I've been doing these NIT projections for a while now, but, because I like computers, I wanted to see if I could model the projections instead and not have to do any actual work. Obviously this has some advantages - it just spits out the numbers so I don't have to compare resumes. There are also some drawbacks, like the odd results that could possibly occur. You'll see some funny stuff in the NIT bracket after the jump, but that's what the computer claims is the truth.
NIT Bracket projected by the computer:
- The computer doesn't have any name attachment, so some of the teams that are getting a little more publicity for at-large bids in real life are shunned here. This project shows how thin Alabama's actual profile is. The Crimson Tide are in a lot of bracket projections, but they're barely in the NIT here.
- Marshall doesn't have many bad losses. I think that's what is helping them here. The computer projects every team the Thundering Herd lost to except for Chattanooga (very early) and East Carolina to play in either the NCAA Tournament or the NIT. UAB is projected into the NCAA's in this scenario.
- The computer also respects strength of schedule more than the actual committee does during its deliberations I believe. That's why a 15-13 California team that's currently fifth in the Pac 10 is projected as a #2 seed. That's way too high.
- Most unlikely projections: Marshall, California, Dayton and Wichita State. I think almost every other seed passes the eye-ball test and that's impressive.