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Lineups and Bullpen Usage via Baseball Press.
Scouting Report from Brooks Baseball.
Homer Bailey: Homer Bailey has thrown 20,126 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2018, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Spring Training. In 2018, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball(94mph), also mixing in a Slider (88mph), Splitter (87mph), Sinker (94mph) and Curve using a Knuckle Curve grip (80mph). He also rarely throws a Cutter (90mph) and Change (87mph).
His fourseam fastball has some natural sinking action and has essentially average velo. His slider is thrown extremely hard, generates fewer whiffs/swing compared to other pitchers' sliders, has less than expected depth, has primarily 12-6 movement and results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers' sliders. His splitter is slightly firmer than usual and results in somewhat more groundballs compared to other pitchers' splitters. His sinker has slightly above average velo. His curve generates fewer whiffs/swing compared to other pitchers' curves and is slightly harder than usual. His cutter is an extreme flyball pitch compared to other pitchers' cutters and has slightly above average velo. His change (take this with a grain of salt because he's only thrown 16 of them in 2018) is basically never swung at and missed compared to other pitchers' changeups, is much firmer than usual and has slight armside fade.
Sean's Note: Bailey has been just horrible in 2018 with an ERA over six. The home run has been a big problem, 20 of them in just 91 innings pitched. His strike out rate is a very low 15% and opponents are hitting a whopping .303 against him. The Cubs tagged him for six runs in a loss in May.
Final Thoughts: Kyle Schwarber and Willson Contreras are starting to heat up at the plate. It seems clear Daniel Murphy will always hit at Wrigley Field no matter who he plays for. Kyle Hendricks was very good his last start in Detroit, despite paltry run support. If he can pitch anything like that he has an excellent chance to win on Sunday. The Cubs offense is on the upswing and Homer Bailey is one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball. Anything can happen, it is baseball, but Chicago has a chance for a big sweep.