The Cubs take on the Marlins tonight so we cannot say they lack the talent to win this time. If the Cubs play mistake free baseball, we should see a couple of wins. If the Cubs lose to the Marlins, well, then I'll be as frustrated as many fans are right now.
I will have to say that I was encouraged by the Cubs better play against the Reds, even though the bullpen and offense are still unreliable.
There was no minor league recap last night because only one team played, and that was the Tennessee Smokies. The player who stood out again was Arismendy Alcantara, so instead I wrote up a profile on the little infielder with electric skills.
And it's my birthday today. Is a win over the Marlins too much to ask?
If the answer is yes, then plan B is a little scotch. Come to think of it, that's probably plan A.
In the news...
- Since the NFL draft is tonight, I'm going to chime in with some MLB draft thoughts...Kris Bryant is really raking again and is up to 21 HRs on the year -- 5 more than any other college hitter. He continues to get on base and draw walks. His line is currently at .353/.523/.883 and there's a growing consensus he could stick at 3rd. We all know that Mark Appel and Jonathan Gray are the consensus 1-2 -- but it doesn't mean they rank that way for the Cubs.
- I've referred to this before, but according to a study done by Puckett's Pond on first round picks from 1995-2008, the odds are better for a college hitter to make it to the bigs than a college pitcher (83% to 72%). College hitters make it to the majors faster (approximately 2/3 of college hitters make it to the bigs in 3 years or less as compared to just over half, 55%, of college pitchers). College hitters are also more likely to make an impact once they get there. 20% of college hitters become all-stars as compared to 12% of college pitchers and 12.22% of college hitters have 20 career WAR as compared to just 3.79% of pitchers. So if the Cubs aren't absolutely in love with Appel and/or Gray (whomever is available to them), then perhaps they will consider the best college hitter -- and right now that appears to be Kris Bryant. Of course, when we're talking about Mark Appel, most scouts think he's pretty much ready to pitch in the big leagues now, so the odds that he'll be a big leaguer are pretty close to 100%, as are the odds he'll be there within 3 years. The question then boils down to long term impact. i still believe they'll take Appel if he's there because of the combo of floor and ceiling. However, I'm not so sure they won't consider Bryant if the Astros go with Appel.
- Umpires are now admitting that Jean Segura should have been out in that bizarre baserunning play in which he "stole" first base.
- Not Cubs related but still cool to watch... Check out this GIF of Yu Darvish's 5 pitches -- at the same time. Kind of hypnotic.
- DeJesus CF
- Castro SS
- Rizzo 1B
- Soriano LF
- Schierholtz RF
- Castillo C
- Valbuena 3B
- Barney 2B
- E. Jackson SP
What to Watch For:
- Felzz- Nate Schierholtz. I expect a lefty to get it cranking against Kevin Slowey. So let's go with #19. Plus in that spacious outfield Schierholtz legs might save a base or two and keep possible doubles to singles and all.
- John: I'm looking for the Cubs to jump on the Marlins early and the key will be David DeJesus. He has handled Marlins starter Kevin Slowey pretty well when he's had the chance to face him.
- Tom: Darwin Barney needs to contribute some more consistent offense. Nobody expects a lot, but so far, except for the HR, he's been a void in the lineup. Cubs can't afford that.
Filed under: Preview and Game Thread