When will UIC win again?
After Sunday's loss to DePaul the UIC Flames
are now mired in a 6-game losing streak after a season opening win over Illinois-Springfield. How long will the Flames have to go before they'll get a victory? What are their best chances?
Luckily, there's a way to predict such things. Using Ken Pomeroy's per possession statistics and the predictions on his site, which you could calculate yourself, but this is so much easier. Teams get a slight bonus for playing at home and sometimes these numbers work out great. See here for example
. Of course, that doesn't mean some people aren't still quite skeptical
Jimmy Collins (above) has a lot of work to do, but yes, KenPom's statistics do see UIC winning a game this season. Which one? Check after the jump.
There is only one game remaining on the schedule that the statistics say UIC should win. That game is against Toledo on Dec. 29. The game is at home at the Pavilion and the Flames have a 71% chance at victory according to Pomeroy. The Rockets are also the worst team remaining on UIC's schedule. Toledo is 3-8, including a 32-point loss to Valparaiso on Saturday.
The Top 6 percentage chance games for UIC:
- Toledo, home on Dec. 29, 71%
- Northern Illinois, home on Dec. 19, 42%
- Youngstown State, home on Feb. 6, 34%
- Wisconsin-Milwaukee, home on Feb. 27, 31%
- Loyola-Chicago, home on Jan. 15, 31%
- Cleveland State, home on Feb. 4, 31%
While the Flames don't have the percentages on their side in any other game this season besides Toledo, using LOG5 predictions Pomeroy predicts a final overall record of 5-23, including 3-15 in the Horizon League.
We'll see if UIC can best these predictions, but right now the odds, quite literally, are against the Flames.