2014 Emmy Predictions: Miniseries and TV Movies

2014 Emmy Predictions: Miniseries and TV Movies

Usually the Miniseries and TV movie category has me railing against the television industry’s inferiority complex to the film industry, but for once it looks like TV stars just might prevail. Well, TV stars and lesser movie stars, but isn’t that really the same thing?

Note: As always, when I say “Will Win” it I am basing it on the current odds and buzz and when I say “Should Win” I am basing it on my own personal and deeply biased opinion.

Outstanding Miniseries

American Horror Story: Coven, FX Networks

Bonnie & Clyde, Lifetime

Fargo, FX Networks

Luther, BBC America

Treme, HBO

The White Queen, Starz

What Should Win: Fargo

What Will Win: Fargo

All you need to know about the odds in this race is that AHS is Fargo’s closest competition. And I think we all remember the train wreck that was Coven. But even without the weak competition Fargo would win hands down. It perfectly represented what a great miniseries can be; a complete, exciting, well-executed story.

Outstanding Television Movie

Killing Kennedy, National Geographic Channel

Muhammad Ali’s Greatest Fight, HBO

The Normal Heart, HBO

Sherlock: His Last Vow, (Masterpiece) PBS

The Trip To Bountiful, Lifetime

What Should Win: The Normal Heart

What Will Win: The Normal Heart

I love me some Sherlock, but in case the rest of the nominations didn’t make it clear, this year is all about The Normal Heart. And it deserves it. The Normal Heart was a moving, beautiful (if epically depressing) play that deserved to be immortalized on television. Was it the best-directed or produced TV movie of the year? No, but we’ll get to those issues later. As a final project it definitely deserves the accolades.

Outstanding Lead Actor In A Miniseries Or A Movie

Chiwetel Ejiofor, Dancing On The Edge

Martin Freeman, Fargo

Billy Bob Thornton, Fargo

Idris Elba, Luther

Mark Ruffalo, The Normal Heart

Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock: His Last Vow

Who Should Win: Billy Bob Thornton

Who Will Win: Mark Ruffalo

Billy Bob Thornton delivered a masterful performance as conniving hit man Lorne Malvo. The role perfectly utilized his talents at playing both a charmer and a flat out creep. Mark Ruffalo was equally as great in The Normal Heart and he rarely gets the credit Billy Bob has gotten for decades, so I have no problem seeing the award go to him. Which it will, because year of The Normal Heart and all that.

Outstanding Lead Actress In A Miniseries Or A Movie

Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Coven

Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Coven

Helena Bonham Carter, Burton And Taylor

Minnie Driver, Return To Zero

Kristen Wiig, The Spoils Of Babylon

Cicely Tyson, The Trip To Bountiful

Who Should Win: Cicely Tyson

Who Will Win: Cicely Tyson

The one category that remains up in air, mainly because no one from The Normal Heart is nominated. The only one I’ve seen of these is AHS and I sincerely hope neither nomine wins for it. They’re both consistently good and deserve to be recognized for work worthy of their talent. So yeah, Cicely Tyson. She’s been around for forever and deserves all the recognition she can get.

Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Miniseries Or A Movie

Colin Hanks, Fargo

Jim Parsons, The Normal Heart

Joe Mantello, The Normal Heart

Alfred Molina, The Normal Heart

Matt Bomer, The Normal Heart

Martin Freeman, Sherlock: His Last Vow

Who Should Win: Six-way tie

Who Will Win: Matt Bomer

It is rare that I have actually seen everything in a given category and even rarer that I feel strongly about each performance. It may seem a little excessive that practically the entire cast of The Normal Heart is nominated, but each one more than deserves it. Jim Parsons proved tenfold that he is capable of much more than Sheldon Cooper, Alfred Molina was as strong as ever and with one speech Joe Mantello stole the movie. Likewise, Colin Hanks and Martin Freeman served as the emotional hearts of their respective movies. But Matt Bomer turned in a heart-breaking performance and lost 40 pounds so the gold is his.

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Miniseries Or A Movie

Frances Conroy, American Horror Story: Coven

Kathy Bates, American Horror Story: Coven

Angela Bassett, American Horror Story: Coven

Allison Tolman, Fargo

Ellen Burstyn, Flowers In The Attic

Julia Roberts, The Normal Heart

Who Should Win: Allison Tolman

Who Will Win: Julia Roberts

Allison Tolman was the breakout star and, most of the time the best part of, Fargo. Unfortunately these TV people get all starstuck when the movie stars show up and often end up throwing gold statues at them in to an attempt make them stay.  Not that Julia Roberts wasn’t great, because she was, but she has a damn Oscar. Lets not be greedy. Really though, as long as no one from Coven wins I’ll be happy.

Outstanding Writing For A Miniseries, Movie Or A Dramatic Special

American Horror Story: Coven, “Bitchcraft”

Fargo, “The Crocodile’s Dilemma”

Luther

The Normal Heart

Sherlock: His Last Vow

Treme, “…To Miss New Orleans”

Who Should Win: The Normal Heart

Who Will Win: The Normal Heart

This is The Normal Heart’s year and it will sweep every category. And in this case it deserves it. The Normal Heart is a beautifully told story, whether in play or television form.

Outstanding Directing For A Miniseries, Movie Or A Dramatic Special

American Horror Story: Coven, “Bitchcraft”

Fargo, “The Crocodile’s Dilemma”

Fargo, “Buridan’s Ass”

Muhammad Ali’s Greatest Fight

The Normal Heart

Sherlock: His Last Vow

Who Should Win: Fargo, “The Crocodile’s Dilemma”

Who Will Win: The Normal Heart

And here is where the sweep is not deserved. My feelings towards Ryan Murphy can be described as, at best, not warm. But it’s not my dislike of him that makes me question his directing, but rather his questionable directing that makes me dislike him. The Normal Heart is a great story and will remain a great story no matter whose hands it is in, but the entire first half of the movie felt sloppy and erratic. Only a little time within the story made the directorial choices easier to ignore.

Another category down and only two more to go! Check back soon for my thoughts on the comedy and drama categories and, in the mean time, check out my thoughts on reality and variety and to get even deeper, listen to the podcast below.

*The 66th Emmy Awards will air Monday, August 25 at 8/7c on NBC.

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Filed under: Awards

Tags: Emmys, Predictions

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