that's why it's a tenuous grip.

  • You would think in this nasty weather everyone would want to get this over with and go home.

    Apparently not.

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    I just came in and am ready for a win. C'mon Rizzo. Let him walk you.

  • Win or lose the story of today’s game is Bote’s baserunning to score from 1st and Hamels pitching

  • Huge break javy a bit surprised they removed Hader but I probably just jinxed us

  • We have to score here.

    We will.

  • fb_avatar

    let him walk you AA.

  • fb_avatar

    darn.

  • Killer facing their worst reliever to come away with nothing.

  • I wanted to start dinner an hour ago.

  • Kudos to chatwood and this pen for giving them a shot with the brewers using most of their main relievers. Our offense isn’t helping them much but the important thing is finding a way to get this W. We’ve gotta establish some positive momentum in this head to head

  • fb_avatar

    This is the Chatwood that Theo thought he signed. Maybe he's not under so much pressure, but this is a completely different looking pitcher from last year. I wonder if he can go another few innings--not that I want him to, but I don't know who's left.

  • I have a thousand thoughts running through my head right now. Most of them are bad.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    That was one of the good ones. Thank you, Tyler.

  • Cain?

  • Javy's at 2B. Nobody out. Game over.

    It's Javy time.

  • 90' away from a W.

  • fb_avatar

    Wasted a runner on 2nd with nobody outs two innings in a row. You just can’t do that.

  • Well that didn't work. But it showcased a point I harp on. The catcher grew wary of calling a breaking pitch because Javy was taunting him at 3B. A more accomplished hitter would have capitalized. Some things in baseball are uncalcuable with simple numbers.

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    I missed an "l" in one of those words, but I don't want to ponder an "l". Freudian slip?

  • Dear Javy,

    I apologise for my earlier criticism. You know my love for you is true.

    End this game.

    Thank you, BP.

  • It just feels like whenever the going gets tough that the cubs are solely reliant on javy to find a way to bail them out. Someone else step it up we’re not facing ace relievers here these past 4-5 innings

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    LETS GO!!!! You all can feel free to call me either a prophet or a big freaking moron!!!! This is to me the biggest W of the season thus far BUT still with many more big games to go.

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    W!!! Agree k, that would was our biggest win of the year so far. Thank you Wiilson
    Would have been really tough to lose that one

  • In reply to Cubpack:

    I want to see how this cubs team matches up if they can get some positive momentum in this series. Not to take anything away from Milwaukee but maybe we were pressing a bit after last years ending. I just think this cubs group is so much better then last September’s group that was fatigued with a beat up KB, and a lot of hitters like Willson mightily struggling. These head to heads vs Milwaukee and stl are gonna be huge to be as the season moves forward

  • Sorry, Javy. I found another date.

    WILLSON!

    W, BABY!

  • In reply to BarleyPop:

    We may have missed our dinner reservations barley lol totally worth it...huge W

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Well worth it.

  • Wow..seems like the Cubs tend to get into marathons with the Brewers more than any other team. The WPA chart for this game is crazy; a collective 1.313 by the pitching staff (Chatwood had .615!) while the hitters..-.813. Should be a great rubber game tomorrow night..

  • In reply to JTWilson:

    2 similar style teams based on reliance on the hitting, base running intelligence/aggressiveness, and defense. It’s not gonna he easy but if the cubs show the type of form they’ve shown after their slow start, then I like their chances. Always seems like a chess match low scoring series. Kudos to joe for sticking it out with chatwood. Twitter was freaking out about him not pinch hitting Davis with the bases loaded. What some aren’t thinking about is who pitches if you remove chatwood. Tyler’s easily one of the players of the game along with hamels and the rest of this pen. Great to see them win a battle of the pens against this tough group

  • Lester is up tomorrow and Tyler Grand Slammer will be catching. Wondering when Descalso is ready to field? Winning tomorrow puts a stamp on the first 38 games, give me 24-14/

  • Big game to win! Great pitching by both teams actually but I gotta give it up for Chatwood.....and I feel really good for him, the guy has struggled. Let’s get the series but damn anyhow.....wake up offense! 5 out of 6 against our two main competitors is big time ballin’.

  • now in the top 5 power rankings

  • fb_avatar

    Willson, your table is ready!

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