Johnson's a sleeper pick from a low to mid-major type school, UCSB. He's strong as an ox, has a tremendous wingspan at 6’11, and is a solid shooter. He overcomes a lot of weaknesses with a solid all-around game, but most importantly, his will to win.
Athletically, Orlando is probably slightly below average laterally and straight speed relative to other shooting guards prospects. He is able to mask it with his great basketball IQ, a body that will punish other shooting guards, a will to want it, and a freakishly long wing-span. He is above average vertically which should help him in finishing at times.
At 6’4 to 6’5, and weighing 220 lbs., he may be slightly (I mean very slight) shorter at the shooting guard position, but his great wing-span and physicality will easily make up for any lack of height. He should hold his own at the next level.
There are no noted off-the-court issues.
Basketball IQ and want it factor
Orlando possesses a great basketball IQ. He knows how to get shots off in the post against taller opponents, knows how to use his body against opponents, and knows where to be at most times.
The best thing about Orlando is desire. He plays extremely hard and supposedly works as hard off the court as anyone. He is very determined and that alone makes me think he will make it in the NBA. I also feel he has that feel as a team player which is important.
Orlando is a tough-nose, spot shooter, with solid size at the NBA Shooting Guard Position. He shoots very well when spotting up for threes, and solidly from mid range. He can post up smaller defenders and overpower opponents to get his shot off.
However, while Orlando is a solid shooter and tough player, how will his power game translate at the next level? Will he be able to simply post up shooting guards and just shoot crazy over-powering shots with shot blockers roaming the lane? While his ball-handling is not bad, he does not possess a great first step. Will he be able to get to the lane to get his shot off? The good news is that he plays with patience.
Naturally, I have serious concerns on how some of his game translates outside of his shooting at the next level offensively. I think he will make a NBA Roster, but I think it will take time for him to adjust. He possesses enough skills to occasionally post-up and occasionally shot-fake to get to the mid-range, but he will have to hone those skills.
Defensively, he has average lateral speed. Due to his lengthy wing-span, I think he should be an adequate defender by using his body to set off the driving paths of opposing shooting guards. In Coach Thibs system, he would be an above average defender.
I think he will be a solid player at the next level if he can adjust to being a role player. I think he is a solid shooter, a great work ethic, tough, and could be an above average defender. However, I just wonder how the rest of his game translates to ever being more than just a role player. I also think his game will be more efficient since he will not have to be the go-to-scorer.
Overall, while I think he will have a career in the NBA with limited talent at the shooting guard position and his ability to provide toughness and shooting in one package, he will need to adjust to the NBA speed. A lot is going to depend on his workouts. I do think he will be solid at the next level as he learns to adjust to not being the go-to-option. He seems like a winner and will adjust his game. I don’t think you can go wrong with drafting him in the late first/early second.
The big thing again is the workouts. If reports are true and he has lost weight and looks quicker, then we are talking about a huge difference. However, based on his game at the college game, he took a while to gather himself to get shots against lower to mid-major type programs. He does seem to have that knack to using hesitation dribbles which has worked for players such as James Harden, Manu Ginoboli, and Paul Pierce, but will need to improve his skill at it to be effective.
The good news for Orlando is even though he played at a smaller school, he fared well against all competition including when playing higher marquee matchups.
How does he fit with the Bulls?
I think Orlando normally would provide everything that the Bulls need. He is a solid role playing shooting guard (at his best, maybe similar to an Aaron Affalo or a Bobby Phils, not as quite of a sharpshooter such as Jodie Meeks, or, eh, at worst, Keith Bogans).
However, depending on who is available, I wouldn’t mind taking a chance on someone else or buying a second round pick if he's still around. I would not be mad if we drafted him at all in the first, but would rather try on someone such as Kevin Murphy that possesses a little more upside in terms of scoring at the same position. However, if it came down to Orlando Johnson and taking a chance on a player such as Tyshawn Taylor or Fab Melo, I feel more confident in Orlando providing quality play due to basketball IQ and not making careless mistakes.
With this draft, it may not be deep in star talent, it is deep in quality and some talent that might still be unharnessed in the late first round. I would rather take a flier on someone with high basketball IQ, but also someone that might make a bigger impact.
However, stating all this, this is based on how his game translated at the college level. He has one of those high IQ type games that needs to be monitored more closely in workouts. I do feel he has more upside than a Doron Lamb type, but maybe not as elite at a skill such as shooting like a John Jenkins or overall scoring such as Kevin Murphy. I feel with the way the roster is constructed, we need more impact in scoring. He does bring more overall solid game.