Game Post 8/30

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The Cubs head to Atlanta to play the Braves in a makeup game for a May 17 rainout. Chicago is beginning an 11-game, four-city, road trip that will be a key test. If the Northsiders can skirt disaster on this grueling stretch they will be in excellent shape to make the postseason. A 6-1 homestand against the Reds and Mets put the Cubs in good position.

The Braves appeared as if they might be fading a bit in July. A 17-11 August has given Atlanta a 3.5 game lead over the second-place Phillies. Young players Ozzie Albies and Ronald Acuna have been playing very well of late. Acuna has hit 21 homers in just 80 games played this year. The bullpen has been solid if not spectacular, with a 4.03 ERA.

Watch/Listen

Thursday: 6:35 pm CT on MLB Network/WGN/670AM

Lineups

Cubs

1. Daniel Murphy (L) 2B
2. Javier Baez (R) SS
3. Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
4. Ben Zobrist (S) RF
5. Jason Heyward (L) CF
7. Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
9. David Bote (R) 3B
Braves
2. Johan Camargo (S) 3B
3. Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
4. Nick Markakis (L) RF
5. Kurt Suzuki (R) C
6. Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
7. Adam Duvall (R) LF
8. Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Bullpen Usage
screen-shot-2018-08-30-at-2-22-05-pm
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Lineups and Bullpen Usage via Baseball Press.

Opposing pitcher

Scouting Report from Brooks Baseball.

Mike FoltynewiczMike Foltynewicz has thrown 9,237 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2013 and 2018, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2018, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (97mph) and Slider (87mph), also mixing in a Sinker (97mph), Curve (80mph) and Change (88mph).

His fourseam fastball is blazing fast. His slider is much harder than usual and results in somewhat more groundballs compared to other pitchers' sliders. His sinker is thrown at a speed that's borderline unfair, results in somewhat more groundballs compared to other pitchers' sinkers and has slight armside run. His curve has little depth, is slightly harder than usual, has primarily 12-6 movement and results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers' curves. His change is thrown extremely hard, results in many more groundballs compared to other pitchers' changeups, has a lot of backspin and has slight armside fade.

Sean's Note: Foltynewicz has had an excellent 2018 so far. A sub 3.00 ERA and just a ton of strikeouts, a whopping 28.4% rate to be exact. His ground ball rate is pretty low and a .266 BABIP might mean he has gotten a bit lucky on balls hit in play. That being said, he has great stuff and is a legit Cy Young contender. He allowed one run in five innings while striking out ten against the Cubs in May.

Final Thoughts: The Cubs are back with the standard lineup they have featured since adding Daniel Murphy. The top four in the order have been red-hot the last week plus. Mike Montgomery returns from his shoulder injury. His ERA is a very serviceable 3.62, as a starter it's even better at 3.08. Chicago is going with a six-man rotation to rest starters during this grueling stretch of games. With the Cardinals and Brewers still hanging in the race every win is big. Let's get the east coast marathon under way.

 

Comments

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  • Nice block by the Braves .... I really wanted Rene Rivera back on the Cubs. Today's trade by the Cubs seems to confirm to me that they would have have made a claim.

    Bummer

  • In reply to stv711:

    They probably would have. I like the trade for Wilson. He’s got a 30% caught stealing rate and only 2 passed balls this year in 47 games (just under 400 innings), and a good reputation to go with that. His dWAR according to BR is up to 0.9, so considering his limited action as a backup, he should be providing starter quality defense. Of course he can’t hit worth sh*t, but that’s not what he was acquired to do. It’s great that this really allows the Cubs to use Caratini as a pinch hitter more in September.

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    In reply to stv711:

    We got a beach boy in Bobby Wilson.

    Hes no Rene Rivera but he's going to get a chance down the stretch to have an outside shot of making the playoff roster as we know Joe likes to have his 3 caddies !

  • Bullpen usage for Tuesday looks off. Hamels only went 5 and the game went extras. Did no one else pitch in that game?

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    OT, but I don't understand all the hype about the Cubs signing Harper in the offseason. Yes, he is an elite player but where would he play on the Cubs. Plus Harper is known to be injury prone. I'd much rather have Machado & trade Russell. The only reason Russell isn't gone yet is because there is no defensive replacement if Javy gets injured. Seager will be back for LA next season, so I highly doubt they sign Machado. My question is, can Machado play 2b? He's not with Boras which is a plus, although he's going to get paid well above average.

  • In reply to Wrigley0923:

    Maybe the Dodgers move Turner to 2nd and sign Machado to play 3rd. I think Machado may not have a problem playing 3rd once he gets his money.

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    In reply to 2016 Cubs:

    I think its prob more likely Machado w his younger legs n body moved to 2nd over Turner.

    I do agree w you that once he gets his bread, he won't mind moving off SS. Personally I think the main reason he pushed so hard to move off a GG position ( 3B for him) cause he knows his bat profiles at superstar levels as a SS. ( Still good as a 3B, but top top top at the most valuable defensive position )

    Just like Arod, once he had his money, he had no problem going to the Yanks and moving off SS ( and he was the best SS on the yanks when he got there as well)

  • In reply to Wrigley0923:

    Machado is a terrible fielder at ss.

  • Maybe Mike Montgomery will hit another blast tonight. Hopefully with runners on base.

  • I agree with signing Machado instead of Harper. We have enough outfielders already and need a better shortstop. I think the Cubs should also think about trading LaStella (keep Murphy as the lefty) along with Russell for whatever they can get for them.

  • I like the lineup tonight even though it went down easily in the 1st... Only thing I’d do different is flip Bote & Montgomery.

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    Cubs still need a Loogy. Maybe they can get Liriano from Detroit. I believe the Astros used him out of the pen last year and he was solid. His numbers vs lefties is top notch.

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    Lets go boys. Time for a crooked number

    At least 2 here is a must.

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    Excellent AB by big Willy w 2 strikes.

    Now thats an AB he should be very proud of.

    Run in and Heyward to 3rd w only 1 out.

    Time for the Schwarbenator !

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    2 in. ( Thank you Albies)

    Now lets make it crooked, real crooked

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    Terrible AB by the Boat man. got to swing when the ball is right down the middle up. ( esp w runner on 3rd n 1 out)

    Got to give Folty credit, He buckled down instead of collapsing after the big hit by Monty

    Time for Monty to come up w a shutdown inning.

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    In other news, Giancarlo Stanton hits his 300th career bomb

    In bad news, the 8 and 9 hitters for the cards go B2B w Jacks.

  • In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    It really irritates me that John gant has been as productive as he has been. He has regression written all over him but that cards voodoo working again. They really seem to get a lot of big contributions from low profile young players in general

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    In reply to kkhiavi:

    Its great development and great scouting. Its been happening for too many years to call it luck although I do agree w the Voodoo part !

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    In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    Gleyber w HR #21

    Even the most optimistic never expected this kind of power from him so early in his career. He could be a perennial 30 HR threat w excellent D as he matures and gets better. Scary thats he's this good so soon.

    Shows that we can sure develop hitters. I know Bote is on a whole other talent spectrum, but perhaps this isn't a fluke and he is a MLB player. I am not so sure, but what do I know. McKinney is looking pretty good for Toronto. Also good news for the possibility of some hitters coming up and surprising us in the next few years.

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    Nice shutdown inning.

    Javy, Rizzo, and Zorilla coming up to do some damage !

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    Brew crew won in Cincy and StL is winning 2-0. We have to treat these games as playoff games—we’re not that far ahead to coast. I don’t think they will, these are veteran players with Joe managing them. A 6-5 road trip would be acceptable.

  • I have always had a random thought about 6-man rotations. Most starters say that they hate them, because all their lives they've had a routine built around "every 5th day."

    Here's my proposal. Rather than just run every 6th day, why not give every pitcher a full rotation "skip" every 5th time through the rotation. Here's what I mean (consider our 6 pitchers names as A, B, C, D, E, and F).

    Round 1: A,B,C,D,E
    Round 2: F,B,C,D,E
    Round 3: A,F,C,D,E
    Round 4: A,B,F,D,E
    Round 5: A,B,C,F,E
    Round 6: A,B,C,D,F
    Back to 2

    The idea is that, every pitcher (assuming health) gets about 30 starts. With this model, about 6 times in the year, a pitcher would get skipped and have a 10-day break. The rest of the time, the pitcher gets the ball "every 5th day", but he gets a meaningful break basically every month.

    I'm no doctor, so no idea whether the science prefers "every 6th day" to "every 5th day w/ monthly skips" and won't try to comment or defend that.

    My thought is that it just feels less disruptive, and potentially just as good at the goal of reducing the overall innings load.

    Thoughts?

  • In reply to Steve4cash:

    Yes, I like that idea but for me it doesn’t have to be the same 6th man (F) every time. If they had a AAAA guy (G) who throws opposite hand of F they could swap him in now & then.

    But I wouldn’t start the season w/a 6 man rotation with all of the off days & rainout possibilities.

  • In reply to Steve4cash:

    Actualy a good idea but how often would 6 guys stay healthy the whole year? Then you’re back to a 5 man but I still like this a whole lot better than what Tampa is trying. Guys like Montgomery have never had a 150 inning load before either. I still don’t understand how pitchers today are as fragile as they are, now you see a lot of bullpens are even breaking down around the leagues and relievers are seldom dominant for more than 3-4 years.

  • In reply to Steve4cash:

    I like the idea too, but one concern would be available roster spots. Carrying 6 starters would mean one less arm in the bullpen or one less bench player.

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    Zorilla w another big Knock

    I hate seeing Heyward in the middle of the lineup, but perhaps in a return home, he can come up w the big knock

    Lets go brother or do we have to wait for Willy again

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    Big mistake putting runners on in front of Freeman n Markakis

    Lucky ole Camargo jumped in front of that bouncing ball to reach

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    Murphy w a Javy'esk play at 2nd. He used every bit of range in his body to get that force at 2nd off Markakis's bat. LOL

    Minimal damage, only 3-1 after 3 innings

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    Lets go Monty. Lets get 9 more outs

    I hope we didn't let Folty off the hook. He could easily been out of this game or at least w 5 or so runs given up.

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    Musgrove struggling real bad.

    Cards up 5-0 and Crew already won so its looking like all we can do is lost ground or stay the same.

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    Nice way to work around a leadoff double Monty. He's looking sharp, very sharp esp that nasty nasty changeup.

    Some more insurance and 6 more outs from him would be nice

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    7 in a row down by Folty w a little help from the ump on Zobrist.

    Got to keep matching them Zero's Monty

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    Acuna is acting like Ozzie Albies from earlier this year by just being a pest of all pests.

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    After that lucky hit by Camargo. We will be lucky to get out of this inning tied

    Got to take advantage of opportunities when we have them.

    Lucky Folty even if he's settled in prob won't go more then 2 innings. I say we get him out after 1 more

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    Hope Heyward is okay. Weird dive. Hard to tell what he injured.

  • In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    I saw it going... :o)

  • In reply to Milk Stout:

    Oops, Jim, wrong placement...

    Yeah, I couldn’t tell either on that play.

  • No Joe, no Joe....not this guy

  • I didn't see that homerun coming.

  • In reply to 44slug:

    I saw it going... :o)

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    Can we all agree that Albert A is our CF. The closer we get to the end of the season and then the playoffs defense is key and Almora is by far our best CF.
    Oh, and Javy needs to start another hot streak. He looks dejected and confused up there.

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    In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    Yea, he's only hitting over ,290 w close to .340 OBP along w .900 + OPS. Poor guy.

    If only if this is his floor.

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    In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    Navy's OBP isn't even .330, much less .340.

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    In reply to Joel Mayer:

    *javy

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    In reply to Joel Mayer:

    Now your playing semantics. I was quoting his numbers going into todays game. Your quoting after todays game where his OBP is now .329.

    I apologize

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    In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    I was quoting before and after todays game. Before the game it was .329. After the game (per fangraphs) it is .327 Both of which are below .330.

    To me that isn't semantics. It is simply a correction. For all I knew it was simply a typo (hit a 4 instead of a 3). Sorry if I was harsh about it. I very much respect your opinion. It is just important to me that the information on here is correct/accurate. We all make mistakes and I didn't mean any disrespect.

    I said a couple months ago that if his OBP is above about .325 I can live with him having an occasional PA where he looks lost at the plate because of his power and baserunning. So when I read .340 my eyes flared. "WOW! He's up to .340?!" I thought. I hadn't looked at his OBP in a few days so I thought it would be surprising, but not impossible. So I checked. And it was about where I thought it would be.

  • In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    What's he been hitting over the last 2 weeks? Mr. Friedman is right, Javy hasn't been at his best at the plate lately. He had a very visible discussion about it with his tablet during last night's game. Hopefully, it's one of those temporary things and he's back to the hot bat soon.

  • In reply to Cliff1969:

    Baez had a 9 game hitting streak that ended last night, with 6 multi hit games in that streak.Hitting .273 the last week, .333 the last 2 weeks

  • Is there a more annoying sound in baseball than that chop?

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    In reply to Wickdipper:

    On the other hand, the most beautiful words I’ve heard are “Your Chicago Cubs are the 2016 WS Champions!!”

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    In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    I think you mean 2018 World Champs.

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    In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    We will hear that.

  • In reply to Wickdipper:

    A possible close second?

    "The-uh-uh-uh-uh-uh Yankees!"

    Barf.

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    I think LaStella showed the haters around why he deserves a playoff spot.

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    In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    I like TLS more than most. But at this point I am not sure that he brings much to the team. To me his "niche" is filled by Daniel Murphy. The mediocre-bad fielding, LHH middle infielder with outstanding contact ability, great approach, and ability to draw BB if necessary. Oh, yeah, and Murphy has more power.

    I think TLS likelihood of making the post-season roster took a serious hit when the Cubs acquired Murphy.

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    In reply to Joel Mayer:

    If Murphy was a bench player, I would agree w you 100%.

    You can never have enough outstanding contact ability, great approach, and ability to walk players on the bench esp w the majority of closers being RH.

    Honestly, who do you want coming up in a big spot in the 8th or 9th inning vs a strong RH relief pitcher? ( even a lefty, I wouldn't be afraid to put him up there)

    Bote, Happ, Russell, or LaStella?

    Hes a proven clutch performer.

  • In reply to Joel Mayer:

    Below is a list of last year's playoff infielders and outfielders. If you subtract Jay and Martin, you can add Murphy and Bote.

    Infielders (6)
    Anthony Rizzo
    Javier Baez
    Addison Russell
    Kris Bryant
    Ben Zobrist
    Tommy La Stella

    Outfielders (6)
    Jason Heyward
    Jon Jay
    Albert Almora Jr.
    Kyle Schwarber
    Ian Happ
    Leonys Martin

  • In reply to Joel Mayer:

    Murph has no range on D, but an awesome hitter. I think that there will be room for both he and Tommy on the post season roster. With Bryant back and healthy, Bote might be odd man out. Caratini is a lock and a big part of this team down the stretch. Wilson is insurance in case Contreras or Victor are injured. Willy would play on one leg if Joe would let him.

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    In reply to 44slug:

    I don't consider TLS to have particularly good range on defense either.

  • In reply to Joel Mayer:

    It's a tough call I was fully on Bote as of yesterday lol and I think Bote is the higher upside young player long term and he's had a better season obviously than La stella. That being said I do think La stella is a better contact hitter with better patience but much less power and I do think that you can argue that he matches up better with some of the hard throwing Right handed starters and relievers that we would potentially see in the playoffs due to his ability to put the ball in play. But I feel it's really hard to not see Bote on the roster he's a plus defender, he brings a timely power element. and he seems to play his best at the biggest moments the kids a gamer. I think ideally we'd have both on the postseason roster but I'd say how each of them performs moving forward play play a big role in the teams decision making. Big moment for La stella against his former team but I think Bote easily has to be in the lead based on his body of work this year (1.3 WAR already in a relatively small sample)

  • In reply to Joel Mayer:

    Me either, but Murphy is worse. When Russell gets back I expect to see Javy at second late in games for defense, when the Cubs have the lead. We are better team with Daniel's bat. TLS will mostly pinch hit against righthanders. It's important though.

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    Bote now has to adjust to what the pitchers are doing. He’s been awful his last 15 games—except in those critical moments in games.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    Bote's numbers are now more in line with his numbers in the minors. It should have been expected.
    He has made very solid contributions, we should be happy about that and he has established himself as a capable MLB player.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    I believe he will. He's "adjusted" pretty well so far...

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    We have to see Acuna, but lets not see Freeman again

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    I love defense!!

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    I thought pitchers had to set before throwing. Stropy really doesn’t stop. Why isn’t that a quick pitch?

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    In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    Not when the bases are empty

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    Holy S&%%%&*&$&

    I thought that was an easy pop up to center off the bat, but there wasn't a chance Almora gets that.

    Javy saved maybe a double right there w his range and will ( TWTW)

    Game Set Vote for Pedro

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    In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    That was honestly one of the best plays I have seen him make. That was some SERIOUS range.

  • Whew... big sigh of relief. Another nice game to win. Especially after being up 3 zip.

  • W
    W
    W
    W
    W
    W
    W
    Brown steamer emoji
    W!

  • Game recap is not up yet, so I will do my thing here:

    StL beat PIT, so the Magic Number is reduced by 1, and now sits at 25.

    Good start to the road trip. Weekend’s series are CIN-StL and MIL-WSH, while the Cubs are in PHI. Let’s keep it rolling! Go Cubs!

  • In reply to CubsFanInNorway:

    Really good start. We won our 5th starters game in his 1st one back from DL. W/a LaStella PH dinger coming from behind. Against a good pitcher. Bullpen did a nice job & great defense.

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    Where have you gone BP? A blog turns it's lonely eyes to you....
    so I'll say:
    Yes You May!!

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    I hope everything is OK.

  • In reply to TC154:

    Either really busy or vacationing off the grid I hope.

  • In reply to TC154:

    Me, too.

  • In reply to TC154:

    Ditto ... getting worried about BP

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    In reply to stv711:

    me too. BP, you've got a loyal following and we care about you!

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    Wish I knew his real name so that I could Google if anything was wrong.

  • In reply to CubsFanInNorway:

    To get on this site don’t you have to the identify yourself with an email? Maybe one of our leaders can check that and see if they can find something.

  • Looking like Dirty Birds are going to get Josh Donaldson today......

  • In reply to KJRyno:

    Maybe. They basically want him for nothing and the Blue Jays may not go along with that. Apparently the relationship with Donaldson and the Jays has soured to the point where they don't think he'd accept a QO so they may go that route for the draft pick. Relationship or no who turns down $18 mil when no one else is going to pay him close to that given his injuries the last two years? If he does go St. Louis he's expected to immediately go back on the DL. This is going to be interesting to watch.

  • Jamie Garcia signed by cubd

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