Same exact conference and overall records for both teams. Both
programs don't care much to run the ball, and they each have only one
good win among their seven. Which is funny because the two teams they
beat in those games (Iowa Hawkeyes, Missouri Tigers) played in a bowl a
few days ago. Iowa beat Mizzou- good omen for NU?
Forget the double digit spread, this ballgame is a "pick'em."
Northwestern (7-3, 3-3) Synopsis: The Ticket City Bowl is tough to size up because in one corner you have... a 'Cats team missing their MVP and all-everything QB Dan Persa (torn Achilles);
and quite possibly their top three rushers. Also, their defense gave up
118 points in their last two games. And they haven't won a bowl
since four years after WWII. For more NU bowl history go here.
But in the other corner you have...the worst pass defense in all FBS
taking on a very pass happy team, a team ranking 116/120 in total
defense, and we're not really sure how interested their coach is in
this game/his school is interested in him.
How well NU stops Tech depends on their "Q Rating." Linebacker
Quentin Davie needs to have a huge game when he straps on the pads for
the final time in college football. He talked about the biggest
challenge his unit faces on Saturday.
"We need to contain them and minimize the big plays. You know that
Texas Tech is going to get passing yards, we just have to do our jobs,"
Redshirt freshman tailback Mike Trumpy fractured his wrist against the Illini
in the Wrigleyville Classic. He's the team's leading rusher with 530
yards and four touchdowns. Persa is #2, and the team's third leading
rusher Arby Fields has left the program.
Trumpy will be a game-time decision, coach Pat Fitzgerald said after
the team's final practice in Evanston. So he'll probably play; this is a
bowl game after all. Trumpy at 70-80% is still a better option than
Fields at 100%. But in Arby's defense, he was one of the best "east-west
runners" (instead of north-south, the forward progress direction) in
QB Evan Watkins will get his third career start and he'll look early and often for Jeremy Ebert, who led the Big Ten with 919 receiving yards. A new wrinkle will be third-stringer Kain Colter, who will see a few series.
He's faster than Watkins, and even Persa, but he's quite rough around
the edges as a passer. It'll be interesting to see how a Tech team in
transition on their defensive coaching staff adjusts to this.
The absence of Persa, eighth in the FBS with 310.0 total yards per
game, was noticeable on offense down the stretch as the Wildcats
suffered two bad losses to end the year. But ironically it was the
defense that fell off a cliff once he was gone. Maybe it was a match-up
But know this: Fitz is one of the best coaching minds in the Big Ten. He'll have something special planned.
Fitz talked Wednesday about getting it done for his seniors.
"You have to focus in the moment and enjoy the game. They've gone
through this already as a high school player. The tough pill to swallow,
however, is the fact that this may be the last time that many of our
seniors ever play a football game again."
Texas Tech (7-5, 4-4) Synopsis:
Tech will have a new defensive coordinator in Sam McElroy. The Red
Raiders' defensive line coach replaces James Willis, who left the
program Sunday to join Will Muschamp's new Florida Gators regime.
"We had a situation here at the start of the week when we were
preparing for the bowl with some staff changes where we did a bit of
shuffling around where I will call the game on Saturday, but it is going
to be a group effort. We have a great defensive staff, a bunch of good
guys, and more importantly, we have a bunch of good players. They are
focused. We have had great practices from the time we reported and have
continued that this week," McElroy said Wednesday.
The Red Raiders, just like last year at this time, are dealing with
another type of possible defection. Tommy Tuberville took over after Mike
But these are not the Raiders of Leach, Wes
Graham Harrell and Michael Crabtree. The current TTU leadership lacks
the Social Darwinist and hard-line tactics that made Woody Hayes look as
warm and cuddly by comparison. But that's a good thing. Tuberville had
been rumored as a candidate for the Miami job before the school hired Al
Golden on Dec. 12, and he may have eyes for another program right now.
Senior quarterback Taylor Potts helped Texas Tech rank eighth in the
FBS in passing with 314.8 yards per game while averaging 32.1 points.
Potts' former teammate at Abilene High School, Lyle Leong had a
team-high 808 receiving yards and is second in the nation with 17 TD
catches. If those yardage numbers don't seem gaudy enough for Tech's
"throw it up 60-70 times a game" offense, it's because Potts spreads the
wealth around like a socialist. Many different receivers have put up
substantial numbers this season.
On the Red Raider defense there's....uhm, yeah.
Guys you'll see Saturday eventually playing on Sundays:
I peruse more NFL mock drafts than
any human being should, and I have never seen even a trace of a TTU
player anywhere. Tailback Brandon Batch has potential; too bad he plays
for a school that believes in running the ball about as much as Iranian
president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad believes in the sovereignty of the nation
Prediction to be taken with a grain of salt (actually make that a whole truckload of salt):
TT 38, NU 31 (Banks' 2010 record 19-8)
The Autumn wind is a Raider
Pillaging just for fun
He'll knock you 'round and upside down
And laugh when he's conquered and won.
Yes, this is winter, and that verse above refers to the team from Oakland,
not the Lubbock, but I just can't pick the Cats without Persa. I'd love
to see them ring in the New Year by ending the drought, but my
cognitive dissonance keeps me from predicting it.
On another note, I've really LOVED writing these brutally honest game
previews in 2010. And my picks record wasn't too bad. See you again in
You can follow him on Twitter @thesportsbank
He also does a regular weekly segment on chicagolandsportsradio.com
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