Game Post 8/26

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Series preview is here.

Watch/Listen

Sunday: 1:20 pm CT on WGN/670AM

Lineups

Reds

1. Billy Hamilton (S) CF
2. Jose Peraza (R) SS
3. Scooter Gennett (L) 2B
4. Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
5. Scott Schebler (L) RF
6. Phillip Ervin (R) LF
7. Tucker Barnhart (S) 1B
8. Curt Casali (R) C
9. Homer Bailey (R) P
Cubs
1. Daniel Murphy (L) 2B
2. Javier Baez (R) SS
3. Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
5. Jason Heyward (L) RF
6. David Bote (R) 3B
7. Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
Bullpen Usage
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Lineups and Bullpen Usage via Baseball Press.

Opposing pitcher

Scouting Report from Brooks Baseball.

Homer BaileyHomer Bailey has thrown 20,126 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2018, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Spring Training. In 2018, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball(94mph), also mixing in a Slider (88mph), Splitter (87mph), Sinker (94mph) and Curve using a Knuckle Curve grip (80mph). He also rarely throws a Cutter (90mph) and Change (87mph).

His fourseam fastball has some natural sinking action and has essentially average velo. His slider is thrown extremely hard, generates fewer whiffs/swing compared to other pitchers' sliders, has less than expected depth, has primarily 12-6 movement and results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers' sliders. His splitter is slightly firmer than usual and results in somewhat more groundballs compared to other pitchers' splitters. His sinker has slightly above average velo. His curve generates fewer whiffs/swing compared to other pitchers' curves and is slightly harder than usual. His cutter is an extreme flyball pitch compared to other pitchers' cutters and has slightly above average velo. His change (take this with a grain of salt because he's only thrown 16 of them in 2018) is basically never swung at and missed compared to other pitchers' changeups, is much firmer than usual and has slight armside fade.

Sean's Note: Bailey has been just horrible in 2018 with an ERA over six. The home run has been a big problem, 20 of them in just 91 innings pitched. His strike out rate is a very low 15% and opponents are hitting a whopping .303 against him. The Cubs tagged him for six runs in a loss in May.

Final Thoughts: Kyle Schwarber and Willson Contreras are starting to heat up at the plate. It seems clear Daniel Murphy will always hit at Wrigley Field no matter who he plays for. Kyle Hendricks was very good his last start in Detroit, despite paltry run support. If he can pitch anything like that he has an excellent chance to win on Sunday. The Cubs offense is on the upswing and Homer Bailey is one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball. Anything can happen, it is baseball, but Chicago has a chance for a big sweep.

Comments

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  • Hopefully they continue the hitting & back the SP-ing.

    I’m thinking Kintzler needs a new nickname... Because he’s been “salt” alright... salt in the wound.

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    In reply to Milk Stout:

    Lol. Completely agree about Kintzler. I would normally be happy taking 3 of 4 from the Reds, but the way the cards & crew have been playing, Cubs need to win. Not a fan of Almora batting 9th. Rather have Happ in there, but Bailey has stunk all year. Maybe AA will get a few knocks. Not a fan of Murphy leading off every game either, but it's been working so far.

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    Oh man if we can get Heyward going again.

    Like a broken record, my prediction is going to be whomever gets to 5 first. Although I am predicting the if the reds get to 5, the Cubs will have double digits !

    5 in a row sounds good.

  • In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    There you go Jim. Bote got the Cubs to 5 first... He hit a homer off of Homer...

  • In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    Looks like you got your Jhey wish

  • Boy really impressive to see bote turn things around so quickly after his recent slump. Tells you something about the kid that he's already adjusting to how major league pitchers are approaching him. It's against the Reds and a struggling homer Bailey but he's gotten a lot of big hits for us over the past 5 games

  • Kris who?

  • In reply to 44slug:

    Just think of that order when he gets back.

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    Geez Louise........ Anderson got 2 quick outs after a leadoff double by Carpenter, I switch the channel w Oneil up.

    Come back and they somehow scored 6 runs w 2 outs including the pitcher getting a knock.

    Guess Cards won't be losing ground today

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    In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    Sort of like the Brewers beating the heck out of Archer w 2 outs 1 run in and none on......boom boom boom and it was 6-0

    Nobody losing ground today

  • In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    Boy what's archers deal the stuff is there and he seems to be a good kid but the guy just doesn't get bottom line results for whatever reason

  • In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    Not so fast... 7-4 now in Milwaukee. And the Crew has gone to their floundering bullpen.

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    In reply to Cubber Lang:

    Hader will get them to the 9th and Jeffries will close it. Reds have almost as good of a shot of coming back as the bucs.

  • In reply to Jim Odirakallumkal:

    I'm not so sure about a Reds comeback. Chatwood is on the DL.

  • In reply to Cubber Lang:

    And they kept Salt out behind the wall in the pen...

  • Yep. Adding Bryant’s and Murphy’s bats in the span of a week is essentially adding two top twenty NL bats to a good lineup. For a team playing over .600 ball since July 1. Teams dream of that kind of depth

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    Who do we want--Archer or Hamels? Archer would have cost us much, much more than Hamels and at least this year isn't nearly as good. There's a reason this FO is on the top of it's game.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    I swear I remember some who opposed the trade for Q say that we should've at least gotten Archer for what we gave up. The situation wouldn't be any better either way.

  • In reply to Jonathan Friedman:

    I’ve always, repeat always, been against trading for Archer.

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    The Schwarbenator has just left the building

  • Sweepage!

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