If you're a regular movie goer and Oscar watcher, you've probably realized by now that who should win the biggest trophy in Hollywood and who actually wins are two different things.
It's fairly obvious that a popularity contest, and sometimes a political scheme is what often leads to who is deemed worthy to hold the strange naked man statue annually at the Academy Awards.
Take for instance the big awards for 2013...
Best Picture nominees:
Amour, Life of Pi, Argo, Lincoln, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Silver Linings Playbook, Django Unchained, Zero Dark Thirty, Les Miserables
Who Should win? Argo. Who will win? Argo. That's rare! Bennifer did a fabulous job directing this picture and was definitely snubbed from getting a director nom. The movie is both beautiful and intense. You spend the entire film not only sympathizing with the hostages, but feeling as if you were one of them.
Why WILL it win? Simply because Hollywood has an enormous opportunity to reward itself by awarding the film. A few people in Hollywood actually played a role in freeing the Iranian hostages as seen in Argo, so current Hollywood will surely jump at the opportunity to bask in that sweet undeserved glory.
Actor (Leading Role) nominees:
Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook), Joaquin Phoenix (The Master), Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln), Denzel Washington (Flight), Hugh Jackman (Les Mis)
Who should win? Hugh Jackman. Who will win? Daniel Day-Lewis.
I'm the last person in the world who wanted to see Les Mis, but I have a wife... I was blown away by Jackman's range with his character from taking the audience through the ups and downs of his life, as well as his ability to sing.
I'm yet to see Lincoln and I'm not sure when I will. I heard it was boring, and it looks boring. The previews make the movie look like two and a half hours of Daniel Day-Lewis doing his best Lincoln impression. Lincoln is however the country's most beloved president and Hollywood loves them some Daniel Day-Lewis.
Actress (Leading Role) nominees:
Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty), Quvenzhané Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild), Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook), Naomi Watts (The Impossible), Emmanuelle Riva (Amour)
Who should win? Jennifer Lawrence. Who will win? Jennifer Lawrence. I'm not a fan of Ms. Lawrence after her awkward Meryl Streep joke at the Globes and her being rude to show business icon David Letterman at the end of the above clip.
In hearing some of her other interviews I've also derived that she takes herself so seriously and is so out of touch with regular people that she makes Anne Hathaway look like someone who would hold you up at the DMV.
Lawrence's performance in Silver Linings is deserving of the trophy and Hollywood has vastly been trying to make her the new big starlet. She is a shoe-in.
Actor (Supporting Role) nominees:
Alan Arkin (Argo), Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook), Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master), Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln), Cristoph Waltz (Django Unchained)
Who should win? Robert De Niro. Who will win? Tommy Lee Jones.
It was very refreshing to see De Niro able to showcase his old school, bad ass acting in a great film like Silver Linings after all the crap he's done the last few years. I honestly thought because of the character's complexity it was his best since Goodfellas.
Even though he showed the entire world he has no sense of humor at the Golden Globes, Tommy Lee has won pretty much every supporting actor award leading up to Sunday's big one. Sorry, but think it's going his way.
Actress (Supporting Role) nominees:
Amy Adams (The Master), Sally Field (Lincoln), Anne Hathaway (Les Mis), Helen Hunt (The Sessions), Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook)
Who should win? I dunno. Who will win? Anne Hathaway.
I only saw Les Mis and Silver Linings... I'd like for Jacki Weaver to get the W over America's Sweetheart, but that ain't gonna happen.
Weaver's portrayal of the gullible and loving mother in Silver Linings was certainly great, but definitely not as difficult as the other roles in the film or the other nominees...
Anne, as I alluded to before, could not tell you how much a candy bar costs, but will definitely win this award. I'm sure you saw, heard, smelled, and felt the plethora of press she got for her part since before the movie was made.
Her character had the least amount of screen time among the supporting cast, but Hollywood already mailed the Oscar to her estate about a year ago.
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Tags: Academy Award nominees, Academy Awards, Academy Awards 2013, Academy Awards nominees, Amour, Anne Hathaway, Argo, Beasts of Southern Wild, Bradley Cooper, Daniel Day-Lewis, David Letterman, Django Unchained, Golden Globes, Goodfellas, Hollywood, Hugh Jackman, Jennifer Lawrence, Jennifer Lawrence Letterman, Late Show with David Letterman, Les Mis, Les Miserables, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Oscar, Oscar nominees, Oscars, Oscars 2013, Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook, Tommy Lee Jones, Zero Dark Thirty