Chicago Tough Picks of the Week September 29th and 30th

Chicago Tough Picks of the Week September 29th and 30th

I'm not going to sit here and gloat...okay, maybe I will.

Last week, I pulled off a 5-1 record.  3-0 in college, 2-1 in the NFL.  As the weeks go by, however, the lines get tougher based on increased data...and folks like me get caught going back and forth and back and forth.

Can I keep it going?  It's a tough week...

Clemson (-7) at Boston College

The Eagles have played an interesting schedule.  The Eagles played Northwestern and the 'Canes tough; two teams edging the top 25.  However, Clemson is still Clemson.  The Tigers only blemish is to an FSU team that I believe could be playing for a national title in January.

BC traditionally has a solid defense, but this year has been mediocre.  I've got the Tigers winning easily: Clemson 34, Boston College 17

Kentucky at South Carolina (-21)

Wow.  In a week of tough picks, this one jumped right out.  The Wildcats have been horrible, losing to in-state not-so-rival Western Kentucky.  The Gamecocks have top 10 potential, and will be fighting for the SEC crown.  The Cocks are ridiculously tough against the run.  Sometimes, spreads like this are too good to be true...which gives me pause.  A whopping 66% of the money is on SC for this game.  South Carolina 45, Kentucky 14

Florida State (-14) at South Florida

Never trust somebody who picks only dogs or faves.  I didn't want to do this...but if I put my money down on FSU being a top 3 team, this year...I can't back down.  National contenders need to take care of business against lesser opponents.  Now, USF isn't some run-of-the-mill program anymore.  They've proven consistently that they can play with the big boys.  The reason the spread is so low?  Well, nobody wants to put money on what looks like the quintessential 'trap game'.  In-state team using opponent as biggest game of the year, etc.  I just feel really good about this FSU team.  Great teams step on the gas in games like this.  USF will play close for a half.  Florida State 37, South Florida 20


San Francisco (-4) at NY Jets

Yep, fave #4.  You've got two garbage quarterbacks going against a p-d off defense who fell last week to Minnesota?  I usually crunch numbers in these predictions spaces...not here: San Francisco 13, NY Jets 3

New Orleans at Green Bay (O 53)

Yeah, yeah, yeah.  I'm the 95 billionth person picking the over on this game.  The Saints defense has been atrocious this year...but the Packers offense has yet to put it together.  The Packers defense has been quietly solid, but the Saints offense has been able to put points on the board.  Green Bay 31, New Orleans 28

Chicago (+ 3 1/2) at Dallas

I never pick the Bears.  And I needed a dog.  So...there.  Chicago 27, Dallas 16

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