Game Post 8/28

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Series preview is here.

Watch/Listen

Tuesday: 7:05 pm CT on WGN/670AM

Lineups

Mets

1. Amed Rosario (R) SS
2. Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
3. Austin Jackson (R) CF
5. Todd Frazier (R) 3B
6. Jay Bruce (L) 1B
8. Brandon Nimmo (L) RF
9. Jacob deGrom (L) P
Cubs
1. Daniel Murphy (L) 2B
2. Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
3. Jason Heyward (L) RF
4. Javier Baez (R) SS
6. Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
8. Cole Hamels (L) P
9. David Bote (R) 3B
Bullpen Usage
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Lineups and Bullpen Usage via Baseball Press.

Opposing pitcher

Scouting Report from Brooks Baseball.

Jacob deGromHis fourseam fastball generates an extremely high number of swings & misses compared to other pitchers' fourseamers, has less armside movement than typical and has well above average velo. His slider is thrown extremely hard, generates a very high amount of groundballs compared to other pitchers' sliders and has less than expected depth. His change is thrown extremely hard and has some natural sink to it. His sinker is blazing fast, has less armside run than typical and has little sinking action compared to a true sinker. His curve is much harder than usual, has little depth, has primarily 12-6 movement and results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers' curves.
Sam's Note: deGrom is basically Aries this year. This is a problem. In August he's striking out over 12 per 9. It's a 1.75 FIP. Duck.

Final Thoughts: deGrom is an elite pitcher and was outstanding against the Cubs in June allowing one run in seven innings while racking up 13 strikeouts. Joe Maddon is going with an interesting lineup against the Mets ace. Hitting Antony Rizzo second and Victor Caratini in the five spot. Honestly, lineup construction seems to have little effect on the Cy Young candidate. Cole Hamels has been terrific in a Cubs uniform and will likely need to outlast deGrom if Chicago wants to extend its winning streak to seven.

Comments

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  • Heyward 3rd, eh...? I might have flipped Bote & Almora. Joe knows lineups...

  • In reply to Milk Stout:

    Heyward career .389 hitter facing deGrom in 18 ABs.

    And I think reason for Bote in the 9th spot is his better OBP and more likely to work a better AB and get on base, kind of turning the lineup over after Hamels bats 8th.

  • In reply to Cubber Lang:

    Ehh... Still weird having him in the 3 hole... I’d still flip Almora & Bote.

  • Stats show Ben Zobrist 3rd in BA with .309....but would he have enough at bats to qualify for the title if he was the highest? I thought the minimum used to be 502 ab’s?

  • In reply to Wickdipper:

    Under current rules, a player must have 3.1 plate appearances (PA) per team game (for a total of 502 over the current 162-game season) to qualify for the batting title.

  • Reds already up 4-0 in the middle of the 2nd against the BrewCrew.

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    I like Joe. He might be frustrating at times, especially in the first half of the year (or maybe in game 7 of the WS) but all the machinations lead to him having a very good idea of what works when and with who. This is why the Cubs have done so well in the 2nd half during these last 4 years. He has his reasons and for the most part they work, and as much as we all like to criticize him here, me included, I don't think there's anyone better to manage this team right now.
    Get deGrom and Go Cubs!!

  • Man there's some major thunderstorms headed towards chicago, this game is gonna get delayed in about 45-60 mins. They'll move through quickly but expect a delay and maybe degrom will be done for the night :)

  • In reply to bolla:

    Nice prediction there!
    :)

    How about predicting Atlanta's weather for Thursday'/ game before I head over?

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    Brew Crew now losing 6-1 in the 4th.

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    StL winning 4-0 in the 4th. Milw losing 6-2.

  • Second time in a week Javy taking too much time to throwing out a runner. Running up the pitch count on Hamels.

  • In reply to ronvet69:

    and they missed the last strike call on Jesse Chavez too last night. Whether missed calls help us or hurt us something needs to be done about all these missed calls it's pretty much an every inning thing. This one was much bigger than the one last night this call basically handed the Mets a pivotal lead and now we're at risk of taking a loss over a complete obvious missed call. In a game with Playoff implications these types of missed calls can't happen and it's gonna continue until this issue is corrected. What if this happened in game 7 of the World Series?

  • Should have left Hamels in and bunt.

  • Just a perfect illustration as to why home plate umps need to go. That play literally changes the entire game instead of a double play were in a major jam

  • Another 2 cent umpire with a movable strike zone. Two on instead of two out. Hamels cannot pitch the 6th because of the extra pitches he had to throw in the fifth.

  • In reply to ronvet69:

    Hamels could have easily pitched another inning. Its past the time for saving starters for the playoffs with 1 more month to go.

  • In reply to clarkAddson:

    Joe wasn't "saving starters." He was trying to generate some offense by using one of the best pinch-hitters in the game. Considering that Hamels was already at 90 pitches, it was the right call.

  • In reply to clarkAddson:

    Hamels threw 114 pitches in his last outing. He struggled in his last inning and had thrown 90 pitches. His was the first spot up in the order. Pulling him was the right call all day, every day.

  • I'll tell Joe Maddon to consult you since you know more than him.

  • In reply to ronvet69:

    Sometimes it seems like it. Thanks

  • In reply to clarkAddson:

    No, it really doesn't. :)

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    It’s Javy time. At least he’s throwing FBs to Javy.

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    How does deGrom last until the 9th round? Just like you can’t teach speed you can’t teach velocity. It’s one thing to throw 94-95 but when you have someone throw constantly in the upper 90’s why not draft that earlier? Most draft choices don’t make it so why not take a chance on someone with elite talent?

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    They did. They traded him w/Eloy for Quintana. They promoted Marquez to South Bend who is a starter & throws upper 90s. But otherwise those elite guys go early in the 1st round, while Cubs pick late in the round.

  • In reply to Milk Stout:

    And I know, Marquez is an IFA. But that’s another avenue to acquire elite talent.

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    In reply to Milk Stout:

    But deGrom was there for 8 complete rounds. We take Hatch and Lange and all the others with low 90’s FB and plus curve balls. I don’t disagree with those guys but we take so many with the same skills. Take a chance or two or three on elite skills with their FBs.

  • Rain all the way past Rockford

  • Lack of top end pitch speed is one reason Cubs pitchers don't last past 6 most of the time. There are so many foul balls even when the pitcher controls the strike zone. They aren't able to throw the ball past hitters and they end up with high pitch counts. That's why Theo draft is so frustrating. There are lots of big throwers out there but they keep drafting the high 80's low 90's guys.

  • LOL, now we have people on here who really do think they are smarter than Theo and Joe.

  • In reply to KJRyno:

    What's frustrating is that absolutes are rare in game decisions. Even the "best" decisions that utilize all available data, history and managerial judgement can and do backfire. It's so easy to state "well, I woulda..." after the fact.

  • In reply to Cliff1969:

    Yeah, I coached both basketball and baseball and I have a son that is doing it as a career choice and I just have to laugh. After the fact vs. in the real time decisions are hilarious. As you say, doing things by the book isn't always right and could get you fired quickly (Hello Mike Matheny). The ability to play a hunch and have it pay off is what makes good managers. Anybody can play it by the book.

  • Not finding the resumed game on MLB TV. I'm guessing it isn't televised?

  • In reply to Cliff1969:

    Stuck "watching" on Gameday...

  • It's on NBC sports chicago cliff

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    Thanks. The MLB TV link was still to WGN and showing last night's game. They just changed the link.

  • Which way is the wind blowing? I'm at work so gamecasting.

  • I hope this game doesn't end up going 14-15 innings, the mets bullpen sucks so hopefully the cubs end this soon.

  • Is the mets 1st base coach the same guy who use to be the phillies gm? When the cubs claimed hamels off waivers in aug 2014 amaro wanted baez and bryant for hamels and his 90 mil remaining on his contract lol

  • In reply to bolla:

    I googled, that's him

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    Leadoff man reaches. Nice work Javy

    Now please make that Carrot bunt so we don't have to see him hit into another DP.

    Then take 2 chances to get Javy in w a knock or maybe he steals 3rd ?

  • That escalated quickly.Great ab by baez drawing the walk from 0-2, laid off 2 sliders

  • In reply to bolla:

    I've been saying all year that I think despite his low walk rate that we've seen progress from him with his plate approach. I know we'd all love to see him take a bigger step forward in the patience department but that doesn't mean he's not improving with his approach. When have we ever seen Javy go from 0-2 to 4-2 in previous seasons like he has a few times recently

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    Thank you Joe for having Caratini bunt

    This game should be over

    Almora the hero? WP hero ? or Zorilla ?

    My money is Zorilla !

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    Huge swing pitch mr umpire.....should be 0-2 on Zorilla.............OOPS

    Game will be over now w that huge break

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    Game Set Match

    Lets got streaking !

    Thank you Zorilla !

  • Glad zobrist was up in that situation, good win.

  • Shout out to Caratini. Nice throw from the knees for the DP and getting the bunt down when needed. Doing the little things that make you stick as a big leaguer.

  • In reply to KJRyno:

    Agreed I've been vocal that I like Caratini's bat but I'm not the biggest fan of his defense and his throwing arm has generally been one of my criticisms. But I think he's improving behind the plate as he's getting to know these pitchers and he's moving closer to becoming an average catcher. He could've easily had 2 CS as well if the home plate umpire didn't miss that strike 3 call for Kintzler last night in the 6th inning.

    Huge win for the team glad it didn't take 14+ innings and now Alec Mills can go into the 2nd game without the same pressure that he would've had if we lost this game. Shout out to Zobrist for just being steady and consistent all season this guy is just the perfect fit in this lineup when he's going right. In fact, I think Murphy and Zobrist are basically almost ideal complements to this young lineup.

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    He did have 2 CS. He threw out Rosario yesterday at third. Should of had 3 CS if not for that missed strike. Not bad for an almost average catcher ;)

  • In reply to 2016 Cubs:

    Lol I'm not gonna lie he's showing progress behind the plate in my eyes. He's never had much gas on his throws like Contreras but at least he's placing the ball on the money now. And after watching Montero throw for 2.5 years I think we can all say Caratini may as well be pudge rodriguez compared to Monty

  • In reply to kkhiavi:

    That's true your comparison of Montero. I never seen a catcher who couldn't throw to second base on the fly.

  • Javy didn't have a very good game - until the 11th inning, when he coaxed a walk from an 0-2 count and ended up scoring the winning run!

  • W W W W W W W!

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    I don't like how Alec Mills has started this game. He seems a little off.

    I hope the wind is blowing in.

    Big spot w the Todd Father up

  • In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    I think he looks more like the guy at AAA. I think his last start might of been a fluke.

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    Geez. Just 420 or so feet from Frazier.

    Cant get behind big league hitters ( even struggling ones) and think you can just throw a meatball right down the middle ( esp w the bases loaded).

    Least those who doubted him after his brilliant last start can say " Mills is who we thought he was"

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    Cubs bats are just going to have to wake up early today if they want to go into Hotlanta on a streak

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    Cubs better have their hitting shoes on today. You have to believe Vargas being a Vet and being spotted this big cushion early, that he's going to pound the zone.

    These Cubs better wake up

    I woke up early and got my work done early so I could get home in time for this. Figured the streak would prob end w some tape on Mills available, but figured it would take a few innings before a 4 spot

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    Who would have guessed back in May that Rizzo would up over .280 before the end of August?

    What an incredible summer he's had. Remarkable considering how cold he started.

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    I know its early, but a pretty big AB here for Mr. Bote

    Would be huge even to just get 1 run back

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    I wish I could have given the pre game talk instead of Chili....... Get ready to swing, Vargas more then likely is going to be in the zone. Double down on that if he gets spotted an early lead.

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    Shrewd move by the Braves picking up Rene Rivera from the Angels.

    Yes, they just extended Flowers yesterday to a contract extension, but you can never have too much experience, pitch framing, and D from the catching position.

    I been hoping we add a veteran backstop since we figured out that "other catcher" couldn't hit his weight. If hey can grab one along w a Loogy, they would have address all issues even the tiny minor ones.

  • In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    Too bad I wouldn't have minded Rivera back. I like Caratini but he's below average in both phases of his game and ideally you'd like a defensive minded catcher on the bench.

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    The Schwarbenator has Zero power vs Lefties this year ( power is his game) and yet he's leading off vs a Lefty? Strange

    So far 2 poor ABs,( swinging at crap n letting the strikes go by) but he saw 12 pitches w Vargas at 48 thru 2. Lets get him out by the 5th.

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