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Why Chris Getz' Injury is Good for this Team

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SoxNet Staff

You never like to see a player get injured, but when a player getting injured allows a much better player to step in and play every day surely it's a good thing? Not according to the majority of White Sox fans.

Firstly, Chris Getz is not all that. He's not a great player. He's not even a good player. I hear lots of people throwing the term "future lead-off hitter" around when discussing Getz, but ideally you want a .360+ OBP from your lead-off hitter with at least moderate power, however the only way Getz will ever have a .360+ OBP is if he hits .300, something he hasn't shown any propensity for doing over the course of his professional career and his power is also severely lacking. In order to be considered a leadoff hitter in my books he'd need to effectively double his walk output, something which is extremely unlikely to happen for this polished almost 26 year old ballplayer.

Then on the other side we have Jayson Nix, cast aside by the Rockies after barely being give opportunity to prove himself, but why is he a better player than Getz? It's simple, he's far superior in the three most important facets of the game for a positional player. He walks a lot more than Getz does, as is proven by his .095 IsoD (Isolated Discipline, OBP-BA) as compared to Getz' .058 IsoD. Nix hits for a lot more power than Getz as is proven by his .236 IsoP (Isolated Power, SLG-BA) as compared to Getz' .100 IsoP. Nix also plays much better defense at 2B, his UZR playing that position this year is +4.6 and for his career it is +7.8 which averages out to +24 per 150 games, making him arguably this teams best defensive player, Getz' UZR this year is -3.6, the difference between the two of them this season is 8.1 runs in Nix' favour which is worth approximately 1 win.

Now Nix isn't without his flaws, his batting average for example is very low, and while his BABIP is also low this does not mean that he has been unlucky. Nix' line drive percentage is a pathetic 11.6% (average LD% is around 18-19%) and this does bring his expected BABIP down to around the level it is currently at. Nix won't need to hit for a high average though if he can maintain his great IsoP and IsoD (which is still to be seen) and in fact he, a rookie, ranks 2nd on this ballclub in both of those statistical categories.

Even if Jayson Nix only ever hits .250 we could quite conceivably see a slash line in the region of .250/ .360/ .480 (.840 OPS) with 20+ homers, 20 steals and great defense. How many second baseman in the Majors today can compete with those numbers? When it comes to in house options for this organizations second baseman of the present and future there is only one man in the conversation, Jayson Nix.

Note: Article was written by Seven Costanza of SoxNet.net and FutureSox.com

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6 Comments

Jason Gage said:

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Great piece Seven. I don't happen to agree with it, cause I like Getz and project him to be a .290/.355 or so player with great speed and intangibles at the bottom of the order but I think you've made a ton of valid points and made me warm to the idea of Nix and I am definitely intrigued to see how Nix handles being the everyday starter while Getz is on the DL.

There is no doubt that Nix has been having good at bats and if he can start hitting some more singles to right field we might see that average climb up and him become a very valuable everyday player.

Jason Gage said:

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Great piece Seven. I don't agree with it, cause I like Getz and project him to be a .290/.355 or so player with great speed and intangibles at the bottom of the order but I think you've made a ton of valid points and made me warm to the idea of Nix and I am definitely intrigued to see how Nix handles being the everyday starter while Getz is on the DL.

There is no doubt that Nix has been having good at bats and if he can start hitting some more singles to right field we might see that average climb up and him become a very valuable everyday player.

Jason Gage said:

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Chris Getz put up a .382 OBP in 2007 (Bham @ 23 years old), and .366 OBP (Charlotte @24). Those are both above average minor league OBP's and in those years he hit .299 and .302 respectively with a significant power increase (3 hr's vs 11).

In fact, I also think he has a swing that should hold up in the majors pretty well (without a serious hit to what his minor league stats project out at).

Chris Getz also has post ASB line of .296 AVG,.359 OBP, .767 OPS. All pretty damn solid for a 2nd baseman.

In short, Getz is my guy.

Dan Santaromita said:

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Getz has shown improvement so I don't think you can take much from either player with small sample sizes for both still.

Mario Scalise said:

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^^^
that.

I like Nix, but I have a feeling he's the type of guy you love in small doses, will regret in big doses. Whereas Getz brings a bit more speed to the table and I think as both of these guys develop, Getz will prove to be the more consistent offensive player.

Mario Scalise said:

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And Getz can't catch a break. I'm not really liking the fact that he's been injured already a handful of times in his short career, but whether it's a debate between him and Fields, him and Ramirez, or him and Nix, it seems he's continually being doubted by some fans. He isn't insanely talented, but a lot of guys are talented and never amount to anything. Perhaps just a sound baseball player is the safe way to go.

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