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Cubs Notes: Fall League, MLB Draft Pools, Kasper, Soriano Ticket Prices

Cubs Notes: Fall League, MLB Draft Pools, Kasper, Soriano Ticket Prices

We're going to round things up this morning with some news and notes...

Fall League Recap

  • The Mesa Solar Sox lost 4-2 to the Peoria Javelinas.  Javier Baez had 2 singles in 4 ABs while Matt Szczur and Rubi Silva both cooled off.  Each went 0-4.  Baez played 3B and this time it went off without a hitch.  Part of the reason Baez is playing 3B from time to time is the presence of Orioles SS prospect Jonathan Schoop, and each are getting some reps in, but it is nonetheless a good experience for Baez, who may change positions down the road.  Expect him to stay at SS once the regular season starts, however.
  • Two Cubs pitchers also pitched in with scoreless innings.  Kevin Rhoderick is looking to diversify his repertoire a bit and perhaps allay concerns that he'll fall in love with that nasty slider of his.  Rhoderick peaked at 91 mph in terms of velocity, but also mixed in a change-up to go with his usual fastball/slider mix.  With Rhoderick, it may be more about changing his approach, since his stuff is already about as good as it's going to get and, in fact, he has lost some velocity off that fastball.
  • Nick Struck also pitched a scoreless inning.  The beauty of Struck's performance is that he needed just 6 pitches.  He managed to squeeze in his whole repertoire into this efficient outing, going with a 90 mph fastball, cutter, curve, and change.

MLB Draft Pool
Baseball America has a great roundup and explanation of the 2013 draft pool.  The Cubs will get $1M less than the Astros but $300,000+ more than the 3rd pick, held by the Rockies.  The big drop comes at #4, where the Twins will get more than $2M less than the Cubs.

Here is the  analysis from BA's Jim Callis.  It's based on last year's revenue numbers.  The amounts will change  but I'm assuming they'll all change proportionally.

"The draft order for the first round is below, subject to change if any teams outside of the top 10 picks sign a free agent who merits compensation. If a free agent's former club offers him a one-year deal with a salary that matches the average of the top 125 salaries from 2012 (roughly $13.5 million), the new team forfeits its first-round pick (unless it's in the top 10, in which case the second-rounder is forfeited). The old club gets a choice at the end of the first round (but not the new team's selection).

Each team's approximate bonus pool to sign its picks in the first 10 rounds is in parentheses. Those numbers are based on the 2012 pick values, which will be adjusted upward to reflect the increase in MLB's revenues this year. Bonus pool money will shift from one team to another every time a competitive-balance lottery pick is traded (those deals only can occur during the regular season) or a compensation free agent changes clubs."

1. Astros ($10,880,000)
2. Cubs ($9,822,500)
3. Rockies ($9,490,700)
4. Twins ($7,700,700)
5. Indians ($7,693,000)
6. Marlins ($8,870,700)
7. Red Sox ($6,341,900)
8. Royals ($7,741,200)
9. *Pirates ($8,226,500)
10. Blue Jays ($5,941,300)
11. Mets ($6,487,300)
12. Mariners ($5,694,600)
13. Padres ($6,330,400)
14. Pirates (see above)
15. Diamondbacks ($6,766,200)
16. Phillies ($5,601,800)
17. Brewers ($5,660,200)
18. White Sox ($4,864,100)
19. Dodgers ($4,780,900)
20. Cardinals ($4,698,300)
21. Tigers ($6,035,500)
22. Angels ($4,584,300)
23. Rays ($4,525,900)
24. Orioles ($5,940,000)
25. Rangers ($4,419,900)
26. Athletics ($5,541,900)
27. Giants ($4,317,500)
28. Braves ($4,266,800)
29. Yankees ($4,216,300)
30. Reds ($5,596,600)
31. Nationals ($4,116,500)
*Compensation for failure to sign 2012 first-rounder Mark Appel.

Sabermetrics and the Mainstream Media

Here is a nice article by Cubs broadcaster Len Kasper on bringing advanced statistical analysis to the broadcast booth.  If you've watched the Cubs this year, you know that Len has done something called "Stats Sunday" and has brought in some heavy hitters to contribute.  Personally, I think it's great. The  face of baseball statistical analysis is changing and it coincides with the Cubs shifting over to a more progressive front office.  The timing couldn't be better and I think Kasper has the combination of intelligence and accessibility to bring it to the mainstream.

The 2012 Hank Aaron Award

The Hank Aaron Award is given to the top hitter in each league. The Cubs candidate is Alfonso Soriano and you can vote for him here if you are so inclined.

2013 Ticket Prices

Paul Sullivan writes that the Cubs will reduce ticket prices by an average of 2%.  That is not an across-the-board cut.  The biggest price reduction will be in the bleachers, which will be marked down 10%.  Some season ticket holders won't see any change and others may even see a slight increase.

 

 

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Comments

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  • It appears that after BABIP Sunday (I had to look the term up to get the correct acronym) became real incomprehensible, Len toned down Stats Sunday. I guess that's why he made the reference in the article to "without turning the broadcast into an advanced math class."

    He is certainly correct that with the rise of information technology, the old days of "watching the teletype to put the out of town score on the scoreboard" has certainly passed.

  • In reply to jack:

    Agreed. Well put. I think Len has a good feel it and did a good job of appealing to a mass audience, which isn't easy to do when you're talking about math and advanced statistics. He did a good job of balancing it without making it seem like you were back in school again.

  • So the big dollar dropoff was between picks 3 and 4, not 2 and 3....Does that mean that the money part of all the angst about losing the 2nd pick to the Rockies was moot?
    Gosh, all those wasted pixels.....

  • In reply to StillMissKennyHubbs:

    Haha! It seems that way. I was a little surprised to see it break down that way, actually. At #2, the Cubs will at least get their choice of everyone except the guy the Astros take, and considering the Astros took a guy who was ranked about #5 in last year's draft, the Cubs may wind up getting their top choice anyway.

  • Colorado has a Competitive Balance Pick

  • Even though the season was very bad at least with the 2nd pick
    and the extra money (over this year's pool money) it will help
    the team big time.

  • In reply to emartinezjr:

    Now that the season is over, it's a nice asset going into the offseason. It's really too bad this is a relatively weak draft but with the 2nd pick and some extra money to spend later, hopefully the Cubs find themselves an impact player or two.

  • What are the pros and cons of Houston drafting Appel. If they
    don't draft him does it apply to the Cubs drafting him.

  • In reply to emartinezjr:

    Pro means the Cubs have another top talent to choose from. And I guess the con is you have to make the decision as to whether you like another college arm (or other player) or do you like Appel so much more that you're willing to deal with Boras again.

  • In reply to John Arguello:

    Since the amount the Cubs can offer him in 2013 is more than
    what he was offered this year do you think its enough.

  • Hey john im suprised u didnt mention shohei otani. The 18 yr old japanese phonem who threw 100mph. The dodgers, red sox , n rangers have already net wit him a few days ago. Though I heard he would count against the ifa budget. This could be a huge talent the cubs cant afford to pass on.

  • In reply to Arod773:

    He's on my radar. Researching more info as we speak. Maybe an article in the next couple of days.

  • In reply to John Arguello:

    this past summer the cubs acquired 2 of the top 10 amateur talents out there. 1 through the draft (almora) and one in international free agency (soler). wouldnt it be great it we could do it again. adding otani and stanek (or appel or manaea) to our prospect depth, thats two waves of ridiculous talent right there.

  • In reply to jshmoran:

    It sounds like Otani wants to go this year. He'll get less 'up-front' than if he waited, but $2 MM is better than waiting, perhaps.

  • john do the cubs get extra money for international players ? If so do you know how much ? If they do get extra money I think they would put a lot of attention to that market.

  • In reply to seankl:

    They do get extra money but I'm not sure how much at this time. I do think they'll turn to the international market a lot with the hope of signing at least one impact player and then maybe trying to outscout teams and bringing in a large pool of talent. With players just 16 years old, there's no such thing as a sure thing, so you can minimize risk by signing a few projectable players instead of putting all your eggs in one basket.

  • In reply to seankl:

    Official numbers aren't official yet, but yes. The Cubs will begin with the second largest amount to spend Internationally.

  • Why do the marlins have more $$$ @ #6 than the Twins have @ #4?

    What did I miss?

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