Let's just say that things haven't been going well for me lately.
Last Week: 2-2
Season: 22-25-1...yep...I'm smart.
Baltimore (+3) at Pittsburgh
Baltimore is 6-2-1 on the road against the spread this year. I love the Ravens defense on the grass surface...Ben has trouble moving in the pocket...Both road teams won the previous
matchups...I don't expect that to change. Baltimore 16, Pittsburgh 13
Green Bay at Atlanta (-2)
Falcons have won 7 of their last 8 against the spread, and this is for good reason. The Falcons haven't been getting enough national attention, and for some reason get pushed aside during predictions. Everybody is in love with the Green Bay Packers now; this week's new Super Bowl champions.
Atlanta was 7-1 at home this year, while Green Bay was a putrid 3-5 (including a loss at Atlanta). If this game were played four weeks ago, Atlanta would be a 7 point favorite. Atlanta 27, Green Bay 20
Seattle (+10) at Chicago
The Seahawks put it all together last week. They are in the bottom third in every major statistical category. However, Matt Hasselbeck looked like 2005 Matt Hasselbeck, last week. The Bears are 0-5 against the spread in divisional playoff games going back to the Fog Bowl.
I expect the Bears' rust to show, and their playoff inexperience to pop. I hate to say this, but I had to convince myself to not pick Seattle out right. Chicago 27, Seattle 24 (OT)
N.Y. Jets at New England (-9)
The Patriots are a team betted on heavily in Vegas. That's no surprise for the team of the 90's.
It's also why the Pats are only 9-7 against the spread this year.
So, why go with that? The Patriots are a ridiculous 13-3 on the over this year! 7-1 at home.
No matter the weather, I like the Pats to beat the 44 1/2 points. New England 27, NY Jets 20