According to league sources, per Sports Illustrated, Derek Fisher was texting some players that progress had been made and to be prepared in case there is a season.
In the middle of a story discussing the a player formed mini-league in Las Vegas, Sam Amick dropped this:
one league source claims that union president Derek Fisher text-messaged numerous players last week indicating that some progress had been made and imploring them to be physically prepared just in case the season started on time.
The phrase "just in case" somewhat throws cold water onto the rest of the quote, but even so, the timing of the quote is still meaningful, and he indicated that some progress had been made.
Players should obviously be prepared to stay in shape at any point in case a season were to happen, but obviously, to text them immediately following the September meetings which will likely determine whether we have an NBA season on time or not is more meaningful.
Add this up with Adam Silver meeting with Casey Wasserman [head of the Wasserman agency which represents 10 all-stars] at the U.S. Open (per Chris Broussard's twitter), and you get the feeling the league is quietly feeling out the agents to see whether they'll play ball with the new parameters discussed last week.
Ken Berger hints that a new formal proposal is expected from the owners on Tuesday the 13th when the sides formally meet together again with a larger audience on both sides in attendance. How close this proposal is to acceptable to the players will likely determine whether we have a season that starts on time or not.
If they're in the ballpark, then the sides can negotiate further, if not, we're probably done.
The biggest issue is obviously revenue split, but the side issues around how the revenue is split are also serious. I think the owners need to give back on these three issues in order for a deal to get done:
1: Go back to a percentage of BRI rather than a flat amount
2: Shorten the deal to six years
3: Keep the payout system [soft cap, MLE] largely in tact
If the owners do those three things, but simply demand a higher percentage of BRI [50/50 mark] than I think a deal can be made. I've thought for the past few months the deal that both sides can live with is the current rules at a 50/50 BRI split.
Whether it's my predicted deal or not, we'll find out how close the sides are on Tuesday. If things go poorly, the offer[s] on the table will likely leak out as the sides will probably turn back towards sniping at each other. If things go well, a deal will continue to be worked out, likely under the veil of secrecy until it's completed.