Mets vs. Cubs Series Preview (8/27-8/29)

Fresh from a four-game sweep of the nuisance that is the Cincinnati Reds, and on a five-game winning streak--admittedly over the remedial class Tigers and Reds--the Cubs will look to continue the streak against the New York Mets in their only visit to Wrigley. And whenever you're talking about the remedial class, the Mets almost always have tenure there.

While the Mets are entrenched in fourth place in the NL East, they have been somewhat competent of late. I mean, for the Mets. They've gone 14-12 in August, and they had that 24-4 avalanche on the Phillies you may remember. Of course, this being the Mets they handed that back with a 15-0 loss at home to the Nats. But that series saw them take two of three from the Nats, not much of a claim these days admittedly, and they also took three of five from the Phillies before that.

Yeah, it's still the Mets. But sadly the Cubs are going to get the sharp end of them, with Syndergaard and deGrom slated to take the first two games. Which no matter what kind of tomato cans the Mets might send to the plate and out into the field, makes it a pretty unique challenge.

Offensively, Brandon Nimmo and Todd Frazier, and something named, Jeff McNeil have been leading the charge in August. On the flip side, Jose Bautista continues to be dead. It's not going to be easy to get enough runs against Thor and deGrom, but you don't need that many to get one over on the Mets.

Watch And Listen

Monday at 7:05 on NBCSN

Tuesday at 7:05 on WGN

Wednesday at 1:20 on NBCSN

All games can be heard on 670 The Score AM.

Probable Mets Lineup

1. Amed Rosario (R) SS
2. Austin Jackson (R) CF
3. Wilmer Flores (R) 1B
4. Todd Frazier (R) 3B
5. Michael Conforto (L) LF
6. Jose Bautista (R) RF
7. Jose Reyes (S) 2B
8. Kevin Plawecki (R) C
Notes: Jay Bruce will probably start at 1st on Wednesday against Alec Mills, in the latest attempt to make the Bruce signing not seem like the den of the insane or incompetent, which also just happens to double as the Mets ad slogan.
Cubs Lineup
1. Daniel Murphy (L) 2B
2. Javier Baez (R) SS
3. Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
4. Ben Zobrist (S) RF
5. Jason Heyward (L) CF
7. Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
8. Jon Lester (L) P
9. David Bote (R) 3B
Bullpen Usage
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Opposing Pitchers
Scouting Reports from BrooksBaseball.net
Noah Syndergaard: His sinker is thrown at a speed that's borderline unfair and generates more whiffs/swing compared to other pitchers' sinkers. His slider is thrown extremely hard, generates a high number of swings & misses compared to other pitchers' sliders, results in many more groundballs compared to other pitchers' sliders and has less than expected depth. His fourseam fastball is thrown at a speed that's borderline unfair, has some natural sinking action and has slightly less natural movement than typical. His change is thrown extremely hard, generates more whiffs/swing compared to other pitchers' changeups, results in many more groundballs compared to other pitchers' changeups and has slight armside fade. His curve is thrown extremely hard, has very little depth, generates a high number of swings & misses compared to other pitchers' curves and results in somewhat more groundballs compared to other pitchers' curves. 
Notes: Thor has seen his strikeouts drop pretty heavily since his injury in July, only sitting down seven per nine innings. That's still led to a 2.75 FIP though, because he's getting nearly 60% grounders.
Jacob deGrom: His fourseam fastball generates an extremely high number of swings & misses compared to other pitchers' fourseamers, has less armside movement than typical and has well above average velo. His slider is thrown extremely hard, generates a very high amount of groundballs compared to other pitchers' sliders and has less than expected depth. His change is thrown extremely hard and has some natural sink to it. His sinker is blazing fast, has less armside run than typical and has little sinking action compared to a true sinker. His curve is much harder than usual, has little depth, has primarily 12-6 movement and results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers' curves.
Notes: deGrom is basically Aries this year. This is a problem. In August he's striking out over 12 per 9. It's a 1.75 FIP. Duck.
Jason Vargas: His sinker has below average velo and results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers' sinkers. His change has slight armside fade. His fourseam fastball comes in below hitting speed. His curve generates more whiffs/swing compared to other pitchers' curves, results in more flyballs compared to other pitchers' curves, has slight glove-side movement and has slightly below average velo. 
Notes: He's not deGrom or Thor. Let's just be elated at that.

Comments

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  • fb_avatar

    Cubbies will be seeing some tough pitching in the next week! Great tune-up for the playoffs!

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    That was some nice table setting by Amed Rosario.

    Lets settle in big John. Cubs will score some runs tonight.

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    There you go Willy. Help Jon out w that caught stealing.

    Still ended up only being a 13 pitch inning

    Ump has a tight zone so far. Better be for both sides.

  • fb_avatar

    2 good pitching performances in the last few days does wonders for our bullpen. Usually it's all filled up with appearances and number of pitches thrown, and now it's practically empty. That's a good chart.
    Go Cubs!! Thor can be beaten.

  • fb_avatar

    Lets cash this leadoff double !!

    Nice work Murphy !

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    I hope Javy didn't ruin a crooked number but I think Rizzo and Zorilla will keep the train rolling

  • fb_avatar

    Murphy is a professional hitter and follows what Wee Willie Keeler said—hit em where they ain’t! But watching him try to get a double is like a freight train leaving a station, it chugs and chugs and is trying to get up to speed.
    I’m just guessing but I feel that Javy wants that 30/30 that almost every time he gets on he’ll be aggressive.!
    Go Zo.
    This might be our slowest team we’ve fielded in a few years.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    Personally I like speed (prob as I was much faster then I was strong as young player) , but its become borderline obsolete now days now that the "baseball nerds " have their way to play the game.

    I think speed is an under appreciated asset, and could come in real handy in close games as well on the defensive end esp in the outfield.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    Since you read Cubs Den all the time you know how much I like speed and )&))6);”:$( Michael Conforto hit one.
    Speed helps in every stage of the game. I was hoping the Cubs would have drafted Trea Turner instead we got Schwarber. That turned out alright but I still like Turner. The more athletic the better and this years draft shows this FO drafted a number of players that have speed.
    Btw, Gleyber Torres just hit his 20 HR
    of the season. That’s ok— he can make the HOF and we still won the WS.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    I saw that Gleyber bomb. He's cooled off quite a bit, but still a beast.

    Stupid white sox had bases loaded none out and didn't score, anyone whose watched baseball knew what was coming next. Yanks had 1 hit up to that point.

    I remember you saying you wanted Turner. If Schwarber wasn't so key to WS, I would prob agree that I rather have him too. ( easy to monday morning QB now that we won WS). This team is still missing that true leadoff hitter like Fowler was. Murphy is great, but I would rather him and Rizzo surround our MVP Bryant.

  • Wow. What a bomb.

  • Good news.....we got 4 straight hits.

    Bad news...... 1 stinking run.

  • In reply to WaitTilNextYear:

    We can thank Javy for that.

  • fb_avatar

    Time to use the Bullpen before this gets out of hand

    Mets know what Jon is throwing before he does

    Just have to pray Thor doesn't settle down after that rough 1st inning.

  • In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    Is it out of hand now? Do you just say hey Jon you need to give us 85 pitches or however many to save pen tonight??????

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to WaitTilNextYear:

    Easy to say now, but its prob a combo of what the manager feels he can get from his starter also what he believes the opposing starter has for his O.

  • Lester struggling....again. This isnt the pirates and tigers this is a team that has scored the most runs in the nl since the asb and they are lining him up.Walking the pitcher with 2 outs doesn't help either

  • fb_avatar

    Hopefully that 2nd inning isn't a sign of Thor "Settling in" after the bad base running n Heywards terrible AB let him off the hook in the 1st.

  • Wind is blowing straight out.....

  • Is it just me or does it look like Murphy doesn’t move fluid?

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to WaitTilNextYear:

    Well on his sort of lead off double he looked bad is cuz he stopped and was good w a single until he saw the bobble so it took him a few seconds to restart.

    Hes no Javy but he's no Mat Adams out there either. Him and Zobrist prob around the same speed although in a race, my money is on Murphy.

  • In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    Murphy hasn't fully recovered from his knee surgery. I don't know the severity of injury but he is not moving or running like he did prior to surgery. He may need to off season to fully recover or at least become more fluid.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to TexasCubsFan:

    That too

  • In reply to TexasCubsFan:

    Murphy had microfracture knee surgery, that is a complex surgical procedure that takes time to recover from, it's saps all lateral movement. I don't know how many people on here watch the bulls but joakim noah had the same surgery in 2014 and was never the same afterwards.It was visible too he never moved like he did pre surgery.It's a knee cartilage surgery

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to bolla:

    Exactly !!

    Same surgery that "grounded" Amare Stoudamire from his high flying Phoenix days to his NY Knicks days

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to bolla:

    Didn't he also have planar fasciitis too or was that his problem?

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    I meant plantar.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    So, like the rest of the league, he is somewhere between Javy Baez and Matt Adams as a baserunner? Isn't that kind of like saying, "In terms of foot speed he isn't Billy Hamilton, but he isn't Victor Martinez either." ;)

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Joel Mayer:

    I gave you a fair comp of Zobrist. I am sorry. I haven't been able to stop watch them or have a list of mlb players and 40 times, so did the best I could from watching them day in n day out. ( Not just Cub players)

    Again, I am sorry if it wasn't specific enough.

  • fb_avatar

    He moves like ketchup coming out of a bottle or as a freight train pulling out of a station.
    Wow, if J-Hey would have taken 3rd we’d be tied.

  • fb_avatar

    Way to get him back big Jon !

  • fb_avatar

    Watch Murphy hit—that’s the 2 handed swing KB is using now.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    Rizzo's HR came with 2 hands on the bat also.

  • So you think our front office has finally realized we’re a much better team offensively when we have a lead off hitter?

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to Squareburgers:

    Its pretty darn obvious rt?

  • fb_avatar

    A beautiful throw to first and a perfect run down. They must be working on it.

  • In Iowa Chatwood 4.1 innings 3H 2R 5BB. Just like with the big club.
    Bryant 0 for 2 2 runs scored.

  • fb_avatar
    In reply to 2016 Cubs:

    I was just going to post that. Good reporting.

  • Good lester settled down because I thought he was headed towards another nationals type of implosion. He wasn't fooling any of the mets early they were barreling him up good

  • fb_avatar

    That’s what Javy tried to do. If Thor had thrown home Havy would have done it.

  • fb_avatar

    Pour it on. Put them on the defensive and don't let our bullpen sweat--other than because of the heat.

  • Zo is money.

  • Nice win, beating a Syndergaard start. Be nice if they could beat DeGromm tomorrow.

  • W W W W W W

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