Say you sign Wade, how do you build the rest of this team into a contender? The team is left with a roster that looks something like this:
PG: Rose, SG: Wade, SF: Deng, PF: Gibson C: Noah, Bench: Hinrich, Johnson, 2010 1st, 5 guys at the vet min
Could we pull off a S&T for Chris Bosh? Something using Noah + Deng in
it? It's a possibility. If I were the Raptors I'd consider Noah +
Deng for Bosh if Bosh is leaving if I liked Deng. Personally, I
wouldn't do that trade if I were Toronto, especially with Hedo on that super long term
deal, but it's not entirely out of the question if Deng finishes the season strong.
However, you've now elevated Hinrich, 2010 draft pick, vet min guy, or James Johnson to the starting lineup and have to run Bosh or Gibson at center. Neither of those guys is really fit to play center, and you're probably getting killed at SF, plus if you start Hinrich, you may not have a single quality bench player on the team.
You still make that trade and figure out the rest later. Guys who stink tend not to stink if they're playing on the court with three guys as good as Wade, Bosh, and Rose, so you can probably get by with completely one dimensional role players. If you can make that trade happen it probably solves your problems even if it takes you one year to get the right role players.
However, given the trade is unlikely, with the original non-trade roster the Bulls clearly aren't a title contender right? Your front court is Noah, Gibson, a middle 1st round draft pick [maybe], and some dude playing fro the vet minimum. You're not winning a title with that regardless of how good the backcourt is.
Where do you go to build that roster going forward? What tools do you even have to trade to improve it? Luol Deng will never return you a big man that you want. Your draft picks will never carry much value again because the team is a 50+ win caliber team with Dwyane Wade every year. Joakim Noah's trade value is going to fall like a rock the second he gets a big extension.
The Bulls have some chance of having the MLE available this season if they make a S&T for Wade to get him an extra year and throw Miami a draft pick or something, but then you have to subtract other positive assets off the roster list. You'll have the MLE in the future, but name the last productive big man to sign as a FA for a team for the MLE? I can't really think of a good one recently.
So you're locked into this team that has no front court presence unless it gets really lucky in the draft, makes a miracle trade, or miracle MLE signing. Rose and Wade are great together the way any two great players could be great together, but their strengths are near carbon copies of each other. Neither guy likes to shoot threes to space the floor, both guys want the ball in their hands to initiate on the perimeter. Can you build around two guys who both just want to slash?
It just seems like a two three zone kills that offense. Keep three guys back to defend the paint, keep one guy on the perimeter to just defend the jumper of both guys who doesn't need to worry about penetration. The team really has no zone breaking shooting ability or big men who can punish you.
They'd still win a lot of games, because great players can still beat the defense, but against the very best teams it seems like their offense wouldn't vary in enough ways to get the job done. Their end goal is going to be to drive to the hoop. They still have no shooting on the floor or post offense.
Are you saying you wouldn't sign Dwyane Wade Doug? No, no I am not saying that. I'm saying I'd take Chris Bosh first, and part of the reason why is that it's so difficult for me to envision how this team becomes grade built around Wade and Rose together.
Some care has to be taken in how you attempt to get to the championship level. We have to figure out a way to have a varied offense able to get efficient scoring from multiple places on the floor. I don't see how the Bulls with Wade are able to do that. They'd be exciting. They'd win a lot of games. They'd be way the hell better than they are right now, and they'd lose in round 2 or the ECF every year until they found a big man and would be left with no practical way to find him.
Now you can just hold out hope and try to get lucky. If you can't get Bosh, I would do just that. I'd be psyched and consider it a huge victory to get Dwyane Wade this off-season, so don't get me wrong.
Getting lucky worked for the Lakers who lucked into Pau Gasol for jack squat or the Timberwolves who managed to pick up Kevin Garnett [though they traded some fair assets for him]. I'd absolutely take Wade and then roll the dice on the future over taking Joe Johnson, Amare Stoudemire, or Carlos Boozer.
However, when it comes to 2010 it should be:
big drop off
I just don't see how you can get to the top of the mountain easier with Wade than Bosh.